The Fix: Swing States

New Hampshires Democratic wave, explained

New Hampshires Democratic wave, explained

Tuesday's election didn't shift the balance ofpoliticalpower in Washington, but in New Hampshire, it was a very different story.

Democrats made huge gains in the state House, where they won back themajority, and narrowed the GOP advantage in the state Senate.The party also snatched away both U.S. House seats from Republican hands, and held the governorship.

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Senate Democrats wouldnt cooperate with Romneys agenda, Harry Reid says

Jon Stewart: Ohio voters must reconcile role as the precious (VIDEO)

With just four days left until Election Day, both President Obama and Mitt Romney are going all out to win Ohio, where voters have been inundated with a seemingly endless loop of campaign ads and stump speeches for weeks.

On Thursday's "The Daily Show," Comedy Central's Jon Stewart took a closer look at what Ohioans have had to endure the last few weeks.

And as to that famous O-H-I-O chant thecandidates have been folding into their speeches? Stewart wasn't tooimpressed.

"You yell two letters at them, and then they yell two back. And one of them is the same letter," he said.

Take a look at the segment below, in which Stewart says Ohioans "must reconcile their role as this year's the precious":

Why Mitt Romney can’t, won’t and shouldn’t give up on Ohio

Why Mitt Romney can’t, won’t and shouldn’t give up on Ohio

The release of new poll numbers this morning that show President Obama not only at 50 percent but also with a five-point edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio has occasioned some chatter that the former Massachusetts governor should forsake the Buckeye State and look elsewhere for the 270 electoral votes he needs to be elected in six days.

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The 5 closest swing states

The 5 closest swing states

With just six days left in the 2012 presidential campaign, both campaigns — not to mention scads of outside groups — are furiously conducting and analyzing polling data to decide where to send their candidate (and their money) in the stretch run.



What that means is that the traditional swing state map — the seven to 10 states that both parties have spent tens of millions of dollars on over these past months — is narrowing even further as the hours between now and election day dwindle away.

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3 things you need to know about Nevada (VIDEO)

Today’s the second video in our look at the three things you need to know about the five swingiest states in the country. (That enough numbers for you?)

In the spotlight today is Nevada.  Enjoy! (Missed our Ohio video yesterday? Check it out here.)

3 things you need to know about Ohio (VIDEO)

In the final week of the presidential campaign — we can’t believe we just wrote that — the race has narrowed down to a handful of swing states.  

This week we are focusing on 5 of the swingiest states and telling you, gentle Fixista, the three things you need to know about the politics of each. We start the video series in Ohio because, well, it’s the most important state in the country. Tomorrow we will tell you the three things you need to know about Nevada.

Enjoy!

GOP ahead of 2008 early vote pace, but still trailing

GOP ahead of 2008 early vote pace, but still trailing

With lots of early votes starting to roll in across several swing states, Republicans continue to trail but are now in a slightly better position among early voters than they were in 2008.

Democrats built a lead early this month among early voters — in Iowa and Ohio in particular. But Mitt Romney’s momentum in the presidential race, combined with increased voter contacts by Republicans, appear to have him on pace to perform better on the early vote than Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) did in 2008.

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What Republicans in Pennsylvania have in common with Charlie Brown

What Republicans in Pennsylvania have in common with Charlie Brown

The Fix grew up as a big Peanuts fan — and specifically a Charlie Brown lover. (His nerdy cynicism appealed to the boyish Fix.)

And so, when we see two new independent polls in Pennsylvania — one conducted by Quinnipiac University, the other by Muhlenberg College — that show former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney well within striking distance of President Obama — we think of Charlie Brown. And specifically his failed attempts to kick a football held by Lucy.

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Can a strong ground game help Obama stop Romney’s momentum?

More swing-state voters say President Obama’s campaign has contacted them in the past month than have heard from Mitt Romney’s campaign, and a new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds Obama leading by a whopping 40 percentage-point margin among voters contacted by an Obama representative. Romney leads by just 16 points among voters reporting contact with his campaign. 

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Gallup shows Romney pulling ahead in swing states

Gallup shows Romney pulling ahead in swing states

Mitt Romney has opened up a slight lead on President Obama in the 12 most competitive states in the country, according to a new poll from USA Today and Gallup.

The poll shows Romney at 51 percent among a sample of likely voters in the 12 states, while Obama is at 46 percent.

Perhaps most strikingly, the poll shows Romney running even with Obama among women, with the two candidates tied at 48 percent.

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Rob Portman: Mitt Romney could ‘probably’ win without Ohio, but ‘I wouldn’t want to take the risk’

Mitt Romney does not have to win Ohio to win the presidency, Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), a top surrogate to the Republican presidential nominee said Sunday morning. 


Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), left, and Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney. (Charles Dharapak/AP)

“Look, he can probably win the presidency without Ohio, but I wouldn’t want to take the risk,” Portman said on ABC News’s “This Week With George Stephanopoulos.”

As Portman noted, no Republican has won the presidency without carrying the state of Ohio, a prize which brings with it 18 electoral votes this year.

“We’re doing great in Ohio. If you look at the average of all the polls, it’s about dead-even in Ohio right now. And importantly, the momentum’s on our side. It’s been terrific,” Portman said.

Romney and President Obama will meet Tuesday night in their second debate. Portman has been playing the role of Obama in Romney’s debate preparation sessions. 

Paul Ryan: Base hero? Swing voter magnet? Both?

Paul Ryan: Base hero? Swing voter magnet? Both?

Welcome mats are still out for Joe Biden and Paul Ryan in marquee swing states, according to a trio of Washington Post polls. But the polls in Florida, Ohio and Virginia find Ryan is better positioned than Biden to energize activists and woo persuadable voters. 



Biden’s jocular image has earned the vice president a net positive reaction: About half of voters in Florida, Ohio and Virginia have favorable views of him, while negative ratings sit in the low 40s. Ryan is less well known, but his ratings in these states also tilt positive with slightly more offering favorable than unfavorable reviews. Ryan’s lack of familiarity signals an opportunity to make a good first impression, and one that is less open to Biden after four years in office.

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Obama cracks 50 percent in three swing states

Obama cracks 50 percent in three swing states

Yet more swing state polling shows President Obama asserting a lead, with a trio of polls from NBC News and Marist College showing him at the all-important 50 percent mark in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin.

The polls show Obama leading Mitt Romney 50 percent to 45 percent in both Colorado and Wisconsin and 50 percent to 42 percent in Iowa. (The Wisconsin poll also showed Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin gaining in that state’s important Senate race. She’s now at 48 percent, compared to Republican former governor Tommy Thompson’s 46 percent.)

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Obama makes more swing state gains

Obama makes more swing state gains

President Obama has a small edge in two of three key swing states and has gained ground in two of them over the past month, according to new polling from CBS News, the New York Times and Quinnipiac University.

Meanwhile, a separate poll from Gallup and USA Today shows the picture in the swing states remaining largely static, with Obama holding a 48 percent to 46 percent edge over Mitt Romney across all of them.

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Does President Obama have a Wisconsin problem?

Does President Obama have a Wisconsin problem?

President Obama’s trip to Milwaukee this coming Saturday – his first to Wisconsin since February — should rightly raise eyebrows in the political world regarding his campaign’s chances in the state.



The simple fact is that with 50 days to go before the election, the president never — repeat,  never — travels to a state just, well, because. Every trip is for a reason — and that reason almost always is because the campaign wants to generate a major free media boost in a place where the numbers are either lagging or already very close.

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Obama grows leads in top three swing states

Obama grows leads in top three swing states

President Obama’s bump has made its way into three key swing states, according to new polling from Marist College, NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

The new Marist polls show Obama leading Mitt Romney by five points each in Florida and Virginia and by seven points in Ohio.

Obama’s margin in all three states is larger than it has been in other recent polling and suggests the Democratic National Convention paid dividends for the president in the states where it matters most. National polling has suggested a small but significant Obama bounce, but there has been limited polling in swing states since the convention ended a week ago.

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Why is Obama looking so strong in Ohio?

Why is Obama looking so strong in Ohio?

When Mitt Romneycampaignsin Ohio on Monday afternoon, he’ll do so in a state where he has some work to do. Recent polling has shown President Obama holding a slight lead in the Buckeye State, which has long been considered a must-have for Romney to win the White House in November.

If Obama wins Ohio, Romney will have to defy history to win the White House: No Republican has ever been elected president without carrying the Buckeye State. There is still plenty of time for Republicans to turn the tables (and we should underscore that the race remains very close), but right now, the president has put himself in a good position to claim the state’s 18 electoral votes.

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For Virginians, Barack Obama fits just right (for now)

For Virginians, Barack Obama fits just right (for now)

President Obama’s current lead over Mitt Romney in a new Washington Post poll in Virginia is due in large part to a belief that the incumbent’s ideology is a better fit for the state than that of the former Massachusetts governor.

A majority of Virginians — 52 percent — say that “Barack Obama’s views on most issues are just about right” as compared to 37 percent who say the same of Romney’s views. Among electorally critical independents, 52 percent say Obama’s views were about right as opposed to just 34 percent who say the same of Romney. Just look at this chart.

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