The Monkey Cage: Campaigns and Elections


Posted at 08:38 AM ET, 01/09/2014

Why Chris Christie should hope ghosts aren’t real

My dad hated traffic. And so do an awful lot of other people, I’m guessing.

By Joshua Tucker  |  08:38 AM ET, 01/09/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, frivolity

Posted at 10:50 AM ET, 12/18/2013

Bachelet returns to power in Chile with impressive victory, but what does low turnout mean for her mandate?

Michele Bachelet was reelected president of Chile with an impressively high 62.5 percent of the vote, but will lower-than-expected turnout hurt her ability to implement serious policy reforms?

By Peter M. Siavelis and Kirsten Sehnbruch  |  10:50 AM ET, 12/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, Election Report, South America

Posted at 12:32 PM ET, 12/09/2013

Latin America gets its own 538.com, and it beats the polls in Chile

Using a variation of the type of poll aggregation models made famous by Nate Silver in the US, the authors did a better job forecasting the outcome of the 2013 Chilean election than any pre-election poll.

By Kenneth Bunker and Stefan Bauchowitz  |  12:32 PM ET, 12/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, Chile, Election forecasting, Latin America, Methodology

Posted at 01:29 PM ET, 11/25/2013

Why victory for Bachelet in Chile is undeniable but bittersweet

Bachelet falls short of a first-round victory and faces an uncertain reform landscape in congress.

By Kirsten Sehnbruch and Peter M. Siavelis  |  01:29 PM ET, 11/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, Comparative Politics, Election Report

Posted at 12:32 PM ET, 11/07/2013

Can competitive elections decrease investment? Yes.

When elections are competitive, people hold off on making investments that would be costly to unload.

By Brandice Canes-Wrone and Jee-Kwang Park  |  12:32 PM ET, 11/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, political economy

Posted at 09:38 AM ET, 11/05/2013

Fixing elections: What the U.S. can learn from Britain

How to make elections run more smoothly? Publishing rankings of the performance of local election administration may help.

By Toby James  |  09:38 AM ET, 11/05/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections

Posted at 12:57 PM ET, 11/01/2013

Kosovo preelection report: Why who participates is more important than who wins

Will lack of participation by voters in North Kosovo undermine the E.U.-brokered deal between Belgrade and Pristina?

By Marko Zilovic  |  12:57 PM ET, 11/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, Comparative Politics, Election Report