Capitals Insider: Statistical analysis


Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 04/12/2014

Who will be this year’s hot goalie?

They say defense wins championships, and in hockey, that starts with the netminder.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:00 PM ET, 04/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 04:22 PM ET, 04/05/2014

Fancy Stats Superlatives for the 2013-14 NHL regular season

It’s time to recognize a few players whose contributions -- or deficiencies -- might have gone overlooked.

By Neil Greenberg  |  04:22 PM ET, 04/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:35 PM ET, 04/05/2014

Washington Capitals need three goals or more

Under Adam Oates, Washington has not won a regulation or overtime game in which it has scored two or fewer goals.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:35 PM ET, 04/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Adam Oates, Offense, Statistical analysis

Posted at 04:15 PM ET, 03/29/2014

Trouble in Toronto for Maple Leafs

The Leafs don’t seem willing to admit it, but their flaws are coming back to haunt them in their playoff-endangering losing streak.

By Neil Greenberg  |  04:15 PM ET, 03/29/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis, Toronto Maple Leafs

Posted at 03:27 PM ET, 03/22/2014

St. Louis Blues are the NHL’s most efficient spenders

St. Louis is contending, unlike Carolina, which has little to show for its player investments.

By Neil Greenberg  |  03:27 PM ET, 03/22/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Carolina Hurricanes, St. Louis Blues, Statistical analysis

Posted at 03:00 PM ET, 03/15/2014

Colorado Avalanche could go cold during NHL playoffs

Colorado has enjoyed a rapid turnaround under Patrick Roy, but there are reasons to doubt its chances for postseason success.

By Neil Greenberg  |  03:00 PM ET, 03/15/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Colorado Avalanche, Statistical analysis

Posted at 04:30 PM ET, 03/01/2014

Expectations for Evgeny Kuznetsov should be tempered, whenever he arrives with Capitals

It remains unclear when the Capitals first-round pick of the 2010 draft will arrive in the NHL, but young Russian exports have historically had mixed results in their rookie seasons.

By Neil Greenberg  |  04:30 PM ET, 03/01/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Evgeny Kuznetsov, Statistical analysis

Posted at 04:00 PM ET, 02/01/2014

Ben Scrivens’s 59-save game masks bigger issue

A closer look at the record-setting performance by the OIlers goalie on Wednesday shows shots that, while far too numerous in quantity, were largely lacking in quality.

By Neil Greenberg  |  04:00 PM ET, 02/01/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ben Scrivens, Edmonton Oilers, San Jose Sharks, Statistical analysis

Posted at 04:44 PM ET, 01/25/2014

Blackhawks’ fourth line is key part of their success

Brandon Bollig, Marcus Kruger and Ben Smith form the shutdown line for the defending Stanley Cup champions while contributing on the scoreboard as well.

By Neil Greenberg  |  04:44 PM ET, 01/25/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ben Smith, Blackhawks, Brandon Bollig, Chicago Blackhawks, Marcus Kruger, Statistical analysis

Posted at 04:58 PM ET, 01/17/2014

Is Martin Brodeur costing New Jersey a playoff spot?

Despite goal support, Martin Brodeur may be costing the Devils a playoff spot.

By Neil Greenberg  |  04:58 PM ET, 01/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Martin Brodeur, New Jersey Devils, Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:32 AM ET, 01/11/2014

Maple Leafs failing to live up to expectations, but that shouldn’t be a surprise

The statistics show that Toronto had luck on its side last season, and that fortune is evening out this season.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:32 AM ET, 01/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Randy Carlyle, Statistical analysis, Toronto Maple Leafs

Posted at 10:45 AM ET, 01/04/2014

Rangers’ Chris Kreider is top rookie in first half of NHL season

The power forward’s contributions go beyond the scoresheet, making him the most deserving candidate for the Calder trophy at the season’s halfway point.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:45 AM ET, 01/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Calder Trophy, Chris Kreider, rookie of the year, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:32 AM ET, 12/31/2013

Carlson and Alzner give Washington a solid shutdown pair

John Carlson and Karl Alzner have seen a steady progression since their time together in Hershey.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:32 AM ET, 12/31/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  John Carlson, Karl Alzner, Statistical analysis

Posted at 08:43 AM ET, 12/30/2013

Backstrom’s quiet MVP-caliber campaign

The Caps center has a history of making things happen.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:43 AM ET, 12/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Nicklas Backstrom, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 12/25/2013

‘Moneypuck’ slowly making its way to NHL

Advanced stats are no longer just for the nerds who follow hockey and blog from their moms’ basements.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:00 PM ET, 12/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 01:12 PM ET, 12/23/2013

Ovechkin in midst of historic season

STATS ANALYSIS | There is a 50-50 chance Alex Ovechkin ends up with 60 goals or more.

By Neil Greenberg  |  01:12 PM ET, 12/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 08:07 AM ET, 12/21/2013

One-shot wonders of 2013

A look at which players have mastered the one-shot, one-goal, one-point feat.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:07 AM ET, 12/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 08:28 AM ET, 12/20/2013

Shootout wins often mean early outs in postseason

While shootout wins are nice, a better indication of playoff success is a regulation victory.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:28 AM ET, 12/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Shootouts, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:18 AM ET, 12/14/2013

Anze Kopitar belongs in MVP talk

Along with Alex Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby, Anze Kopitar of the Kings should receive consideration.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:18 AM ET, 12/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 01:00 PM ET, 12/10/2013

When will the NHL adopt advanced statistical analysis?

The NHL doesn’t have the best track record when it comes to embracing statistical analysis. But times may be changing.

By Neil Greenberg  |  01:00 PM ET, 12/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:53 AM ET, 12/09/2013

Ovechkin leads league in quick strikes

No one in the league has directed more rubber on net within 10 seconds after a faceoff than Alex Ovechkin.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:53 AM ET, 12/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:23 AM ET, 12/07/2013

Montreal’s Subban and Markov are NHL’s best defensive pair

The newly formed defensive pairing has quickly become the best in the NHL.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:23 AM ET, 12/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 03:00 PM ET, 11/30/2013

In NHL, plus-minus rating can be deceiving

The performance of teammates makes the metric an unreliable barometer of individual performance.

By Neil Greenberg  |  03:00 PM ET, 11/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:07 PM ET, 11/27/2013

Rockville native Haley Skarupa outproduces her Olympian peers

Despite exceeding expectations at every level she has played, Rockville’s Haley Skarupa was still left off the 2014 Olympic squad headed to Sochi in favor of more seasoned veterans.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:07 PM ET, 11/27/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Sochi 2014, Statistical analysis, Women's hockey

Posted at 08:07 AM ET, 11/26/2013

Is Washington’s penalty kill championship caliber?

The Capitals have surrendered 1.76 shots against each time they have been shorthanded this season. Only four teams have allowed more.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:07 AM ET, 11/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Penalty Kill, Statistical analysis

Posted at 09:30 AM ET, 11/23/2013

Should Ryan Suter be considered the front-runner for the Norris?

It is going to take more than a ton of minutes to win the NHL’s top defenseman award.

By Neil Greenberg  |  09:30 AM ET, 11/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Norris Trophy, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:45 AM ET, 11/22/2013

Is it time to break up the Capitals’ core?

If the coaches have changed and the systems have changed but the results haven’t improved, what is left to tinker with?

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:45 AM ET, 11/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Line combinations, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:03 PM ET, 11/16/2013

Who has the league’s best power play?

While the Blues and Capitals top the leaderboard, the San Jose Sharks, currently eighth in efficiency (21.1 percent), have the league’s best and most potent power play.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:03 PM ET, 11/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Power play, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:29 AM ET, 11/14/2013

Laich and Brouwer not showing much chemistry together

It may be time to revisit the Brooks Laich and Troy Brouwer pairing on the second line.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:29 AM ET, 11/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Adam Oates, Brooks Laich, Line combinations, Statistical analysis, Troy Brouwer

Posted at 11:35 AM ET, 11/09/2013

NHL goalies should not be judged by wins and losses

You could look at Ryan Miller’s record and think he is having a terrible year. But that’s not the case.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:35 AM ET, 11/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Goaltending, Statistical analysis

Posted at 07:41 AM ET, 11/02/2013

St. Louis Blues’ Alexander Steen is an NHL early-season surprise

Puck luck has kissed Steen so far this season, when a shooting percentage that far surpasses his norm -- and the league’s -- has him atop the list of goal-scoring leaders.

By Neil Greenberg  |  07:41 AM ET, 11/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alexander Steen, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:12 PM ET, 10/31/2013

Marcus Johansson is no passenger

The Swede has shown that he is maturing into the perfect complement player for Washington’s top line.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:12 PM ET, 10/31/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Marcus Johansson, Statistical analysis

Posted at 05:03 PM ET, 10/26/2013

NHL rookies with entry-level contracts can pose dilemma

Keeping a rookie with junior eligibility on an NHL roster is a big decision, but those that earn more ice time early on tend to be worth the financial risk.

By  |  05:03 PM ET, 10/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis, Tom Wilson

Posted at 10:13 AM ET, 10/21/2013

Keys to Washington finding offensive zone success

With eight games played, some patterns are starting to emerge in terms of how the Caps are getting the puck into the offensive zone.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:13 AM ET, 10/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 01:01 PM ET, 10/19/2013

New York Rangers’ struggles lead early surprise stories in NHL

The Rangers made a coaching change in the offseason to try to create more offense, but it has backfired so far.

By Neil Greenberg  |  01:01 PM ET, 10/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:12 AM ET, 10/14/2013

Did Colorado offer blueprint to stop Washington’s power play?

Since starting this season 7-for-12 on the power play in their first three games, the Capitals are 0-for-7 with just seven shots.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:12 AM ET, 10/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Power play, Statistical analysis

Posted at 02:29 PM ET, 10/11/2013

Plenty of room for disciplined aggression in today’s NHL

Looking at how a skater fares at being aggressive without causing the team to go short handed due to taking minor penalties.

By Neil Greenberg  |  02:29 PM ET, 10/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 10/07/2013

Even-strength play key to a deep playoff run for Caps

Are the Capitals relying too much on the power play?

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:00 AM ET, 10/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:42 AM ET, 10/01/2013

Is so much youth on the Caps' roster a bad thing?

Having so much youth and inexperience could hamper chances at taking the next step in the playoffs.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:42 AM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  connor carrick, Statistical analysis, Tom Wilson

Posted at 10:22 AM ET, 08/26/2013

Mikhail Grabovski gives Caps another offensive threat

It's easy to look at the stats from last year and think Grabovski isn't an impact player, but one man's trash is another man's treasure.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:22 AM ET, 08/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Mikhail Grabovski, Statistical analysis

Posted at 09:47 AM ET, 06/19/2013

Will the resurgence of Alex Ovechkin include another 50-goal season? Don't bet on it.

Don't bet on it.

By Neil Greenberg  |  09:47 AM ET, 06/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:30 PM ET, 05/20/2013

Losers? No. Chokers? Perhaps.

The Caps aren't losers; they've made the playoffs in six straight seasons. But they have also developed a "Culture of Perennial Disappointment."

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:30 PM ET, 05/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  2013 Stanley Cup playoffs, Playoffs, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:28 AM ET, 05/15/2013

Five questions the Capitals need to answer soon

The Washington Capitals suffered a seven-game defeat to the New York Rangers in the first round of the playoffs. Here are five questions the Caps need to answer in the immediate future.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:28 AM ET, 05/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 08:48 AM ET, 04/30/2013

Rangers' edge in puck possession not a big factor

The raw numbers and talent levels of each team shows the gap is not nearly as precarious as it appears.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:48 AM ET, 04/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Caps-Rangers, Rangers, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:22 AM ET, 04/10/2013

Alex Ovechkin: Heating up, but not quite MVP material

The Caps captain has been a healthy contributor, but it's unlikely he'll collect his third Hart Trophy.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:22 AM ET, 04/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 04/04/2013

Martin Erat is worth parting with Filip Forsberg's potential

The Caps dealt their top prospect, but with Martin Erat, they're getting a legitimate top-six forward.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:01 AM ET, 04/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Filip Forsberg, Martin Erat, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:31 AM ET, 04/02/2013

Why the Caps should consider trading for Jaromir Jagr (seriously)

Jaromir Jagr is an upgrade to Marcus Johansson in almost every way: scoring, puck possession and experience.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:31 AM ET, 04/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Jaromir Jagr, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:25 PM ET, 03/22/2013

The problem with the Capitals' power play

Despite its success and improvement, is the Washington power play too one-dimensional?

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:25 PM ET, 03/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Power play, Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:09 AM ET, 03/19/2013

Alex Ovechkin's move to right wing starting to pay off

Not much has gone right for the Capitals this season, but one bright spot has been the production of their star winger since his move to the right wing.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:09 AM ET, 03/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:42 AM ET, 03/13/2013

Alex Ovechkin and Nicklas Backstrom: Caps' dynamic duo should reunite

There is no one who helps Alex Ovechkin "play the right way," as Coach Adam Oates so often preaches, more than Nicklas Backstrom.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:42 AM ET, 03/13/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:26 PM ET, 03/11/2013

Caps need a strong second-half playoff push, but do they have it in them?

The Capitals are one of several teams making a mad dash for the eighth spot in the East over the second half of the season, but the outlook is bleak.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:26 PM ET, 03/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:37 AM ET, 03/04/2013

Five questions for the Caps in the second half

The issues facing the team as the second half of the season approaches.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:37 AM ET, 03/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Mike Ribeiro, Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:33 AM ET, 02/20/2013

Alex Ovechkin isn't washed up, contrary to what his critics say

NHL scorers, especially those who rely on goals for a majority of their points, tend to peak much earlier than people expect.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:33 AM ET, 02/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:17 PM ET, 02/19/2013

Caps have a penalty problem

The Caps' high number of penalties indicates desperate and frantic play after system breakdowns.

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:17 PM ET, 02/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Braden Holtby, Jason Chimera, John Carlson, penalties, Statistical analysis

Posted at 01:01 PM ET, 02/13/2013

Playoff math is working against the Caps

Is there enough time for the Capitals, who have nine points in 13 games with just 35 remaining, to beat the math that is working against them?

By Neil Greenberg  |  01:01 PM ET, 02/13/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Playoffs, Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:16 AM ET, 02/08/2013

Caps as low as it gets, but they've been here before

Just as with this year, an NHL lockout led to a 48-game season in 1995, and those Caps also got off to an awful start.

By Desmond Bieler  |  11:16 AM ET, 02/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  1995 season, Historical, Statistical analysis

Posted at 10:17 AM ET, 02/07/2013

Why the Caps won't trade Alex Ovechkin

Ovechkin is struggling. The team is struggling. But that doesn't mean it is time to ship him out.

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:17 AM ET, 02/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Alex Ovechkin, Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:02 AM ET, 01/30/2013

Don't panic (yet) about the Caps

Neil Greenberg says fans should have a little more patience, because improvement is just around the corner.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:02 AM ET, 01/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 02:31 PM ET, 01/17/2013

Will Ovechkin break Bondra's goal record for a shortened season?

To break Peter Bondra's mark of 34 goals set during the last 48-game shortened season, Alex Ovechkin must average a goal every 1.3 games.

By Neil Greenberg  |  02:31 PM ET, 01/17/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 01:43 PM ET, 11/13/2012

How much can Adam Oates help Alex Ovechkins scoring?

Can Oatess system and coaching style get the Capitals captain back to the scoring levels fans witnessed just a few short years ago?

By Neil Greenberg  |  01:43 PM ET, 11/13/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Adam Oates, Alex Ovechkin, Brett Hull, Statistical analysis

Posted at 12:46 PM ET, 09/13/2012

Is Troy Brouwer worth his new contract?

Will the Capitals forward be worth his $11 million contract through the 2015-16 season?

By Neil Greenberg  |  12:46 PM ET, 09/13/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 11:18 AM ET, 06/28/2012

NHL free agency: Targets for the Capitals could include Shane Doan, Matt Carle

Players Washington should look to acquire once free agency begins on July 1.

By Neil Greenberg  |  11:18 AM ET, 06/28/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis

Posted at 08:30 AM ET, 02/03/2012

Capitals’ John Carlson is bringing the slapper back

Sinc he entered the league during the 2009-10 season, almost half of the Caps defenseman's shots on goal have been slap shots, and he has become more reliant on them each year.

By Neil Greenberg  |  08:30 AM ET, 02/03/2012 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Statistical analysis