The Monkey Cage: public opinion


Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 04/09/2014

Tracking public opinion with biased polls

As the response rates of conventional polls decline, we can do better by applying statistical adjustment to non-representative samples.

By Andrew Gelman  |  10:00 AM ET, 04/09/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Polls, Public Opinion

Posted at 10:19 AM ET, 04/07/2014

The less Americans know about Ukraine’s location, the more they want U.S. to intervene

MONKEY CAGE | Those who cannot locate Ukraine on a map are more likely to back military action, a survey finds.

By Kyle Dropp, Joshua D. Kertzer and Thomas Zeitzoff  |  10:19 AM ET, 04/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political knowledge, Public Opinion, Ukraine

Posted at 08:38 AM ET, 04/07/2014

Libya’s security dilemma

In Libya, the absence of strong state institutions creates the need for militias to provide security, but these groups undermine security and the development of strong state institutions. What do Libyans think of this thorny security dilemma?

By Lindsay Benstead, Alexander Kj rum, Ellen Lust and Jakob Wichmann  |  08:38 AM ET, 04/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Libya, Militias, Public Opinion, Security

Posted at 04:38 PM ET, 03/14/2014

Mentioning Hitler makes Americans more willing to intervene in Ukraine

A new survey experiment examines the consequences of invoking Hitler’s name.

By John Sides  |  04:38 PM ET, 03/14/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Public Opinion, Ukraine

Posted at 10:15 AM ET, 03/14/2014

The problem with #WithSyria

MONKEY CAGE | Americans already know and care about Syria. But they don’t want another war.

By Marc Lynch  |  10:15 AM ET, 03/14/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Public Opinion, Syria

Posted at 10:31 AM ET, 03/11/2014

Is a ‘national shift toward envy’ underway? Maybe not.

A careful look at poll numbers suggests that a columnist’s alarm about envy is overstated.

By Andrew Gelman  |  10:31 AM ET, 03/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  General Social Survey, Public Opinion

Posted at 09:24 AM ET, 02/20/2014

Putin and the creative class: Who loves him, who hates him, and who couldn’t care less?

While Russia’s urban elite may loosely support the current regime, it doesn’t trust it and the support doesn’t run very deep.

By Graeme Robertson and Sam Greene  |  09:24 AM ET, 02/20/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Data, public opinion, Russia, urban elites

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 02/10/2014

Politics stops at the water’s edge? Not recently.

If you thought that foreign policy was immune from partisan polarization, think again.

By Robert J. Lieber  |  08:01 AM ET, 02/10/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  foreign policy, Polarization, public opinion

Posted at 08:09 AM ET, 01/30/2014

Why don’t Americans trust the government? Because the other party is in power.

Party polarization is leaving Americans with little faith in a government run by the opposition.

By Marc Hetherington and Thomas Rudolph  |  08:09 AM ET, 01/30/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Partisanship, Polarization, public opinion, Trust

Posted at 09:50 AM ET, 01/23/2014

How better educated whites are driving political polarization

Polarization on abortion mostly involves whites, not blacks or Latinos.

By Andrew Gelman  |  09:50 AM ET, 01/23/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Polarization, public opinion

Posted at 04:00 PM ET, 01/22/2014

The real extremists are American voters, not politicians

Conventional wisdom says extremist politicians are failing moderate voters. That’s exactly backwards.

By David Broockman  |  04:00 PM ET, 01/22/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  ideology, Polarization, public opinion

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 01/21/2014

Americans aren’t polarized, just better sorted

Americans are no more extreme on political issues than they used to be.

By Morris P. Fiorina and Samuel Abrams  |  08:00 AM ET, 01/21/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Partisanship, Polarization, public opinion

Posted at 08:35 AM ET, 12/19/2013

Do new data on Hispanic attitudes present an opportunity for Republicans?

New data from Pew Research shows Hispanics are more concerned with relief from deportation than a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. Does this offer a political opportunity for Republicans?

By Joshua Tucker  |  08:35 AM ET, 12/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Immigration, public opinion

Posted at 12:41 PM ET, 11/14/2013

Forget Obamacare, remember when Syria was going to ruin Obama’s term? Remember Syria??

Some observers believe troubles with the health-care rollout are sure to doom the rest of Obama’s term. But haven’t we heard this all before?

By Joshua Tucker  |  12:41 PM ET, 11/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  public opinion, Syria

Posted at 09:53 AM ET, 11/08/2013

The more Americans know about the NSA, the less they like it (or vice versa)

Americans who know basic facts about the NSA are more likely to dislike it than those who are less knowledgeable.

By Henry Farrell  |  09:53 AM ET, 11/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  NSA, public opinion

Posted at 02:15 PM ET, 11/04/2013

Our elected officials aren’t feeling very accountable

A survey of state legislators finds much less esteem for voters than voters have for themselves.

By Larry Bartels  |  02:15 PM ET, 11/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political accountability, public opinion, state legislators

Posted at 10:02 AM ET, 11/03/2013

Memo to Senate Republicans: Your constituents want you to vote for ENDA

If senators listened to their constituents, the Employment Nondiscrimination Act would pass overwhelmingly.

By Jeff Lax and Justin Phillips  |  10:02 AM ET, 11/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Employment Nondiscrimination Act, Gay rights, public opinion, Senate

Posted at 04:54 PM ET, 10/22/2013

Is pot the new gay marriage?

By Joshua Tucker  |  04:54 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  public opinion

Posted at 01:27 PM ET, 10/22/2013

How the myth of messaging gets politicians into trouble

Did a false faith in messaging extend the government shutdown?

By Dan Hopkins  |  01:27 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown, Messaging, public opinion

Posted at 04:25 AM ET, 10/09/2013

The conservative shift in public opinion has happened in all 50 states

When it comes to support of government programs, the net conservative shift is clear.

By Peter Enns  |  04:25 AM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  public opinion

Posted at 02:24 AM ET, 09/30/2013

Americans are more conservative than they have been in decades

An authoritative index of the nation’s “policy mood” ranks 2012 with 1980 and 1952 as high points of conservative public opinion.

By Larry Bartels  |  02:24 AM ET, 09/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  conservatism, public opinion