Capital Weather Gang: Tropical Weather


Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 02/13/2013

Hurricanes vs. nor’easters. What makes them different?

If hurricanes and mid-latitude cyclones often physically resemble each other so closely and are both characterized by areas of low pressure and cyclonic (counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere) winds, what makes them different?

By Kathryn Prociv  |  10:30 AM ET, 02/13/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Science, Winter Storms

Posted at 02:22 PM ET, 12/17/2012

Evan rips through Fiji as its strongest cyclone on record

Cyclone Evan, after devastating Samoa late last week, tore across Fiji Monday (local time) leaving behind a trail of destruction.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:22 PM ET, 12/17/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:22 PM ET, 12/11/2012

NOAA commissions Sandy assessment team to review NWS performance

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released a statement today saying it has commissioned a team to assess National Weather Service performance leading up to and during “Hurricane/Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy.”

By Dan Stillman  |  01:22 PM ET, 12/11/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Latest, Government, Tropical Weather

Posted at 04:48 PM ET, 12/07/2012

Reflections on the NWS Sandy assessment and hurricane warning controversies

Telling commentary in the wake of controversies over NWS’ handling of its hurricane warnings during Superstorm Sandy from various compelling sources,

By Jason Samenow  |  04:48 PM ET, 12/07/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Latest, Government, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:03 PM ET, 12/07/2012

Strengthening Typhoon Bopha may strike Philippines second time, this time in north

Typhoon Bopha is responsible for at least 500 deaths in the southern Philippines, and it may not be done inflicting damage on the storm-ravaged country. Some track forecasts show it reversing course, potentially affecting the northern Philippines in about two days.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:03 PM ET, 12/07/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 06:20 PM ET, 12/05/2012

National Hurricane Center proposes looser criteria for issuing hurricane warnings

Facing criticism over the fact it did not issue hurricane warnings during Superstorm Sandy, the National Hurricane Center has proposed looser criteria for posting these advisories.

By Jason Samenow  |  06:20 PM ET, 12/05/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Government, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:55 AM ET, 12/04/2012

Typhoon Bopha socks southern Philippines, death toll at least 40

Super typhoon Bopha smashed into the southern Philippines island of Mindanao early this morning with estimated sustained winds of 160 mph and torrential, flooding rains.

By Jason Samenow  |  10:55 AM ET, 12/04/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:20 PM ET, 12/03/2012

Beastly super typhoon Bopha bears down on Philippines (IMAGES)

Packing winds to 160 mph, equivalent to a category 5 hurricane, super typhoon Bopha is hours away from landfall in the southern Philippines. It is targeting the Philippine island of Mindanao. The storm is traveling west-northwest at about 15 mph and should make landfall early Tuesday morning (between 20 UTC December 3 and 0 UTC December 4) local time.

By Jason Samenow  |  03:20 PM ET, 12/03/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 04:53 PM ET, 11/29/2012

NOAA to proceed with Superstorm Sandy review with other government agencies

After a false start, NOAA has issued a statement today indicating it is set to re-launch a process for evaluating its performance during Superstorm Sandy.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:53 PM ET, 11/29/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Government, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:38 PM ET, 11/29/2012

Review: 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season in 4.5 minutes (VIDEO)

Irrespective of the statistics, the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season left its mark with severe impacts from Hurricane Isaac and Sandy along the Gulf and Northeast coasts. NOAA’s Environmental Visualization Laboratory has constructed an animation of the hurricane season - in its entirety - compressed into 4 minutes and 30 seconds. Watch it here

By Jason Samenow  |  01:38 PM ET, 11/29/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:58 PM ET, 11/28/2012

Department of Homeland Security may review Superstorm Sandy warnings

Two weeks ago, a routine National Weather Service (NWS) review of forecast and warning services provided during superstorm Sandy was halted. We have learned high-level conversations between NWS and the Department of Homeland Security motivated the stoppage.

By Eric Holthaus* and Jason Samenow  |  03:58 PM ET, 11/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Government, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:11 PM ET, 11/28/2012

Third most active hurricane season on record (tie) ends Friday

The 2012 Atlantic hurricane season is coming to an end. This season ended up with 19 named storms, 10 of which became hurricanes. The 19 named storms ties for the third greatest number of such storms in a season on record.

By Brian McNoldy  |  01:11 PM ET, 11/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:12 AM ET, 11/15/2012

The whole truth about Superstorm Sandy and climate change

The inconvenient truth on climate change and Sandy falls in the middle of two extreme views.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:12 AM ET, 11/15/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Climate Change, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:22 PM ET, 11/01/2012

The National Hurricane Center’s strikingly accurate forecast for Sandy

Almost five days prior to landfall, the National Hurricane Center pegged the prediction for Hurricane Sandy, correctly placing southern New Jersey near the center of its track forecast. This long lead time was critical for preparation efforts from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast and no doubt saved lives.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:22 PM ET, 11/01/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:43 AM ET, 11/01/2012

If Hurricane Sandy had come south: the dramatic storm surge scenario for Washington, D.C.

What if Hurricane Sandy had tracked 300 miles south, making landfall in Va. instead of Atlantic City?

By Jason Samenow  |  11:43 AM ET, 11/01/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Floods, Tropical Weather

Posted at 09:03 AM ET, 11/01/2012

Sandy’s floodwaters at Great Falls

When you open your car door at the Great Falls parking lot and immediately hear a loud roar, then you know the Potomac River is flowing mighty fast.

By Kevin Ambrose  |  09:03 AM ET, 11/01/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Photography

Posted at 02:42 PM ET, 10/31/2012

Hurricane Sandy: 12 dramatic weather images and animations

Sandy was an extraordinary storm and became the subject of extraordinary imagery. Find here 8 stunning images and 4 eye-popping animations of this historic storm.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:42 PM ET, 10/31/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:10 AM ET, 10/31/2012

From the devastating surge to crippling snow, Hurricane Sandy by the numbers

Superstorm Sandy slowly weakened over land Tuesday, but not before leaving behind a devastating trail of destruction across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Initial estimates suggest the powerful storm has claimed at least 51 lives and caused up to $20 billion in damage.

By Justin Grieser  |  11:10 AM ET, 10/31/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Winter Storms

Posted at 04:35 PM ET, 10/30/2012

Was Hurricane Sandy well-forecast? Was it over-hyped?

Did Hurricane Sandy live up to the hype? That’s a debate raging amongst Washingtonians. The record shows forecasts for this extraordinary event were quite good, although the impacts from the storm’s winds were not as bad as feared.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:35 PM ET, 10/30/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:30 PM ET, 10/29/2012

Sandy continues to wallop the D.C. area well into the night; even worse elsewhere

Sandy is pummeling the area with raging winds and heavy rain, and will continue to do so for several more hours before starting to weaken late tonight. Here’s a round-up of what’s happening locally and elsewhere.

By Dan Stillman  |  10:30 PM ET, 10/29/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 06:00 PM ET, 10/28/2012

Hurricane Sandy and Washington, D.C.: Detailed storm timeline, maps, and frequent questions

Today, forecasts have converged on one scenario for Hurricane Sandy’s impact on Washington, D.C., and it’s severe. In short, between Sunday night and Tuesday, we can expect 4-8” of rain and a long period of sustained winds above 35 mph with peak gusts over 60 mph. This will inevitably result in flooding and power outages.

By Jason Samenow and Dan Stillman  |  06:00 PM ET, 10/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 10/28/2012

Cause for concern: the 7 most alarming Hurricane Sandy images

Hurricane Sandy is gearing up to bring ashore a smorgasboard of hazardous weather: rip-roaring winds, flooding rain, crippling mountain snow, and a potentially devastating storm surge in some areas. This storm will impact 50-60 million people says NOAA. The images here tell the story.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:15 AM ET, 10/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:09 PM ET, 10/27/2012

Hurricane Sandy: Raging winds and high water to leave mark on Mid-Atlantic

Reading through blogs and recent statements from the National Weather Service, I’m presently most impressed by two things about Sandy: 1) Its incredible size and its associated wind field 2) The amount of water it’s going to push ashore at the beaches

By Jason Samenow  |  11:09 PM ET, 10/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 05:00 PM ET, 10/27/2012

Hurricane Sandy: Frequently Asked Questions

Answers to frequently asked questions about how bad Sandy will be, when, and how to prepare.

By Dan Stillman  |  05:00 PM ET, 10/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:41 PM ET, 10/27/2012

Washington, D.C. braces for Hurricane Sandy: the bad and the ugly storm scenarios

Confidence is now high that the monstrous and menacing Hurricane Sandy will bring serious to severe wind and rain to the Washington, D.C. metro region.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:41 PM ET, 10/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:09 AM ET, 10/27/2012

Hurricane Sandy still poised to deliver a historic blow to the northeast U.S.

Sandy remains a minimal hurricane, but it’s huge and the low category level won’t match impact.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:09 AM ET, 10/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 09:49 AM ET, 10/27/2012

Today is the day to prepare for Hurricane Sandy

Today is THE day to get ready for Sandy. Sunday into Sunday night will offer the chance as well although rain chances increase and winds slowly ramp up during that time. The worst part of the storm, increasingly, looks to be from Monday through Tuesday in the Washington, D.C. area.

By Jason Samenow  |  09:49 AM ET, 10/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:40 PM ET, 10/26/2012

Sandy begins transition into hurricane nor’easter blend

Sandy is still a hurricane this evening, with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph. But the National Hurricane Center says it is evolving into a new type of storm.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:40 PM ET, 10/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:01 PM ET, 10/26/2012

Will Hurricane Sandy produce snow?

Hurricane Sandy is likely to be one of those rare tropical beasts that produce snow. In the Mid-Atlantic region, southwest Virginia and West Virginia have the best chance of receiving accumulating snow from this storm.

By Wes Junker  |  03:01 PM ET, 10/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Winter Storms, Tropical Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:32 PM ET, 10/26/2012

Washington, D.C. will not escape Hurricane Sandy: latest storm scenarios

There’s virtually no chance the Washington, D.C. region will escape the wrath of Hurricane Sandy. The only question remaining is: how bad will it be?

By Jason Samenow  |  01:32 PM ET, 10/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:35 AM ET, 10/26/2012

Hurricane Sandy on collision course with mid-Atlantic and Northeast

As of this morning, hurricane Sandy’s peak winds have dropped to 80 mph (Category 1 hurricane), but that absolutely does not mean the threat to the eastern U.S. has decreased. Quite the opposite, in fact. It is forecast to re-organize and strengthen on its inevitable approach to the East Coast.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:35 AM ET, 10/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:37 AM ET, 10/26/2012

What should we name Hurricane Sandy?

A debate has been raging in social media streams about what to call Sandy.

By Jason Samenow  |  10:37 AM ET, 10/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 09:55 AM ET, 10/26/2012

Hurricane Sandy may be unprecedented in East Coast storm history

WEATHER GANG | With computer models locked in on the eventuality of a punishing blow for East Coast from Hurricane Sandy, analyses suggest this storm may be unlike anything the region has ever experienced.

By Jason Samenow  |  09:55 AM ET, 10/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:12 PM ET, 10/25/2012

Models trending south some with Hurricane Sandy track, mid-Atlantic strike threat increasing

A number of afternoon model forecasts shifted Hurricane Sandy’s track south and suggest the risk of direct strike on the mid-Atlantic is increasing.

By Jason Samenow  |  10:12 PM ET, 10/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 04:25 PM ET, 10/25/2012

Experts sound alarm on Hurricane Sandy, likely to be worse than 1991 “Perfect Storm”

As Hurricane Sandy whips the western Bahamas and models reach consensus that this storm is destined to slam the Mid-Atlantic and/or Northeast, many trusted voices in the weather community are urging residents to begin preparing.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:25 PM ET, 10/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:54 PM ET, 10/25/2012

Hurricane Sandy scenarios for Washington, D.C.

It’s becoming increasingly likely Washington, D.C. and the surrounding region will feel effects from Hurricane Sandy. The question becomes: how severe? Scenarios range from a historic storm with widespread damaging winds and flooding to just some blustery showers.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:54 PM ET, 10/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Winter Storms

Posted at 11:38 AM ET, 10/25/2012

Hurricane Sandy becomes stronger and larger than expected

Overnight, Hurricane Sandy experienced a stunning increase in size and intensity. Sandy is presently heading for the western and central Bahamas. Then comes the likely encounter with the Mid-Atlantic and/or Northeast U.S. Sunday-Wednesday.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:38 AM ET, 10/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 09:41 AM ET, 10/25/2012

Overnight models still indicate blockbuster storm threat from Hurricane Sandy

Forecast model still suggests Hurricane Sandy will come ashore sometime next week.

By Wes Junker  |  09:41 AM ET, 10/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:20 AM ET, 10/24/2012

Sandy strengthens to hurricane on approach to Jamaica; odds of East Coast impact grow

As of 11 a.m. this morning, Sandy’s maximum sustained winds reached 80 mph, becoming the season’s 10th hurricane. This large, strengthening system may threaten the East Coast of the U.S. although there is a chance the storm turns out to sea before reaching the mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:20 AM ET, 10/24/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:57 PM ET, 10/23/2012

Tropical storm Sandy scenarios: Northeast smash or out to sea most likely

Some computer models continue to simulate a crushing storm for early next week near or close to the East Coast. The explosive storm develops as tropical storm (or hurricane) Sandy merges with a powerful cold front charging towards the East Coast late this weekend.

By Jason Samenow  |  03:57 PM ET, 10/23/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, U.S. Weather, Tropical Weather, Winter Storms

Posted at 11:32 AM ET, 10/23/2012

Tropical Storm Sandy threatens five different countries in coming days, including U.S.

Just six hours after the initial advisory on tropical depression 18 yesterday morning, it was upgraded to tropical storm Sandy, the 18th named storm of the season. Sandy is projected to become a hurricane and more models suggest it will threaten the U.S. compared to yesterday. But it will impact Jamaica, Cuba, Haiti and the Bahamas first.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:32 AM ET, 10/23/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:25 AM ET, 10/22/2012

Tropical storm Sandy likely on the way, possible East Coast encounter next week

There are two areas of disturbed weather across the Atlantic basin: one in the southwest Caribbean, and one in the middle of the ocean far from land. While both disturbances are expected to intensify, the one in the Caribbean - likely to be named Sandy - could potentially affect the East Coast of the U.S. next week.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:25 AM ET, 10/22/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:06 PM ET, 10/18/2012

Tropical storm Prapiroon and a von Karman vortex street

A massive swirl and a “street” of mini-swirls. These vortices in the western Pacific adjacent to one another are examples of a decaying typhoon and a phenomenon known as a von Karman vortex street.

By Jason Samenow  |  03:06 PM ET, 10/18/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Science

Posted at 10:45 AM ET, 10/15/2012

Hurricane Hazel set Washington’s wind speed record; linked to fatal hurricane hunter crash

By mid-October the chances of a hurricane hitting the mid-Atlantic region are almost zero. It’s time to begin worrying about extratropical cyclones. Fifty-eight years ago on On Oct. 15, 1954, Hurricane Hazel set the sustained wind speed record at Washington’s National Airport. It eventually merged with an extratropical cyclone, and indirectly led to two Canadians being onboard the only hurricane hunter airplane to crash in a storm since hurricane flying began during World War II.

By Jack Williams  |  10:45 AM ET, 10/15/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 01:48 PM ET, 10/12/2012

Patty forms as hurricane season enters its second maximum; and the latest on GOES-East

Update from the tropics: Hurricane season enters its second maximum, and the latest on GOES-East.

By Brian McNoldy  |  01:48 PM ET, 10/12/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:30 PM ET, 10/03/2012

Nadine joins rank of Atlantic longest-lived storms; tropical depression 15 forms

Active for the past 21 days, Nadine has earned a spot among the top-five longest-lived tropical cyclones in Atlantic history going back to 1851.

By Brian McNoldy  |  12:30 PM ET, 10/03/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:06 PM ET, 10/01/2012

Typhoon Jelawat slams Okinawa, and mainland Japan (video)

With sustained winds to 87 mph and gusts to 137 mph, typhoon Jelawat raked Okinawa Saturday.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:06 PM ET, 10/01/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:22 AM ET, 09/28/2012

Typhoon Jelawat closing in on Okinawa, Japan; Nadine becomes hurricane (again)

Typhoon Jelawat remains a formidable storm as it passes dangerously close to Taiwan on path towards Okinawa and then mainland Japan.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:22 AM ET, 09/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:11 PM ET, 09/26/2012

Super typhoon Jelawat to threaten Okinawa then Japan

Following super typhoon Sanba that ripped across Okinawa and then into South Korea, super typhoon Jelawat is also eyeing Okinawa before a possible encounter with Japan.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:11 PM ET, 09/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:15 PM ET, 09/25/2012

Never-die Nadine lingers near the Azores, to live another several days as tropical storm

For more than a week, tropical storm Nadine has been located within 600 miles of the Azores islands, and is in no hurry to leave the area.

By Brian McNoldy  |  02:15 PM ET, 09/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:26 AM ET, 09/20/2012

Hurricane season outlook for the second half, and the latest on Nadine

We’ve already had 14 tropical storms, 8 hurricanes, and 1 major hurricane this season, but most signs point to a generally quieter period coming up compared to what we’ve seen so far.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:26 AM ET, 09/20/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:44 PM ET, 09/14/2012

Violent super typhoon Sanba threatens Okinawa, South Korea

Super typhoon Sanba, with peak winds of 155 mph, continues on its collision course with Okinawa and, eventually, South Korea. It’s positioned about 440 miles south of Kadena Air Force Base on Okinawa and moving north at about 13 mph. Strong winds could affect Okinawa as soon as Saturday evening local time.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:44 PM ET, 09/14/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:15 PM ET, 09/13/2012

Monster super typhoon Sanba aims at Okinawa and South Korea

A large, dangerous typhoon has rapidly gained strength in the western Pacific.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:15 PM ET, 09/13/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 11:38 AM ET, 09/12/2012

NASA drone spies on tropical storm Nadine

Nadine is on a projected path that threatens no land area, but a NASA field campaign is taking full advantage of Nadine to get deeper insight into how hurricanes develop and intensify.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:38 AM ET, 09/12/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:46 PM ET, 09/11/2012

Tropical depression 14 forms, Leslie batters Newfoundland, Michael fades

Today starts the second half of the Atlantic hurricane season following yesterday’s calendar peak. It’s been an extremely busy season thus far, almost 50 percent more active than normal.

By Brian McNoldy  |  02:46 PM ET, 09/11/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:10 PM ET, 09/07/2012

Moving beyond the limitations of hurricane categories and the Saffir-Simpson scale

Voices within the meteorological community are coming together to stress that the National Hurricane Center must come up with new and innovative ways to communicate the hazards posed by hurricanes, emphasizing the limitations of the Saffir-Simpson wind scale.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:10 PM ET, 09/07/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:21 AM ET, 09/07/2012

From tropical disturbance to hurricane: To be or not to be?

As meteorologists and coastal residents track the tropics, they wonder if a fledgling disturbance is to become a major, destructive hurricane or a harmless wave of breezy showers.

By Steve Tracton  |  11:21 AM ET, 09/07/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Science

Posted at 11:48 AM ET, 09/06/2012

Michael: first major hurricane in super active Atlantic season; Leslie drifts towards Bermuda

Hurricane Michael unexpectedly blew up last night, becoming the 7th hurricane and the first major, category 3 storm of the Atlantic 2012 season. The only seasons on record that reached 7 hurricanes sooner were 1886 and 1893.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:48 AM ET, 09/06/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:42 PM ET, 09/05/2012

Leslie upgraded to a hurricane, on path towards Bermuda

Tropical storm Leslie added 5 mph to its peak wind speed (up to 75 mph), becoming the 6th hurricane in the Atlantic in the 2012 season. It’s positioned 465 miles south-southeast of Bermuda and slowly headed in that direction. It may be in the island’s vicinity Saturday or Sunday.

By Jason Samenow  |  03:42 PM ET, 09/05/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:37 AM ET, 09/05/2012

Tropics: Leslie and Michael strengthen, while Isaac may come back for an encore

The extremely active 2012 Atlantic hurricane season continues. Leslie and Michael are swirling in the open sea, while a piece of Isaac’s remnants might regenerate into tropical storm Nadine.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:37 AM ET, 09/05/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:57 AM ET, 08/31/2012

Storms Kirk and Leslie swirl in one of most active Atlantic hurricane seasons on record

As Isaac slowly decays over the U.S. continental interior, two freshly named systems are spinning up during the Atlantic’s second most active hurricane season to date on record.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:57 AM ET, 08/31/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 05:05 PM ET, 08/30/2012

Hurricane Isaac: 15 amazing images

Hurricane Isaac has been downgraded to a tropical depression. But the once formidable storm was the source of stunning images both from outer space and on the ground. Here’s a compilation of eye-popping images....

By Jason Samenow  |  05:05 PM ET, 08/30/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:35 PM ET, 08/30/2012

Will Hurricane Isaac’s remnants rain on D.C. over Labor Day weekend?

Some of Isaac’s moisture might reach the D.C. area late Sunday and into Monday.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:35 PM ET, 08/30/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:01 AM ET, 08/30/2012

Hurricane Isaac by the numbers

Isaac came ashore a category 1 storm, but its toll on the northern Gulf coast has exceeded what one might expect from a “low-end” hurricane. Its large size helped it spread vast quantities of water ashore - both from the ocean and the sky.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:01 AM ET, 08/30/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:32 AM ET, 08/29/2012

Hurricane Isaac hammering New Orleans, flooding, power outages mounting (LIVE BLOG)

On the 7th anniversary of hurricane Katrina, hurricane Isaac is relentlessly pounding southeast Louisiana. Follow this live blog for the latest updates.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:32 AM ET, 08/29/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 09:25 PM ET, 08/28/2012

Hurricane Isaac battering southeast Louisiana, northern Gulf Coast

Conditions are deteriorating along the northern Gulf Coast as Hurricane Isaac - packing sustained winds to 80 mph - draws closer. Its forward speed has slowed, meaning landfall may not occur until late tonight or even Wednesday.

By Jason Samenow  |  09:25 PM ET, 08/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:08 PM ET, 08/28/2012

Isaac reaches hurricane strength, approaching landfall in SE Louisiana

Follow our live blog for the latest updates on hurricane Isaac through landfall.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:08 PM ET, 08/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:14 AM ET, 08/28/2012

Isaac nearly a hurricane as it bears down on Louisiana, northern Gulf coast

Isaac’s landfall is expected to occur later this afternoon or this evening in southeastern Louisiana as a Category 1 hurricane

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:14 AM ET, 08/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:17 AM ET, 08/28/2012

Isaac has unusually low pressure for a tropical storm

Typically, a storm with Isaac’s low pressure would be a hurricane with 90 mph winds.

By Jason Samenow  |  10:17 AM ET, 08/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 04:23 PM ET, 08/27/2012

Isaac - a serious storm - but no hurricane Katrina

While residents of New Orleans should be taking Isaac very seriously and preparing for hurricane conditions, it’s unlikely to affect the area as severely.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:23 PM ET, 08/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:25 PM ET, 08/27/2012

Tropical storm Isaac’s final landfall set for Tuesday evening as hurricane

Tropical storm Isaac is headed towards the northern Gulf Coast where it has the potential to produce destructive winds, a dangerous storm surge and flooding rains.

By Brian McNoldy  |  01:25 PM ET, 08/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 08/27/2012

Hurricane chasing: While most run from the storm, iCyclone seeks out its core

Sane people run away from major hurricanes. Josh Morgerman of iCyclone craves them and tries to find his way to their worst whenever he can. Since beginning to consistently hunt hurricanes in 2005, Morgerman has intercepted some of the Atlantic Ocean’s strongest storms on record. CWG asked him what it’s like to chase these beasts of weather.

By Ian Livingston  |  10:30 AM ET, 08/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 08:50 AM ET, 08/27/2012

Tropical storm Isaac inches towards hurricane strength, all eyes on New Orleans

Tropical storm Isaac appears slightly better organized this morning and is on the cusp of becoming a hurricane. Track forecasts for Isaac’s landfall, ominously, have converged around New Orleans.

By Jason Samenow  |  08:50 AM ET, 08/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 08/24/2012

Andrew Anniversary Part II: Andrew’s winds hit National Hurricane Center

This is part 2 of a two-part series looking back at Hurricane Andrew 20 years ago.

By Jack Williams  |  02:00 PM ET, 08/24/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:30 PM ET, 08/24/2012

Tropical Storm Isaac stronger, set to cross Haiti and Cuba on path to U.S.

Isaac now has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph as it churns to the south of Hispaniola. The storm is on a course to the west northwest and should cross over parts of Haiti while heading toward Cuba. While Isaac is expected to hit the United States, much uncertainty remains about its eventual strength.

By Brian McNoldy  |  12:30 PM ET, 08/24/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 10:15 AM ET, 08/24/2012

As Isaac threatens the RNC, a look at how far hurricane forecasting has come

There’s no way to know exactly if or where Isaac will ultimately make landfall in the United States or how strong it will be. Even a close call in Florida could result in flight cancellations, heavy rains, and other complications for the Republican National Convention. The good news is that forecasters now have a wealth of tools and an array of knowledge at their disposal that were almost unimaginable 40 years ago.

By Robert Henson  |  10:15 AM ET, 08/24/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Science, Technology

Posted at 02:15 PM ET, 08/23/2012

Twenty years ago, soon-to-be Hurricane Andrew survived a near-death experience

What happened to 1992‘s first named storm?

By Jack Williams  |  02:15 PM ET, 08/23/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang, History, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:15 PM ET, 08/23/2012

Isaac weaker, but expected to become hurricane tomorrow

Since yesterday, Isaac has weakened a little, and as of 11 a.m. EDT today, has 40 mph sustained winds. The center is located about 200 miles south of Puerto Rico, but tropical storm-force winds extend out to 140 miles from the center. Conditions in southern Florida will turn for the worse on Sunday and the worst of the weather will be on Monday.

By Brian McNoldy  |  12:15 PM ET, 08/23/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:40 PM ET, 08/22/2012

All eyes on Isaac as it enters the Caribbean Sea; RNC impacts?

At 2 p.m. EDT, Isaac’s maximum sustained winds were still near 45 mph. Tropical-storm-force winds extended up to 60 miles from the storm center with Isaac racing westward at 21 mph, ready to move through the Leeward Islands during the next several hours. This is a case where anyone in the U.S . between the north-central Gulf coast clear over to the Carolinas should be paying very close attention.

By Brian McNoldy  |  02:40 PM ET, 08/22/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 07:27 PM ET, 08/21/2012

Tropical storm Isaac forms, forecast to become hurricane; could strike Florida or Gulf Coast

As expected, tropical storm Isaac has formed in the tropical Atlantic, about 500 miles east of Guadeloupe in the Lesser Antilles. The storm is expected to intensify into a hurricane Thursday or Friday in the Caribbean.

By Jason Samenow  |  07:27 PM ET, 08/21/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:29 AM ET, 08/21/2012

Tropical depression 9 forms, tropical storm Isaac likely soon; warnings for eastern Caribbean

Tropical depression 9 is likely to become tropical storm Isaac later today and perhaps a hurricane within two days. It poses a near-term landfall threat in the northern Caribbean and potentially the U.S. Gulf and/or Atlantic coasts early next week.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:29 AM ET, 08/21/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:46 PM ET, 08/20/2012

Could hurricane wreak havoc at Republican convention? Will it be Isaac?

For three straight simulations, NOAA’s Global Forecast System (GFS) model has tracked a tropical system right over the Florida peninsula through or close to Tampa just as the Republican National Convention is ramping up. Assuming this system - presently a little swirl in the open Atlantic - strengthens some, it will be named Isaac.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:46 PM ET, 08/20/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 08/20/2012

Very active tropical Atlantic as we enter peak of hurricane season; Isaac next?

As one-time hurricane Gordon and one-time tropical storm Helene move out of the picture, three other disturbances are brewing in the tropical Atlantic. One them, known as AL94, needs to be carefully monitored as it could threaten the U.S. coast.

By Brian McNoldy  |  11:15 AM ET, 08/20/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:15 PM ET, 08/16/2012

Tropical storm Gordon may become hurricane, no threat to U.S.; Greg Postel to the Weather Channel

The tropical Atlantic got its 7th named storm of the 2012 season this morning. Gordon developed over the open Atlantic and has intensified into a 50 mph tropical storm. As of 11 a.m. it was 640 miles east of Bermuda, heading northeast at 16 mph.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:15 PM ET, 08/16/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Capital Weather Gang

Posted at 09:55 AM ET, 08/16/2012

Kai-tak (Helen) intensifies to typhoon, likely to make landfall south of Hong Kong

Kai-tak has been upgraded to a typhoon, with maximum sustained winds of around 75 mph. The track forecast has shifted the expected landfall to the south and west, steering the brunt of the storm south of Hong Kong in western Guangdong.

By Jason Samenow  |  09:55 AM ET, 08/16/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:35 PM ET, 08/10/2012

An active tropical Atlantic spawns two new systems as Ernesto dissipates

After watching Ernesto for the past 10 days, we will wrap up the week with a couple of active systems in the central and eastern Atlantic. One is headed for the Lesser Antilles this weekend, and the other is just off the coast of Africa.

By Brian McNoldy*  |  12:35 PM ET, 08/10/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:24 PM ET, 08/09/2012

NOAA increases prediction for Atlantic hurricanes; new disturbances may organize

The flurry of Atlantic tropical activity has prompted NOAA to bump up its prediction for the number of storms to expect through the end of hurricane season in November.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:24 PM ET, 08/09/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:55 PM ET, 08/07/2012

Hurricane Ernesto to hit Belize and Mexico tonight

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded Ernesto to a Category 1 hurricane

By Brian McNoldy*  |  12:55 PM ET, 08/07/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:56 AM ET, 08/06/2012

Tropical storm Ernesto rapidly intensifying, tracking towards Belize

The once-feeble tropical storm Ernesto is now an ominous and rapidly-intensifying storm heading for Honduras and Belize, likely as a hurricane.

By Brian McNoldy*  |  11:56 AM ET, 08/06/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:57 PM ET, 08/03/2012

Tropical storm Ernesto forecast to become hurricane by Monday in Caribbean

Tropical storm Ernesto, which swept across the Windward islands, has entered the Caribbean and is forecast to strengthen gradually over the weekend. By Monday, the National Hurricane Center says, Ernesto may reach hurricane intensity.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:57 PM ET, 08/03/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 04:46 PM ET, 08/02/2012

Tropical storm Ernesto forms in the Atlantic

After more than a month hiatus, a tropical storm is alive and kicking in the Atlantic basin. The National Hurricane Center has upgraded tropical depression number 5 to tropical storm Ernesto as of late this afternoon. The storm’s maximum sustained winds are around 50 mph and gradual strengthening is forecast as it zips across the Windward islands into the Caribbean.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:46 PM ET, 08/02/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:57 PM ET, 08/02/2012

Twin storms Damrey and Saola near coast of China

Double trouble. Typhoon Damrey and tropical storm Saola are both making landfall in mainland China.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:57 PM ET, 08/02/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:46 PM ET, 07/23/2012

Intense typhoon Vicente slamming Hong Kong

After rapidly intensifying earlier today, typhoon Vicente is battering Hong Kong and locations in Southern China.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:46 PM ET, 07/23/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, International Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 07:11 PM ET, 06/27/2012

Tropical storm Debby is gone, but damage is done (PHOTOS)

The National Hurricane Center downgraded once tropical storm Debby to a post-tropical cyclone this evening, as the multi-day deluge over the Florida peninsula drew to a close. Since the weekend, the storm produced unthinkable amounts of rain, exceeding two feet in some areas, and tremendous flooding

By Jason Samenow  |  07:11 PM ET, 06/27/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, U.S. Weather

Posted at 11:35 AM ET, 06/26/2012

Tropical storm Debby generates incredible rainfall over north Florida

Debby, the minimal tropical storm which has sat and spun over the northeast Gulf of Mexico for several days, has produced rainfall totals in north Florida not to be believed, exceeding 20” in spots. Additional heavy rain is forecast, likely worsening ongoing flooding in the region.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:35 AM ET, 06/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, U.S. Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:01 AM ET, 06/25/2012

Tropical storm Debby drenching Florida as it crawls through northeast Gulf of Mexico

Tropical storm Debby’s forward motion over the northern Gulf of Mexico has ground to a halt as it unleashes band after band of heavy rain over the state of Florida. The storm is going nowhere fast and could take until the end of the week to cross Florida panhandle coast as (at most) a 65 mph (55-knot) tropical storm

By Greg Postel  |  11:01 AM ET, 06/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, U.S. Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:37 PM ET, 06/24/2012

Tropical storm Debby lashing Florida Gulf Coast, copious amounts of rain possible

Tropical storm Debby, which formed Saturday afternoon in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, is giving forecasters fits about its future course as it drifts northeast at 6 mph and drenches the west coast of Florida. Situated 140 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, the storm’s maximum sustained winds are 60 mph.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:37 PM ET, 06/24/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, U.S. Weather

Posted at 01:42 PM ET, 06/22/2012

Tropical storm Debby could form in Gulf of Mexico this weekend

A disorganized weather disturbance near the Yucatan Peninsula has better than even chances of becoming Debby, the 4th named storm of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season by Sunday.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:42 PM ET, 06/22/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:42 PM ET, 06/21/2012

Hurricane Agnes: A look back after 40 years

Just as the Watergate scandal was unfolding, residents of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast would have to deal with a tropical system that had formed over the Yucatan Peninsula on June 14th. That system, dubbed Agnes, would later cause some of the worst flooding ever recorded in the region’s, particularly Pennsylvania.

By Don Lipman  |  12:42 PM ET, 06/21/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest, History, Lipman

Posted at 12:08 PM ET, 06/21/2012

Chris becomes first Atlantic hurricane of 2012; Gulf of Mexico may generate new storm

Defying the odds, tropical storm Chris intensified over waters usually unfavorable to tropical systems, and has become the first Atlantic hurricane of 2012. It’s positioned 625 miles southeast of Newfoundland, heading northeast at 20 mph and is no threat to land.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:08 PM ET, 06/21/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 05:31 PM ET, 06/19/2012

Tropical storm Chris forms in Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has given a name - Chris - to the low pressure system positioned some 560 miles south-southwest of the Canadian Maritimes. The storm - marginally tropical - has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. It is neither a threat to land nor expected to appreciably strengthen.

By Jason Samenow  |  05:31 PM ET, 06/19/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:44 PM ET, 06/18/2012

Typhoon Guchol charging towards Japan

Western Pacific typhoon Guchol, with winds to 110 mph - equivalent to a category 3 hurricane - is one day away from crashing into Japan. But by the time it gets there, it’s expected to be a weaker though still formidable storm.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:44 PM ET, 06/18/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  International Weather, Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 12:28 PM ET, 06/15/2012

Hurricane Carlotta to slam Mexico with wind, flooding rain

Tropical storm Carlotta gained hurricane status this morning and is gaining strength in the Eastern Pacific. The category 1 storm has set its sights on the southwest coast of Mexico and may reach category 2 levels before striking land. Hurricane warnings have posted from Salina Cruz to Acapulco.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:28 PM ET, 06/15/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 10:47 AM ET, 05/29/2012

What’s next for tropical depression Beryl?

Former tropical storm Beryl barreled into Atlantic Beach, FL just after midnight Sunday night. With maximum sustained winds at 70 mph, it was the strongest tropical storm on record to make landfall in the U.S. before the official June 1 start of the Atlantic hurricane season.

By Greg Postel  |  10:47 AM ET, 05/29/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 05/25/2012

Another Tropical Storm off the Southeast coast?

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure east of the Florida coast for possible development.

By Greg Postel  |  02:00 PM ET, 05/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 05/21/2012

California hurricane odds extremely low, but not zero

The eastern Pacific hurricane season is well underway with the National Hurricane Center forecasting that Tropical Depression TWO-E should become Tropical Storm Bud later today.

By Jack Williams  |  02:00 PM ET, 05/21/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, U.S. Weather

Posted at 04:18 PM ET, 05/18/2012

Richard Knabb, Weather Channel expert, named director of National Hurricane Center

NOAA has named Richard Knabb, the Weather Channel’s tropical weather expert, the next director of the National Hurricane Center. He will start work June 4.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:18 PM ET, 05/18/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Government, Media

Posted at 11:31 AM ET, 05/09/2012

A hurricane before Memorial Day?

A model simulated a hurricane off the East Coast more than two weeks from now. Model forecasts that far out are completely unreliable, but might the idea have a little legitimacy? Is there a precedent?

By Jason Samenow  |  11:31 AM ET, 05/09/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:43 AM ET, 04/26/2012

AccuWeather and WSI forecast average hurricane season

Two weather forecasting companies have unveiled their predictions for the upcoming hurricane season. The message: this year won’t be as active as the last two years, but get ready anyways...

By Jason Samenow  |  11:43 AM ET, 04/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:55 AM ET, 04/13/2012

Goodnight, Irene: Hurricane retired from list of storm names

Via NOAA: “Irene has been retired from the official list of Atlantic Basin tropical storm names by the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) hurricane committee because of the fatalities and damage it caused in August 2011 and will be replaced by Irma.”

By Jason Samenow  |  11:55 AM ET, 04/13/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:25 PM ET, 04/04/2012

Atlantic hurricane season to be quieter than normal forecasters say

Weather patterns may conspire to produce only the fourth hurricane season since 1995 with below normal activity say two forecasting groups.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:25 PM ET, 04/04/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:19 PM ET, 02/13/2012

Cyclone Giovanna threatens Madagascar, “massive destruction” possible

Extremely dangerous cyclone Giovanna, equivalent to a category 4 hurricane, is set to make landfall on the east coast of Madagascar today. The powerful storm contains maximum sustained winds of 145 mph (125 knots) and may produce extensive damage on this island off the southeastern coast of Africa.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:19 PM ET, 02/13/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 11:26 AM ET, 02/06/2012

Unusual February tropical system douses south Florida, Key West

A disturbance with some tropical characteristics formed in the northern Caribbean over the weekend and is bringing heavy rains and gusty winds to south Florida and the Florida Keys.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:26 AM ET, 02/06/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 01/25/2012

Tropical Cyclone Funso brings heavy rain, flooding to Mozambique

A powerful storm, now equivalent to a Category 4 hurricane, has been spinning off the coast of southeast Africa since late last week. Currently packing sustained winds near 138 mph, Tropical Cyclone Funso has brought gusty conditions and flooding rain to coastal regions of Mozambique. Officials are concerned about possible food shortages following the destruction of a major national highway.

By Justin Grieser  |  10:30 AM ET, 01/25/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Floods, International Weather, Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:55 AM ET, 12/29/2011

Top 5 extreme international weather events of 2011

Earlier this week, we looked at the top five extreme weather events to impact the U.S. this year. Not confined to any particular borders, Mother Nature also brought extreme conditions to other parts of the world in 2011, including deadly storms, flooding and prolonged drought. Globally, extreme weather events were responsible for tens of thousands of deaths, not to mention billions of dollars in damages. Let’s take a look at the top 5 extreme weather events to occur outside the U.S. in 2011.

By Justin Grieser  |  10:55 AM ET, 12/29/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Climate Change, Droughts, Floods, International Weather, Latest, Recaps, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:25 PM ET, 12/19/2011

Tropical storm Washi kills hundreds in Philippines; may be 2011’s deadliest storm to strike globe

On Friday night, the compact but deadly tropical storm Washi swept across the central and southern Philippines killing hundreds and scores remain unaccounted for. Thousands are homeless.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:25 PM ET, 12/19/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 04:01 PM ET, 11/28/2011

2011 Atlantic hurricane season by the numbers: how accurate were forecasts?

Hurricane season in the tropical Atlantic officially ends November 30. After predictions for a busy season, how did it pan out?

By Jason Samenow  |  04:01 PM ET, 11/28/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 10:19 AM ET, 11/22/2011

Hurricane Kenneth in eastern Pacific: record-setting category 4 storm

Hurricane season ends in just over a week, yet one of eastern Pacific’s most intense storms this year swirls over the open ocean. Kenneth strengthened to category 4 intensity this morning, becoming the strongest hurricane on record so late in the season in the eastern north Pacific.

By Jason Samenow  |  10:19 AM ET, 11/22/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:12 PM ET, 10/27/2011

Rina weakens to tropical storm, still set to strike Cozumel, Yucatan

Aircraft reconnaissance, satellite pictures, and radar observations indicate that one-time hurricane Rina continues to weaken. As of 11 a.m., Rina has been downgraded to a tropical storm.

By Greg Postel  |  12:12 PM ET, 10/27/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:27 PM ET, 10/26/2011

Hurricane Rina forecast to weaken; Cozumel and Cancun prepare for landfall

Bearing down on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, Hurricane Rina has weakened to a category 1 hurricane. The National Hurricane Center is no longer forecasting intensification and the season’s sixth hurricane has probably just missed becoming the fourth major (category 3 or higher) hurricane.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:27 PM ET, 10/26/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:16 PM ET, 10/25/2011

Hurricane Rina strengthens, on track towards Yucatan

Hurricane Rina has intensified over the past day, reaching category 2 strength. Aircraft reconnaissance penetrations have recently observed maximum sustained winds near 105 mph (90 knots; pressure 971 mb), just 6 mph shy of category 3 intensity. Positioned about 300 miles southeast of Cancun, Mexico, it’s on a slow west-northwest jog at about 3 mph.

By Greg Postel  |  01:16 PM ET, 10/25/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:21 PM ET, 10/24/2011

Hurricane Rina rapidly develops, may strike Yucatan

UPDATE: In less than 24 hours, Rina has rapidly intensified from a tropical depression to a hurricane. FROM EARLIER: The 17th named storm of the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season, tropical storm Rina shows signs of intensifying a little over 100 miles off the coast of Honduras. The successor to hurricane Rita, whose name was retired in 2005, it is moving northwestward at just a few miles per hour.

By Greg Postel  |  01:21 PM ET, 10/24/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:04 PM ET, 10/17/2011

An East Coast rainmaker with tropical pedigree, coming midweek

A wet and windy rainstorm will be moving northward along the East Coast this week, giving some highly populated areas from south Florida to Downeast Maine gusty winds and excessive rains.

By Greg Postel  |  02:04 PM ET, 10/17/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, U.S. Weather, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:26 PM ET, 10/11/2011

Hurricane Jova weakens, nears west coast of Mexico

Hurricane Jova, a powerful category 3 hurricane 24 hours ago, has weakened to category 2 intensity in the hours prior to landfall. Still, the storm threatens to deliver a big blow to the southwest coast of Mexico.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:26 PM ET, 10/11/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 01:40 PM ET, 10/10/2011

Hurricane Jova, dangerous category 3 storm, bears down on Mexico’s west coast

On a collision course with the west coast of Mexico, major hurricane Jova continues intensifying. Packing sustained winds of 125 mph, the high-end category 3 storm could reach “catastrophic” category 4 levels prior to landfall.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:40 PM ET, 10/10/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest, International Weather

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 10/06/2011

Potential Florida subtropical system could be East Coast rainmaker next week

By Greg Postel and Jason Samenow  |  02:00 PM ET, 10/06/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  U.S. Weather, Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:10 AM ET, 10/06/2011

Atlantic tropical storm activity may fire up again

The tropical atmosphere has been unusually biased against Atlantic hurricane development this season. As discussed in our last post, global-scale mechanisms have stacked the odds against it, nudging the general circulation into a regime that has so far been really dry, and really stable for long periods over the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico. Time and time again, the conditions have been especially unkind to hurricane production. Never before in our records have so few hurricanes (4) developed from so many named systems (16)

By Greg Postel  |  11:10 AM ET, 10/06/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:40 PM ET, 09/30/2011

Typhoon Nalgae (Quiel) bears down on northern Philippines reeling from Nesat

Just four days after Typhoon Nesat (locally known as Pedring) ripped across the northern Philippines, a second dangerous typhoon threatens the same region. Intensifying Typhoon Nalgae (locally known as Quiel) is poised to tear through the northern part of Luzon island tonight (Saturday morning and afternoon local time).

By Jason Samenow  |  02:40 PM ET, 09/30/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 11:58 AM ET, 09/30/2011

Ophelia becomes major hurricane; update on Atlantic season

Hurricane Ophelia, a mere remnant wave early this week, has made a remarkable recovery, reaching the major category 3 level today. About 620 miles south southeast of Bermuda, its maximum winds are 115 mph. Short term fluctuations in intensity are likely over the next day before a gradual weakening. Its western periphery could just clip Bermuda Saturday, and a tropical storm watch is in effect. Ophelia is one of the 16 named storms (and one additional tropical depression) in this Atlantic hurricane season, the second busiest (to 2005) on record at this point. But in this season’s batch of 16 named storms, there have been only 4 hurricanes, three of which (including Ophelia) have reached major status (category 3 or higher). And Colorado State researcher Brian McNoldy notes this is a record low number of hurricanes for such a larger number of total storms.

By Greg Postel  |  11:58 AM ET, 09/30/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:17 AM ET, 09/28/2011

Tropical storm Ophelia regenerates, could clip Bermuda

Once in a great while, a tropical system rises from the dead. Count tropical storm Ophelia among the resurrected as of this morning. Located 215 miles east of the northern Leeward islands, its maximum sustained winds have grown to 50 mph. It’s currently drifting north-northwest at 3 mph but an increase in forward speed is forecast.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:17 AM ET, 09/28/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 01:05 PM ET, 09/27/2011

Typhoon Nesat pounds Philippines, heads for south China

Typhoon Nesat crashed ashore the northern Philippines last night with peak sustained winds between105-120 mph. The powerful storm killed at least seven people according to reports. The storm made landfall at 4 a.m. local time in the northern provinces of Aurora and Isabela on Luzon Island.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:05 PM ET, 09/27/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 01:24 PM ET, 09/21/2011

Tropical storm Ophelia forms but forecast to weaken

Tropical storm Ophelia, the Atlantic’s 15th named storm of 2011, formed last night and has slowly intensified over the last 12 hours. Positioned 1245 miles east of the Leeward islands, its maximum sustained winds are 60 mph. Its westward forward speed of 16 mph is forecast to continue for another day before a slight turn to the north.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:24 PM ET, 09/21/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:05 AM ET, 09/21/2011

Typhoon Roke crashes into Japan

Packing sustained winds of 100 mph,equivalent to a Category 2 hurricane, Typhoon Roke made landfall at 1 a.m. EDT or 2 p.m. local time today in Honshu (south central mainland Japan), between the cities of Toyohashi and Hamamatsu, south of Tokyo. Tokyo experienced sustained tropical storm force winds with gusts reaching 83 mph.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:05 AM ET, 09/21/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 03:58 PM ET, 09/20/2011

Will tropical storm Ophelia form? An Atlantic hurricane season revival?

For the most part, the skies over the Caribbean and Atlantic Basins are remarkably clear. This is not typical, given that we are still near the most active part of the hurricane season historically (which, according to the chart below, was just over a week ago). There is, however, one notable exception to the current –almost thunderstorm free- quiescence over this sector of the tropical atmosphere. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is keeping an eye on a collection of clouds, identified as AL98, way out in the Atlantic.

By Greg Postel  |  03:58 PM ET, 09/20/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 12:53 PM ET, 09/20/2011

Dangerous Typhoon Roke rapidly strengthens, to rake Japan

Since yesterday, Typhoon Roke has undergone rapid intensification and presents a clear and present danger to large parts of Japan. Maximum sustained winds have increased from 80 to 130 miles per hour in just the last 24 hours. Roke is equivalent to a strong category 3 hurricane.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:53 PM ET, 09/20/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, International Weather

Posted at 02:39 PM ET, 09/19/2011

Typhoon Roke charging towards Japan

Less than two weeks after Typhoon Talas claimed at least 54 lives in Japan, the natural disaster ravaged country braces for Typhoon Roke, about 630 nautical miles southwest of Yokosuka.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:39 PM ET, 09/19/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:46 AM ET, 09/14/2011

Is the Atlantic hurricane season winding down?

The Atlantic hurricane season is not over by a long shot. In fact, we’re in the middle of the most active few weeks of the season historically. However, the tropics seem poised to enter a temporary quiet period once tropical storm Maria becomes part of an extratropical rainstorm over the North Atlantic in a couple days. A spell of inhospitable conditions that will shut down storm development is beginning to temporarily settle over Africa and the Atlantic Basin.

By Greg Postel  |  11:46 AM ET, 09/14/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 09/12/2011

Atlantic storm, once hurricane Katia, slams Scotland, northern Ireland

Late last week, hurricane Katia split the gap between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda, sparing them high winds and rain, merely pushing ashore high surf. But over the weekend, Katia transitioned from a hurricane into a large, mid-latitude cyclone as it charged across the northern Atlantic. Yesterday and today, it is battering the northern portion of the United Kingdom with damaging winds and flooding rain.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:00 AM ET, 09/12/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, International Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:30 PM ET, 09/08/2011

The latest on Hurricane Katia and tropical storms Maria and Nate

While the remnants of tropical storm Lee have been flooding the mid-Atlantic and northeast, the tropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico remain very active with three named storms, tropical storm Maria, hurricane Katia, and tropical storm Nate swirling about.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:30 PM ET, 09/08/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:33 PM ET, 09/06/2011

Hurricane Katia to pass between East Coast and Bermuda; new areas of tropical concern brewing

Category 1 Hurricane Katia has begun the long road to recurvature out to sea. Currently moving northwest at 9 mph roughly 900 miles off of Florida’s east coast, this 115 mph storm should cut between Bermuda and the United States with relatively modest impacts.

By Greg Postel  |  02:33 PM ET, 09/06/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 09/06/2011

Rainy week: what’s the cause and how much?

The rain poured down fast and furiously last night producing 1-2” of rain across the immediate metro region, and up to 2-4” to the west and southwest. The rain, which prompted several flash flood warnings, was just the first of several waves of rainfall likely over the next few days. By the end of the work week, cumulative rainfall totals may reach 3-6” in the immediate metro region, with 4-8” towards the mountains. With in both of these areas, locally higher amounts cannot be ruled out.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:00 AM ET, 09/06/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Floods, Local Climate, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:45 PM ET, 09/02/2011

Hurricane Katia: East Coast not out of the woods

After weakening last night to a 70 mph tropical storm, Katia has regained hurricane intensity today with maximum winds of 75 mph. It is moving west-northwest at about 14 mph, and is still roughly 2000 miles from North America. Although it remains likely to turn out to sea late next week, some models are starting to bring Katia a little close to the East Coast for comfort.

By Greg Postel  |  12:45 PM ET, 09/02/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 09/02/2011

Tropical storm Lee poses significant flooding risk for New Orleans, central Gulf Coast

Tropical depression 13 has strengthened and been given the name tropical storm Lee. Positioned 200 miles southwest of Cameron, La., it has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. Tropical storm warnings stretch from Pascaguola, Ms. to Sabine Tx, including New Orleans. The National Hurricane Center warns of “extensive flooding, especially in urban areas.”

By Jason Samenow and Greg Postel  |  11:15 AM ET, 09/02/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:15 PM ET, 09/01/2011

Hurricane Katia continues westbound; Gulf system poses major flooding risk

Still more than a thousand miles east of the Leeward islands, Hurricane Katia continues a steady march towards the western Atlantic. Of more immediate concern, perhaps, is an area of disturbed weather in the east central Gulf of Mexico which could be a massive rainmaker for portions of the U.S. Gulf coast.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:15 PM ET, 09/01/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 03:23 PM ET, 08/31/2011

Did NOAA peg Hurricane Irene’s track four days out? How good was its forecast?

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has been promoting the fact it “nailed” hurricane Irene’s track four days out. On both of its home page and Environmental Visualization Laboratory website, it shows an animation demonstrating Irene followed the National Hurricane Center (NHC) track issued at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 23. It’s true that NHC correctly predicted Irene’s track at that point in time. But what about subsequent times? What about previous times? And what about its intensity?

By Jason Samenow  |  03:23 PM ET, 08/31/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Government

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 08/31/2011

Katia now a hurricane; Atlantic hurricane season still to peak

Tropical storm Katia, spinning away in the central Atlantic, is quickly closing in on hurricane intensity. And more ominously, the atmosphere across much of the rest of the tropics shows signs of becoming even more fertile.

By Greg Postel  |  11:15 AM ET, 08/31/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:10 PM ET, 08/30/2011

Hurriquake: Footprint of Hurricane Irene and earthquake onslaught in Washington, D.C. region

One week. The largest earthquake in the region in 100+ years. 19 after shocks. Up to a foot of rain. 40-70 mph wind gusts. These images tell the story.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:10 PM ET, 08/30/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Environment, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:30 PM ET, 08/30/2011

Lessons from Hurricane Irene: why it wasn’t stronger and implications for science and society

Many of us watched tropical cyclone Irene’s approach with enough anxiety to last a lifetime. After all, a hurricane riding up the East Coast is maybe the nightmare scenario for forecasters, emergency managers, and residents alike. But Irene, thankfully, didn’t quite live up to some of its expectations. Now that we are a couple of days removed from its landfall, everything we learn from this experience need not be a retrospective analysis of how to deal with a potential disaster. It might prove equally rewarding to more closely examine how much of a disaster we were up against in the first place.

By Greg Postel  |  12:30 PM ET, 08/30/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 10:40 AM ET, 08/30/2011

Tropical storm Katia forms in eastern Atlantic, forecast to be Category 3 hurricane in 5 days

A little more than one day after the demise of Irene, forecasters have a new tropical storm to track. Early this morning, tropical storm Katia was born far out in the eastern Atlantic, about 535 miles west-southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde islands.

By Jason Samenow  |  10:40 AM ET, 08/30/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:16 PM ET, 08/29/2011

Hurricane Irene hype: over the top media coverage or justified?

A Category 5 intensity debate is swirling around a category 1 storm: was Irene overhyped by media or were the media prudently sounding the alarm in the spirit of public safety?

By Jason Samenow  |  02:16 PM ET, 08/29/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Media, Media, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:30 AM ET, 08/29/2011

Recap: Hurricane Irene’s rain and wind in Washington, D.C.

Around the Washington, D.C. metro region, Irene behaved largely as predicted (at least by the Capital Weather Gang), raking the I-95 corridor and points east with wind and rain, with steadily diminishing impacts as you headed west towards Loudoun and Frederick county.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:30 AM ET, 08/29/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Local Climate, Latest, Recaps, Tropical Weather

Posted at 09:14 AM ET, 08/29/2011

The outer cloud bands of Hurricane Irene and Isabel

The weather setup for Friday’s photo shoot of Irene reminded me of my sunset shoot Isabel in 2003. Both storms were off the coast of North Carolina at the time of the shoots, spinning northwest toward our area. While the weather setup was similar, the cloud bands of the two storms could not have been more different. Isabel had long, well-defined bands of cirrus clouds while Irene had less-defined bands of cirrus, altocumulus, and cumulus clouds. Light, scattered showers accompanied Irene’s outer cloud bands while Isabel’s outer cloud bands were dry. The photo comparison below shows the difference in the outer cloud bands of Irene and Isabel, both photographed a day before the storms impacted our area.

By Kevin Ambrose  |  09:14 AM ET, 08/29/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Photography, Latest

Posted at 02:25 PM ET, 08/28/2011

Irene lashes areas from New York to New England, but could have been worse

Although Irene did not prove to be devastating to New York City, the storm packed a solid punch, with wind gusts of hurricane force recorded along the southern coast of Long Island. The storm tested New York’s emergency preparedness, and demonstrated its vulnerability to coastal flooding. However, Irene’s biggest legacy may prove to be damaging inland flooding, with record crests for many waterways predicted during the next 48 hours.

By Andrew Freedman  |  02:25 PM ET, 08/28/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest, Freedman

Posted at 02:30 AM ET, 08/28/2011

D.C. area dealing with worst of Irene; Eastern Shore still getting hammered

Irene has held its own since making landfall this morning, still holding on as a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 80 mph. For the D.C. area, the heaviest rain and strongest winds are yet to come over the next 6-8 hours or so before things start to wind down toward dawn.

By Dan Stillman and Jason Samenow  |  02:30 AM ET, 08/28/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest, Forecasts

Posted at 06:55 PM ET, 08/27/2011

Rain and wind increasing across D.C. area; worst tonight

As we’ve mentioned before, this is not a panic situation as far as the immediate metro area is concerned. However, now is the time to get to where you plan to be for the night, as rain and wind continue to increase from southeast to northwest.

By Dan Stillman  |  06:55 PM ET, 08/27/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 12:15 PM ET, 08/27/2011

Hurricane Irene over North Carolina; D.C. area conditions headed downhill

Hurricane Irene is moving north/northeast through North Carolina on its way to a closer run in with the area. Winds are sustained at 85 mph, and it is expected to remain a hurricane while passing by near the shoreline. Rain that has been creeping northwest through the day will continue to do so as winds pick up. If you must go out, plan on doing it before dark.

By Ian Livingston  |  12:15 PM ET, 08/27/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 08/27/2011

Forecast: Rain and wind inbound as Hurricane Irene impacts the East Coast

Ready for Irene? It’s on the way. A chance of morning showers becomes a growing threat of heavy rain squalls and building winds. The worst of it may hold off until evening and then into the overnight when rain continues and is accompanied by sustained winds up to 40 mph or higher. Any last minute preparations should be completed early in the day.

By Ian Livingston and Dan Stillman  |  05:00 AM ET, 08/27/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Forecasts, Tropical Weather

Posted at 08:05 PM ET, 08/26/2011

The latest on Irene and its uncertain forecasts

Category 2 Hurricane Irene continues making progress to the north/northeast at 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds remain around 100 mph and very little has changed with the storm since earlier today - it hasn’t strengthened, but it’s a very large storm with tropical storm-force winds out to 90 miles from its center. Now, let’s address why the uncertainty in Irene forecasts over the past few days?

By Steve Tracton and Dan Stillman  |  08:05 PM ET, 08/26/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, Tracton

Posted at 05:08 PM ET, 08/26/2011

Hurricane Irene: Are you prepared?

Here are tips on preparing for what is shaping up to be a damaging storm.

By Washington Post editors  |  05:08 PM ET, 08/26/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:37 PM ET, 08/26/2011

For Northeast, Hurricane Irene poses a rare and very real threat

Millions of people from Philadelphia northward to Maine are bracing for what may be their closest encounter with a hurricane since at least 1991.

By Andrew Freedman  |  02:37 PM ET, 08/26/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:37 AM ET, 08/26/2011

Irene closing in on the Outer Banks

Irene remains a category 2 storm, though maximum sustained winds are down a bit, and the National Hurricane Center expects little change before N.C. landfall.

By Greg Postel  |  11:37 AM ET, 08/26/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 08:25 AM ET, 08/26/2011

Hurricane Irene: Frequently asked questions

Hurricane Irene is headed up the East Coast - a category 2 storm at 8 a.m. with winds near 110 mph, but capable of strengthening back into category 3 territory - and could spread tropical storm conditions across the D.C. metro area Saturday afternoon into evening. The story is even more troubling for the Eastern Shore, including the Va/Md/De beaches, where destructive winds, flooding rain, widespread power outages and a life-threatening storm surge are possible.

By Jason Samenow  |  08:25 AM ET, 08/26/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:12 PM ET, 08/25/2011

Massive Hurricane Irene resumes intensification

After its intensity held steady for about a day, Irene is deepening as it pulls away from the northwest Bahamas, on a collision course with the North Carolina Outer Banks. Although its maximum sustained winds of 115 have not (yet) increased, its central pressure has dropped (to 942 mb). Typically, a drop in pressure is followed by an increase in wind speed.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:12 PM ET, 08/25/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 05:09 PM ET, 08/25/2011

Tropical storm and hurricane watches issued for D.C. metro region, tidal Potomac, Chesapeake Bay, and Atlantic beaches

The National Hurricane Center has issued a tropical storm watch for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward and the Tidal Potomac, including Washington, D.C. The National Weather Service in Sterling has extended the tropical storm watch to cover much of the immediate D.C. metro region but it does not include the far western suburbs of Frederick, Loudoun and Fauquier counties.Further east, southeast and northeast, a hurricane watch has been issued from the Virginia/North Carolina border northward to Sandy Hook New Jersey, including Delaware Bay, and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith point.

By Jason Samenow  |  05:09 PM ET, 08/25/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:17 PM ET, 08/25/2011

Hurricane Irene to sock beaches, sweep D.C. metro region

It has become clear that areas from the tidewater of Virginia northeast across the Chesapeake Bay to the Delmarva coast will experience a very serious hurricane in Irene. Ocean City is being evacuated in anticipation. As you go west of the Bay, the impacts from Irene are likely to lessen. Determining exactly where the cutoff occurs is a difficult issue. And, as we’ve been stressing, changes in the storm track can have important changes - shifting major impacts east or west.

By Jason Samenow  |  03:17 PM ET, 08/25/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:30 PM ET, 08/25/2011

Washington’s worst five hurricanes and tropical storms

While the remnants of tropical systems impact the Washington area frequently, almost every year, it’s fairly uncommon to have a major tropical storm or hurricane directly impact our local region. With that said, the Washington area has experienced a number of damaging hurricanes and tropical storms over the past century. Below is a list of what I consider to be the Washington, D.C. area’s top five most damaging and impactful tropical systems.

By Kevin Ambrose  |  12:30 PM ET, 08/25/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather, History

Posted at 11:16 AM ET, 08/25/2011

Hurricane Irene: Tracks shifts west, potentially “extremely destructive” for East Coast

Hurricane Irene, 645 miles south of Cape Hatteras, is less than two days away from initiating a devastating blow to a large section of the East Coast. While its intensity has held steady since last night, the risk to much of the eastern seaboard has grown larger as computer models have nudged its track westward, closer to the coast, if not slightly inland. Not only are severe impacts likely for coastal regions from the Outer Banks of North Carolina to New England, but interior sections of the mid-Atlantic, including the Richmond, Washington, D.C., Baltimore, and Philadelphia may also experience major effects from Irene

By Jason Samenow  |  11:16 AM ET, 08/25/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 07:05 PM ET, 08/24/2011

Hurricane Irene: “Extreme” risk to coastal mid-Atlantic, southern New England

Hitting the southeast Bahamas “hard”, major hurricane Irene is growing in size and strength. A category 3 storm with peak sustained winds of 120 mph, its radius of hurricane force winds have expanded outwards to 60 miles from the center (from 40 miles earlier today). The National Hurricane Center writes the satellite presentation of Irene has “continued to improve” and its pressure has dropped. Intensification to the dangerous category four level is still expected in the next day or two. Importantly, two global forecast models, the European and the NOAA’s “GFS”, have shifted the track slightly westward this afternoon increasing the risk of severe impacts to the coast of the mid-Atlantic and New England. The National Hurricane Center has adjusted its official track slightly westward bringing Irene’s center just east of the North Carolina Outer Banks then almost due northward (paralleling the Delmarva coast) over the east end of Long Island, before crashing it into Rhode Island.

By Jason Samenow  |  07:05 PM ET, 08/24/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 03:06 PM ET, 08/24/2011

Hurricane Irene: what might it mean for Washington, D.C. and nearby beaches?

A couple of possible scenarios both involve rain, wind and flooding; the questions are, how much of each and where?

By Jason Samenow  |  03:06 PM ET, 08/24/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:29 AM ET, 08/24/2011

Hurricane Irene, major category 3 storm, closing in on East Coast

Swirling through the Bahamas, Hurricane Irene has intensified this morning, reaching major category 3 status, with peak sustained winds of 115 mph. Hurricane warnings continue for all of the Bahamas where 6-12 inches of rain are expected in addition to punishing, hurricane force winds. A potentially devastating storm surge of 7-11 feet is possible in areas with onshore winds near the center of Irene. Irene is headed northwest towards the East Coast, but the latest guidance has continued to trend eastward, more offshore, and a direct strike on North Carolina’s shore, while possible, is not a sure thing. Similarly, a direct hit is still plausible for southern New England, but not a certainty. Irrespective of whether the storm makes a direct hit at particular coastal locations from North Carolina to New England, significant impacts are quite possible including torrential rain, coastal flooding and damaging winds.

By Greg Postel  |  11:29 AM ET, 08/24/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 08:27 PM ET, 08/23/2011

Hurricane Irene: Good chance to be billion dollar weather disaster

Extreme weather events in 2011 in the U.S. have already matched 2008’s record for most billion dollar weather disasters. If history is any indication, Hurricane Irene will become 2011’s 10th such disaster, putting 2011 in first place by itself, with four months still remaining in the calendar year.

By Jason Samenow  |  08:27 PM ET, 08/23/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:05 PM ET, 08/23/2011

Hurricane Irene imagery: International Space Station view, NOAA movie, emerging eye

Astronaut Ron Garan, aboard the International Space Station, photographed an image of Hurricane Irene Monday evening. Irene was at Category 1 storm at the time with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. Image shown in this post.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:05 PM ET, 08/23/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 08/23/2011

Hurricane Irene may hug East Coast rather than track inland

Since yesterday, Hurricane Irene has grown to a Category 2 hurricane, and presently contains maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. Situated about 70 miles south of Grand Turk Island, hurricane warnings are in effect for all of the Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos islands. Marching west-northwestward at 12 mph, the storm is very likely to intensify into a major hurricane (category 3 or higher) and head towards the U.S. East Coast, but the exact track and specific impacts remain fuzzy. The latest guidance suggests the storm could remain over the ocean, battering the coast, rather than coming inland.

By Greg Postel and Jason Samenow  |  11:15 AM ET, 08/23/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 08/22/2011

Will Hurricane Irene generate a Washington, D.C. deluge?

Computer models continue to advertise the strong possibility that Hurricane Irene will have significant impacts along the East Coast. But what does that mean for us locally here in Washington, D.C.?

By Jason Samenow  |  02:00 PM ET, 08/22/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:10 AM ET, 08/22/2011

Hurricane Irene a serious threat to U.S. East Coast

Hurricane Irene continues to intensify as it moves west-northwestward at 13 mph. Currently located 105 miles west-northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico, hurricane warnings are in effect for the southeast Bahamas, Turks and Caicos islands, and north coast of the Dominican Republic. A hurricane watch is posted for the north coast of Haiti and the central Bahamas. Current model track guidance is nearly unanimous in steering Irene towards the southeast U.S. coast by Friday, with landfall occurring somewhere between central South Carolina and southern North Carolina.

By Greg Postel and Jason Samenow  |  11:10 AM ET, 08/22/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 03:05 PM ET, 08/19/2011

Tropical storm Harvey forms; watchful eyes on trailing disturbance

Tropical depression eight has officially reached tropical storm status, earning the name Harvey this afternoon. Located 285 miles east southeast of Belize City in the western Caribbean, the storm has prompted tropical storm warnings for the Bay Islands of Honduras and the coast of Belize. While Harvey may produce dangerous flash flooding and mudslides in Central America, interests in the United States are more focused on the trailing disturbance in the central Atlantic, known as 97L.

By Jason Samenow  |  03:05 PM ET, 08/19/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 10:45 AM ET, 08/17/2011

Hurricane hype and false alarms

As you may have heard, some of the global weather models are insisting on tropical storm and hurricane development in the Atlantic Basin at some point during the next week. Some bloggers are posting forecasts 240 to 360 hours into the future and anticipating the possibility of a hurricane along at the East Coast at the end of next week. There’s a chance that may happen but model forecasts in that range are little more than fantasy.

By Greg Postel  |  10:45 AM ET, 08/17/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 08/12/2011

Peak of hurricane season nears, tropical Atlantic firing up

Peak hurricane season spans mid-August through late October. As we enter this active period, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently tracking four disturbances with potential to develop into tropical cyclones - that is, tropical storms and hurricanes. None represent any near-term landfall threat.

By Greg Postel  |  12:00 PM ET, 08/12/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:15 PM ET, 08/05/2011

Tropical storm Emily remnants may regenerate; typhoon Muifa nears China

After weakening from a tropical storm to a tropical wave over the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola, the remnants of Emily have now emerged over the southern Bahamas. The National Hurricane Center says the tropical wave has a 60% chance of regaining tropical storm status. However, little or no impact is expected along the U.S. East Coast.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:15 PM ET, 08/05/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 01:45 PM ET, 08/04/2011

NOAA increases forecast for number of Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes

Five storms into the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season and with tropical storm Emily bearing down on Haiti, NOAA has upped its prediction for the amount of tropical activity this year. Whereas its outlook issued in late May forecast 12-18 total named storms, it now expects 14-19. And it nudged up its projection for hurricanes to 7-10 from 6-10.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:45 PM ET, 08/04/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:30 AM ET, 08/04/2011

Tropical storm Emily bears down on Haiti, its future and U.S. landfall prospects uncertain

Tropical storm Emily, which has changed little in strength for two days, is closing in on the island of Hispaniola, which encompasses Dominican Republic and Haiti. At 11 a.m., it was positioned 90 miles south of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Heading west northwest at 5 mph, maximum sustained winds are 50 mph.

By Greg Postel and Jason Samenow  |  11:30 AM ET, 08/04/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 08/03/2011

Tropical Storm Emily moves through Caribbean, possibly setting sights on Southeast U.S. coast

Tropical storm Emily continues to move westward at 14 mph towards the island of Hispaniola on which lies Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Its current position is 125 miles south of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic. Maximum sustained winds are estimated by the National Hurricane Center to be near 50 mph, and little strengthening is likely before it encounters Hispaniola this evening

By Greg Postel  |  11:15 AM ET, 08/03/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 01:00 PM ET, 08/02/2011

Tropical storm Emily: Will it intensify and threaten East Coast?

Since it formed last night, tropical storm Emily has struggled to get its act together. Positioned 270 miles southeast of San Juan this morning, the storm has “meandered” over the last few hours according to the National Hurricane Center, but is expected to pick up the pace and head west northwest at 12 mph later today. A minimal tropical storm, Emily’s maximum sustained winds are 40 mph.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:00 PM ET, 08/02/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 12:10 PM ET, 08/01/2011

Tropical storm Emily may track towards U.S.

At 7:30 p.m. this evening, the National Hurricane Center named the disturbance AL91, tropical storm Emily. Emily, with maximum winds of 40 mph, is 350 miles southeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico, moving west at 17 mph. A variety of tropical storm watches and warnings are in effect for parts of the Leeward Islands, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola.

By Greg Postel  |  12:10 PM ET, 08/01/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:45 PM ET, 07/29/2011

Tropical storm Don nears south Texas coast, will it dent drought?

Packing maximum winds of 50 mph, tropical storm Don is closing in on the south Texas coast. As of 2 p.m. eastern, it was 145 southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas headed west northwest at 15 mph. Landfall is projected to occur tonight between Corpus Christi and Brownsville. Tropical storm warnings extend from the mouth of the Rio Grande to Matagorda (which is southwest of Galveston). A low end tropical storm, Don is unlikely to produce extensive wind damage. Its rains are sure to benefit the water-deprived state but probably not enough.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:45 PM ET, 07/29/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 07/28/2011

Tropical storm Don takes aim at thirsty Texas; intensification iffy

Tropical storm Don continues to take aim at the Texas Gulf Coast. It is moving west-northwestward at 12 mph across the Gulf of Mexico and at the current pace will make landfall somewhere between Brownsville and Galveston late Friday. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 45 mph. With tropical storm force winds confined to a small area within 60 miles of the center, and a rather disorderly satellite presentation, Don is not a healthy tropical cyclone.

By Greg Postel  |  11:15 AM ET, 07/28/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 11:30 AM ET, 07/27/2011

Disturbance in Yucatan channel likely to become tropical storm Don

With almost half the state of Texas afflicted by exceptional drought, a big dose of tropical rains would provide considerable relief. A fledgling tropical disturbance crossing the Yucatan Channel - if it takes the right track - could wash ashore in the parched state, answering many prayers. Although we expect this system to strengthen into a depression and probably a tropical storm - whose name would be Don, it is unlikely to become a destructive hurricane.

By Greg Postel and Jason Samenow  |  11:30 AM ET, 07/27/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 04:50 AM ET, 07/20/2011

2011 Hurricane Tracking Center

Hurricane tracking maps, 2011 storm names and more.

By Capital Weather Gang  |  04:50 AM ET, 07/20/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, U.S. Weather, Capital Weather Gang

Posted at 01:30 PM ET, 07/18/2011

Tropical storm Bret offshore Florida drifting northeast, no threat to U.S.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 50 mph, with some strengthening possible during the next day or so as it moves over warm water (mid-80s) and remains surrounded by relatively weak flow aloft. The official track directs Brett northeastward out to sea, never coming closer to the U.S. mainland than it is right now. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 50 mph, with some strengthening possible during the next day or so as it moves over warm water (mid-80s) and remains surrounded by relatively weak flow aloft. The official track directs Brett northeastward out to sea, never coming closer to the U.S. mainland than it is right now.

By Greg Postel  |  01:30 PM ET, 07/18/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 01:00 PM ET, 07/15/2011

Typhoon Ma-on projected to strike Japan Tuesday

Typhoon Ma-on, now as strong as a category four hurricane, continues on a path through the western Pacific towards Japan. The storm, located 270 nautical miles south-southeast of Iwo Jima, contains maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph. Currently moving west around 15 mph, track guidance steers Ma-on towards the coast of central Japan Tuesday morning, just southwest of Tokyo.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:00 PM ET, 07/15/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, International Weather, Latest

Posted at 01:00 PM ET, 07/13/2011

Typhoon Ma-on poses new threat to Japan

Still in the midst of its long recovery from the earthquakes and tsunami of early March, Japan must now keep a watchful eye on typhoon Ma-on, rapidly intensifying in the western Pacific. The storm could impact the disaster-ravaged country early next week.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:00 PM ET, 07/13/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  International Weather, Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 03:00 PM ET, 06/30/2011

Texas drought a disaster, while Arlene drenches southern tip

Finally a little good news for drought-plagued Texas: when tropical storm Arlene struck northeastern Mexico early this morning, it brought ashore vast amounts of deep, tropical moisture. A very large tropical storm, Arlene’s outer rain bands stretched into extreme south Texas, providing desperately needed rain. If only it could have extended its reach into rest of the drought-stricken state, recently declared a disaster area by the U.S. Department of Agriculture...

By Jason Samenow  |  03:00 PM ET, 06/30/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  U.S. Weather, Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:20 PM ET, 06/29/2011

Tropical storm Arlene: its past, present, and future

Tuesday night, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) determined the tropical disturbance spinning up in the Bay of Campeche acquired sufficient organization to be named Arlene, the first tropical storm of the 2011 season. As of this morning, the storm - located 155 miles east southeast of Tampico, Mexico - had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The storm is projected to make landfall Thursday along the coast of northeastern Mexico about 300 miles south of Brownsville, Texas, where tropical storm warnings and hurricane watches are in effect.

By Greg Postel  |  12:20 PM ET, 06/29/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 01:15 PM ET, 06/28/2011

Hurricane strikes along U.S. coast in dead period

Over the last five Atlantic hurricane seasons, tropical storms and hurricanes have had little trouble brewing. In fact, 69 named storms spun up in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, about 35 percent above the long-term average. 34 of those storms grew into hurricanes and 16 major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale). Yet amazingly, of all those major hurricanes, not one made landfall along the coast of the United States.

By Jason Samenow  |  01:15 PM ET, 06/28/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 02:07 PM ET, 06/01/2011

Tropics fire up on first day of Atlantic hurricane season

The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season officially began today. The first five named storms - should they form - are Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Don, and Emily. The start of the season prompted several forecast groups to release updated forecasts for the season while two disturbances with some potential to grow into tropical storms have already developed.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:07 PM ET, 06/01/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 05/19/2011

Atlantic hurricane season 2011: NOAA releases its forecast for above average activity

Joining at least six other research groups (or individuals) predicting a busy Atlantic hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced it also expects more storms than average in 2011. During the 2011 season, which spans June 1 to November 30, NOAA is forecasting 12-18 tropical storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or greater.

By Jason Samenow  |  12:00 PM ET, 05/19/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 11:22 AM ET, 05/09/2011

Hurricane season clues: more storms may head for land

There are some interesting pieces of the hurricane-season puzzle that may soon come into view. Clues may soon be emerging that suggest this year’s dominant steering currents may very well be different than the ones that protected the U.S. coast from landfalls just one year ago.

By Greg Postel  |  11:22 AM ET, 05/09/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Tropical Weather

Posted at 02:00 PM ET, 04/08/2011

How accurate are April hurricane season outlooks?

When we published a blog post summarizing Colorado State’s 2011 Atlantic hurricane season outlook Wednesday, I was stunned by the skepticism expressed by readers about the credibility of such outlooks. So I thought it would make sense to take a look at how skillful at how well/poorly CSU’s April outlooks have performed over the years. I found that although they haven’t demonstrated significant skill from a purely statistical standpoint, most years they’ve been on the right track.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:00 PM ET, 04/08/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest

Posted at 12:35 PM ET, 04/06/2011

Reaction to Colorado State hurricane outlook

Though informative, hurricane season predictions made the spring prior to hurricane season (or before) inherently leave plenty of wiggle room for things to turn out differently than advertised.

By Greg Postel  |  12:35 PM ET, 04/06/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest, Capital Weather Gang

Posted at 11:26 AM ET, 04/06/2011

Colorado State team predicts very active hurricane season; heightened U.S. landfall risk

The team of hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University announced today that they expect the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season to nearly twice as active as the average season (175 percent of normal). Specifically, they are calling for 16 named storms, nine hurricanes and five major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.

By Jason Samenow  |  11:26 AM ET, 04/06/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Tropical Weather, Latest