Capital Weather Gang: Weather Checker


Posted at 04:02 PM ET, 09/06/2012

A miserable week for weather forecasters in Washington, D.C.

We take pride in getting the forecast right most of the time. Occasionally, we’ll mess up a forecast on a given day and then recover. But this week, starting Monday - more or less - we’ve hit an extended slump.

By Jason Samenow  |  04:02 PM ET, 09/06/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Weather Checker

Posted at 02:56 PM ET, 04/26/2012

Rain fail not rainfall: why today’s wet forecast went wrong

It happens once in a great while. We get a forecast wrong. From the look of things, today’s going to be one of those days. That quarter-to-half inch of rain we told you was coming - unless some late day showers intervene - simply isn’t.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:56 PM ET, 04/26/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Weather Checker, Science

Posted at 06:48 PM ET, 11/01/2011

How well did we predict Snowtober?

When we planned the release of our winter outlook for the first week of November, little did we know the season’s first winter storm would occur before then! To sum up our forecasting performance for Snowtober (October 29), we were overly skeptical of a snow event prior to two days before the storm struck, but did a very good job of forecasting the storm within 48 hours.

By Jason Samenow  |  06:48 PM ET, 11/01/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Latest, Winter Storms, Weather Checker

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 04/19/2011

Grade our weekend forecast (4/16-17)

Your chance to grade our forecast leading up to and through this past weekend.

By Dan Stillman  |  11:15 AM ET, 04/19/2011 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker, Latest

Posted at 02:30 PM ET, 10/01/2010

Rain review: Took some time to get it right

Nailed the first half. Took several tries on the second half. That basically sums up our forecast performance for Thursday's record rainfall. We correctly warned ahead of time of the likelihood for heavy rain and the potential for flooding. And, for the first wave, we got the timing of heaviest rain right (late Wed. night into midday Thurs.) and essentially the amount. But we did not initially expect the rainfall double whammy in the metro region.

By Jason Samenow  |  02:30 PM ET, 10/01/2010 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 11/17/2009

Ida's remnants play havoc with last week's forecast

Weather Checker * Our Full Forecast | Fall photos in D.C. | Sesame Street weather * Brittany Thompson wades across Worcester Street in Ocean City, Md. (Laura Emmons/Associated Press) Weather Checker is an outsider's analysis of CWG's forecast accuracy. See previous Weather Checker posts. By Jamie Yesnowitz It's rarely easy...

By Capital Weather Gang  |  11:00 AM ET, 11/17/2009 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker

Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 08/12/2009

Checking the Forecast for a Rare August Day

Weather Checker * Staying Humid: Full Forecast | Climate Change & National Security * Weather Checker is an outsider's analysis of CWG's forecast accuracy. See previous Weather Checker posts. By Jamie Yesnowitz After a showery and overcast morning, this satellite image shows clearing skies beginning to work their way into...

By Capital Weather Gang  |  10:30 AM ET, 08/12/2009 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker

Posted at 11:30 AM ET, 12/26/2008

Active Pattern. Accurate Forecast?

Weather Checker * Warm Weekend on the Way: Express & Detailed Forecast * Weather Checker is an outsider's analysis of CWG's forecast accuracy. See previous Weather Checker posts. By Jamie Yesnowitz In addition to reviewing the accuracy of multiple forecasts for a single weather event, from time to time I'll...

By Capital Weather Gang  |  11:30 AM ET, 12/26/2008 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 12/01/2008

Weather Checker: When Is a Miss a Miss?

* Afternoon Shower? Full Forecast | Radar & More: Weather Wall * A rainbow seen from Oakton, Va., on Saturday Nov. 15. By Capital Weather Gang photographer Kevin Ambrose. Welcome to the first installment of Weather Checker, an outsider's analysis of CWG's forecast accuracy. By Jamie Yesnowitz We had some...

By Capital Weather Gang  |  11:00 AM ET, 12/01/2008 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 08/01/2008

In Search of a Weather Checker

Will you be our weather ombudsman? Yes. It's true. We don't always get the forecast right. (OK, you can drop the mocked surprise look.) Even when we're wrong, sometimes we've done the best we can given the data available. Other times, in hindsight, we see that we could've/should've done a...

By Dan Stillman  |  11:00 AM ET, 08/01/2008 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Categories:  Weather Checker