The Fix: West Virginia

Recent history suggests West Virginia a tough Democratic hold

Recent history suggests West Virginia a tough Democratic hold

If recent history is any guide, Democrats will have a hard time holding onto the seat of retiring Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-W.Va.).

While longtime Democratic incumbents have often been able to hold on to red districts and states in recent years, their retirements have almost always handed their seats to Republicans.

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The end of the Rockefeller political dynasty?

The end of the Rockefeller political dynasty?

The decision by Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-W.Va.) to retire in 2014 means the nation will likely be without a Rockefeller in high office for the first time in four decades and just the second time since the 1950s.

The Rockefeller political dynasty is surely one of the greatest in American history, including a vice president and multiple senators and governors representing much of the eastern half of the country. Several big-name politicians have married into the family, which became influential in the late 1800s and early 1900s thanks to patriarch, oil baron and philanthropist John D. Rockefeller, Jay's great-grandfather.

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Rep. Shelley Moore Capito will run for Senate

Rep. Shelley Moore Capito will run for Senate

Rep. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.) will announce Monday that she will run for Senate in 2014, according to someone familiar with Capito's thinking.

The news was first reported by West Virginia political expert Hoppy Kercheval.

Capito would become the first major challenger to announce a Senate campaign and should put the seat of Sen. John D. Rockefeller IV (D-W.Va.) into play immediately. A recent poll showed Capito at 48 percent and Rockefeller at 44 percent in the prospective match-up.

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Kentucky, Arkansas primaries: Is it racism?

Kentucky, Arkansas primaries: Is it racism?

That President Obama lost roughly 40 percent of the vote in Democratic primaries in Arkansas, Kentucky and West Virginia over the last two weeks has drawn massive national headlines.

Those headlines have drawn a collective eyeroll from Democrats — and many others who closely follow national politics — who ascribe the underperformance by the incumbent to a very simple thing: racism.

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Trio of wins inch Romney toward officially securing nomination

Mitt Romney won all three primaries on Tuesday and is closing in on the number of delegates he needs to officially secure the Republican Party’s presidential nomination.

108 delegates were available Tuesday, and Romney is likely to win all 27 up for grabs in Indiana, the vast majority of the 52 available in North Carolina and most or all of the 28 in West Virginia.

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Indiana, North Carolina and West Virginia primaries: What to watch for

Indiana Republican Sen. Richard Lugar’s likely demise and the gubernatorial recall primary in Wisconsin aren’t the only two races worth watching tonight. There are also some key House, Senate and governor primaries in Indiana, North Carolina and West Virginia.

Two of those states — Indiana and North Carolina — represent relatively rare opportunities for the House Republicans to play some offense this year.

In addition, North Carolina Democrats will pick their gubernatorial nominee in the marquee governor’s race of 2012 (after Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s recall election, that is), and West Virginia will hold its governor, Senate and congressional primaries.

There are lots of moving parts; that’s where we come in. Here’s a cheat sheet of what you need to know, state by state and race by race. Impress your friends! Vanquish your enemies!

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Democrats face uphill climb in 2012 governors races

Democrats face uphill climb in 2012 governors races

Democrats’ victory in the West Virginia governor’s race on Tuesday effectively brings to an end the 2011 gubernatorial season — or at least the competitive races.

But, never fear because the big governors races of 2012 are beginning to take shape. And it’s already clear that Democrats have their work cut out for them.

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Democrats hold on in West Virginia governor’s race

Democrats hold on in West Virginia governor’s race

Acting West Virginia Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin (D) won the state’s special election for governor Tuesday, avoiding what could have been an embarrassing loss for President Obama and his party.

The Associated Press affirmed Tomblin’s victory over Republican businessman Bill Maloney shortly after 9 p.m. eastern time.

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Fix prediction contest: West Virginia governor’s race!

Voters are voting in West Virginia!

And that, of course, means a Fix prediction contest. The rules are pretty easy. Tell us the percentage of the vote (no decimals, math nerds) that Acting Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin (D) and Republican challenger Bill Maloney will get when all the results are tabulated.

Need a primer? Check out our posts on the race.

(HINT: There are three third-party candidates who are likely to take some of the vote, so the total of Tomblin and Maloney may not — and likely won’t — equal 100.)

Polls close in West Virginia at 7:30 p.m. — blessedly early! — so any predictions made after that time will be disqualified. And you must make your prediction in the comments section to be eligible for the much-coveted official Fix t-shirt.

The West Virginia governor’s race and the enthusiasm gap

The West Virginia governor’s race and the enthusiasm gap

For the second time in less than one month, voters in an unusual but heavily Democratic area are heading to the polls with the possibility of electing a Republican.

Operatives on both sides say Tuesday’s special election for governor of West Virginia will be close, and Republicans are ready to pounce on the results as proof that President Obama is dragging down Democrats across the country — just as he did three weeks ago in the special congressional election Democrats lost in New York’s 9th district.

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