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The Monkey Cage: October, 2013

Posted at 02:56 PM ET, 10/31/2013

Will nuclear winter come to the Senate this fall?

Will Democrats go nuclear over new GOP filibusters of favored nominees?

By Sarah Binder  |  02:56 PM ET, 10/31/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 01:31 PM ET, 10/31/2013

Cristina Fern ndez de Kirchner wins, but not by enough: Argentina post-election report

Mid-term elections in Argentina reveal the country is resisting the temptation to become a normal and boring country.

By Julia Pomares  |  01:31 PM ET, 10/31/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Repo

Posted at 11:31 AM ET, 10/31/2013

The NSA’s top secret Halloween candy seizure plan

The Post broke the story of NSA, Google and Yahoo yesterday. Guess what the NSA is after today? (And yes, there is a flow chart!). Happy Halloween!

By Joshua Tucker  |  11:31 AM ET, 10/31/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:51 AM ET, 10/31/2013

Scariest Halloween costumes: HealthCare.gov edition!

What costumes will cause the biggest scare at the homes of Ted Cruz and Kathleen Sebelius? Happy Halloween from The Monkey Cage!

By Joshua Tucker  |  09:51 AM ET, 10/31/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  frivolity, Ted McCagg cartoon

Posted at 05:04 PM ET, 10/30/2013

Can opposition parties survive in Georgia? Post-election report

Georgia’s ruling party won Sunday’s presidential election. The survival of the opposition United National Movement hangs in the balance, but its demise is not assured.

By Julie George  |  05:04 PM ET, 10/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 05:46 AM ET, 10/30/2013

The Czech paradox: Did the winner lose and the losers win?

The ultimate loser of the 2013 parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic may prove to be the party that won the most votes, the Czech Social Democrats.

By Tim Haughton, Tereza Novotna and Kevin Deegan-Krause  |  05:46 AM ET, 10/30/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report

Posted at 10:35 AM ET, 10/29/2013

Is the nonproliferation agenda stuck in the Cold War?

Cooperative institutions can fix a Cold War orientation to nonproliferation.

By Francesca Giovannini and Amy J. Nelson  |  10:35 AM ET, 10/29/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Arms Control, Nonproliferation, Nuclear Weapons

Posted at 09:46 AM ET, 10/29/2013

How to reduce discrimination: Getting to know the Roma

Original research shows that action that aims to improve Roma/non-Roma relations and engages both helps reduce discrimination.

By Ana Bracic  |  09:46 AM ET, 10/29/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:01 AM ET, 10/29/2013

Hurricane Sandy was huge -- but not for the 2012 presidential election

On the anniversary of Sandy’s landfall, here’s the evidence that its political impact was muted at best.

By John Sides  |  09:01 AM ET, 10/29/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 12:34 PM ET, 10/28/2013

What are the implications of the AFL-CIO’s expanding membership criteria?

The union passed a series of resolutions that will pave the way for nonunionized workers and groups to join the labor federation.

By John S. Ahlquist, Amanda B. Clayton and Margaret Levi  |  12:34 PM ET, 10/28/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:14 AM ET, 10/28/2013

How the Obama presidency may be changing young people’s views of race

Young people who have come of age during the Obama years express more favorable attitudes toward blacks.

By John Sides  |  10:14 AM ET, 10/28/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:01 AM ET, 10/28/2013

Republicans on track to retain control of House in 2014

A historically-based forecast using the generic congressional ballot suggests that the Republicans will retain control of the House in 2014.

By Andrew Gelman  |  10:01 AM ET, 10/28/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  2014, Congress, Elections, forecasting

Posted at 08:02 PM ET, 10/27/2013

Lou Reed, RIP: ‘I’m Set Free’

Lewis Allan Reed, 1942-2013.

By Christopher Federico  |  08:02 PM ET, 10/27/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  The Week in One Song

Posted at 08:02 AM ET, 10/26/2013

The week in one song: ‘Call the Doctor’

But whatever you do, don’t try to use the Web site.

By  |  08:02 AM ET, 10/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Affordable Care Act, Health Care, Obamacare

Posted at 12:44 PM ET, 10/25/2013

Five things you need to know about the transatlantic wiretap scandal

Hypocrisy, timing, personal relationships, costly signals and European domestic politics explain what’s happening over wiretapping.

By Henry Farrell  |  12:44 PM ET, 10/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international security, Surveillance

Posted at 11:25 AM ET, 10/25/2013

Sex, lies and votes: Welcome to the 2013 Czech elections!

In light of previous scandals, winning the most votes this weekend will be the easy part for the opposition Czech Social Democrats. The hard part comes in picking coalition partner(s) from among erratic newcomers and baggage-laden Communists.

By Kevin Deegan-Krause  |  11:25 AM ET, 10/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:36 AM ET, 10/25/2013

Ted Cruz doesn’t know what the government gives him. He’s not alone.

Most Americans don’t realize that tax credits are government benefits too.

By John Sides  |  10:36 AM ET, 10/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ted Cruz

Posted at 10:01 AM ET, 10/25/2013

Obama takes big bucks from telecoms, ramps up national security state

It’s fun to look at the political contributions of celebrities, but more is learned by looking at industry breakdowns.

By  |  10:01 AM ET, 10/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaign Finance, National Security State, Surveillance

Posted at 08:02 AM ET, 10/25/2013

The International Space Station’s scientific payoff is real. And increasing.

Judging the value of the space station barely three years after its completion is like tearing up a lottery ticket a week before the drawing.

By William Bianco  |  08:02 AM ET, 10/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 03:29 PM ET, 10/24/2013

Public sector unions promote government, not government jobs

By Larry Bartels  |  03:29 PM ET, 10/24/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  fiscal policy, Great Recession, public sector unions, U.S. states

Posted at 03:23 PM ET, 10/24/2013

The decline of union membership and what it means for politics

By John S. Ahlquist and Margaret Levi  |  03:23 PM ET, 10/24/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:02 AM ET, 10/24/2013

Our health-care system is like Coca Cola

The amount we pay for our private health care system is equivalent to a high tax rate

By Andrew Gelman  |  10:02 AM ET, 10/24/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Health Care, Taxes

Posted at 08:45 AM ET, 10/24/2013

The politics of bad apples

The problem with narrow attributions of blame is that the overall financial system and its regulatory architecture get absolved.

By Nolan McCarty, Keith Poole and Howard Rosenthal  |  08:45 AM ET, 10/24/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 07:26 PM ET, 10/23/2013

Why threaten to drop out of a presidential election you are likely to win?

The leading candidate in Georgia’s presidential election has announced he will not participate in a second round if he does not win the first round outright.

By Bret Barrowman  |  07:26 PM ET, 10/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report

Posted at 04:28 PM ET, 10/23/2013

The Merkel phone tap scandal paves the way toward E.U.-U.S. confrontation

The Merkel phone tapping affair makes a confrontation over NSA data gathering more likely.

By Henry Farrell  |  04:28 PM ET, 10/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  European Politics

Posted at 09:09 AM ET, 10/23/2013

How many votes do the Democrats need to retake the House? Maybe fewer than you think.

A 5 percent margin in the national vote could give Democrats the House in 2014.

By Nicholas Goedert  |  09:09 AM ET, 10/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 04:54 PM ET, 10/22/2013

Is pot the new gay marriage?

By Joshua Tucker  |  04:54 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  public opinion

Posted at 03:03 PM ET, 10/22/2013

Farewell, Manas!

By Jason Lyall  |  03:03 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Central Asia

Posted at 02:21 PM ET, 10/22/2013

2013 Chile pre-election report: Bachelet will likely win, but watch the legislative results

Michelle Bachelet is very likely to win the upcoming Chilean presidential election. The interesting question is whether she will have enough support in the legislature to also reform the Constitution.

By Kenneth Bunker  |  02:21 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report

Posted at 01:31 PM ET, 10/22/2013

Black Pete and the United Nations

A controversy over a racist holiday practice in the Netherlands draws the attention of the United Nations.

By Erik Voeten  |  01:31 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  United Nations

Posted at 01:27 PM ET, 10/22/2013

How the myth of messaging gets politicians into trouble

Did a false faith in messaging extend the government shutdown?

By Dan Hopkins  |  01:27 PM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown, Messaging, public opinion

Posted at 11:55 AM ET, 10/22/2013

The U.S. is losing its hypocrisy advantage

In the age of leaks, the US faces the threat of hypocrisy collapse.

By Henry Farrell  |  11:55 AM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Technology and Politics

Posted at 09:42 AM ET, 10/22/2013

Did race play a role in shutdown?

Commentators, politicians, and even actors debated whether Obama’s race mattered during the shutdown. Here’s some actual evidence.

By Michael Tesler  |  09:42 AM ET, 10/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 02:21 PM ET, 10/21/2013

Why the Modest Harvest of the Arab Spring?

Nearly three years after Tunisians rose up, most Arab dictators remain in power. Why did the Middle East’s season of ferment deliver so little change?

By Jason Brownlee, Tarek Masoud and and Andrew Reynolds  |  02:21 PM ET, 10/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:33 AM ET, 10/21/2013

How the debt ceiling threatens to turn the U.S. into an economic turkey

The debt ceiling threatens the low long-term interest rates that have buoyed the U.S. economy.

By Stephen Kaplan  |  08:33 AM ET, 10/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 10/19/2013

The week in one song: ‘Down in Flames’

...goes the shutdown gambit.

By Christopher Federico  |  08:01 AM ET, 10/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Debt ceiling, Government Shutdown

Posted at 07:02 AM ET, 10/19/2013

Why would states want or not want a seat on the United Nations Security Council?

A seat on the United Nations Security Council is not always attractive for states. This article explains why.

By Erik Voeten  |  07:02 AM ET, 10/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  United Nations

Posted at 02:53 PM ET, 10/18/2013

Reforming primary elections won’t make government better

Opening up primaries does not appear to lessen polarization.

By John Sides  |  02:53 PM ET, 10/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 12:25 PM ET, 10/18/2013

Why did Saudi Arabia reject a UN Security Council seat?

Saudi Arabia has little to gain from UN Security Council membership and potentially much to lose.

By Erik Voeten  |  12:25 PM ET, 10/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  United Nations

Posted at 10:58 AM ET, 10/18/2013

Does public broadcasting increase current affairs knowledge?

Watching public television can lead to better informed-citizens, but this effect varies across countries, and are strongest when the vast majority of funding for public television is public and government intervention is kept to a minimum

By Joshua Tucker  |  10:58 AM ET, 10/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:44 AM ET, 10/18/2013

Dangerous neighborhoods: Why the ‘Democratic Peace’ may have more to do with geography than democracy

Democracies don’t tend to get into wars with each other but new research shows this may be due more to geography than democracy.

By Doug Gibler and Alex Braithwaite  |  10:44 AM ET, 10/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  collaboration with journals, peace, war

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 10/18/2013

Most Americans are not like Antonin Scalia

Most of us don’t live in bubbles surrounded by ideas we already agree with.

By John Sides  |  08:01 AM ET, 10/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:53 PM ET, 10/17/2013

Mike Ward’s Lab Has a New Blog

Predictive Heuristics promises to lend insight into the big data debate.

By Erica Chenoweth  |  08:53 PM ET, 10/17/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  big data, forecasting, international security, political science, prediction

Posted at 05:34 PM ET, 10/17/2013

Stop blaming the tea party. It’s the moderate Republicans’ fault.

Moderate Republicans could have ended the shutdown at any time.

By John Huber  |  05:34 PM ET, 10/17/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 02:52 PM ET, 10/17/2013

In their own words, ‘Yes’ Republicans look more like Democrats than ‘No’ Republicans

Tweets by Republican members of Congress who voted for the resolution to reopen the government and increase the debt ceiling look more like tweets from Democrats than they do tweets from Republicans voting against the bill.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:52 PM ET, 10/17/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown, Social Media

Posted at 01:04 PM ET, 10/17/2013

Republicans were for the shutdown deal before they voted against it

They are not all the ideologues they sometimes play on TV.

By David Karol  |  01:04 PM ET, 10/17/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, Position-Taking, Republicans, Shutdown

Posted at 06:02 AM ET, 10/17/2013

The speaker’s most loyal troopers

A quick look at the Republican lawmakers who crossed the aisle to open the government and forestall default.

By Sarah Binder  |  06:02 AM ET, 10/17/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 06:19 PM ET, 10/16/2013

Deal-making in a polarized Congress

Congress can make deals in polarized times, but it’s not a pretty sight.

By Sarah Binder  |  06:19 PM ET, 10/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 01:45 PM ET, 10/16/2013

Overcoming the violence of faction

The Framers worried about factions and anarchy: what’s old is new again.

By Andrew Rudalevige  |  01:45 PM ET, 10/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, Constitution, Debt ceiling

Posted at 12:22 PM ET, 10/16/2013

The recent rate of growth in U.S. debt is not exceptional

Nominal U.S. government debt may have grown considerably in the past four years, but the rate of growth is nothing special in US history.

By Joshua Tucker  |  12:22 PM ET, 10/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:02 AM ET, 10/16/2013

Why striking down campaign contribution limits might make politics better

Ray La Raja responds to Bob Biersack in our continuing dialogue on the McCutcheon case.

By John Sides  |  08:02 AM ET, 10/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:02 AM ET, 10/16/2013

40 years after the oil crisis: Could it happen again?

Jeff Colgan argues that OPEC has become a political club with little influence on energy markets.

By Jeff Colgan  |  08:02 AM ET, 10/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Oil, OPEC

Posted at 08:30 PM ET, 10/15/2013

Azerbaijan post-election report and what comes next

Azerbaijan’s presidential election concluded much as expected, with an overwhelming victory for the incumbent president Ilham Aliyev. What comes next?

By Katy Pearce and Farid Guliyev  |  08:30 PM ET, 10/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 04:30 PM ET, 10/15/2013

Impact factor 911 is a joke

A group of researchers crunch the numbers and recommend that we abandon the current system of scholarly publication and start over.

By Andrew Gelman  |  04:30 PM ET, 10/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Science

Posted at 02:37 PM ET, 10/15/2013

Azerbaijan (and a U.S. PR firm) wants you to know its elections are fair

A case study in what happens when foreign governments hire American public relations firms.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:37 PM ET, 10/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:02 AM ET, 10/15/2013

Crossing the line in China: Calls for action, not simply dissent

Peking University economist Xia Yeliang may be dismissed from his teaching post. Research from political scientists Gary King, Jennifer Pan, and Margaret Roberts can help explain why.

By Joshua Tucker  |  10:02 AM ET, 10/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:38 PM ET, 10/14/2013

The electoral ramifications of the shutdown are far from clear

Democrats are excited and Republicans are gloomy. It’s far too soon for either reaction.

By John Sides  |  09:38 PM ET, 10/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 04:15 PM ET, 10/14/2013

Boehner vs. Gingrich

The Republicans are a LOT more conservative now than they were during the last shutdown

By Erik Voeten  |  04:15 PM ET, 10/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 02:51 PM ET, 10/14/2013

No, overturning campaign contribution limits really would be a problem

A counterpoint from the former statistician of the Federal Elections Commission.

By Bob Biersack  |  02:51 PM ET, 10/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:02 AM ET, 10/13/2013

Reality check: ‘Gephardt Rule’ alone can’t fix the debt limit crisis

Reinstating the “Gephardt Rule” is unlikely to resolve the current partisan impasse over raising the debt ceiling.

By Sarah Binder  |  10:02 AM ET, 10/13/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 12:02 PM ET, 10/12/2013

The best way to demoralize the opposition in Russia? Beat them in a fair election

The real puzzle of the 2013 Moscow mayor election was that Navalny was allowed to compete at all.

By Milan Svolik  |  12:02 PM ET, 10/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:35 AM ET, 10/12/2013

The logic of partially suspending aid to Egypt

President Obama is doing the right thing, despite the criticism he is receiving from all sides over the decision.

By Sharanbir Grewal  |  09:35 AM ET, 10/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Egypt

Posted at 08:02 AM ET, 10/12/2013

The week in one song: “White Flag”

How the standoff will end?

By Christopher Federico  |  08:02 AM ET, 10/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Debt ceiling, Government Shutdown

Posted at 04:22 PM ET, 10/11/2013

Campaigns are not good at estimating whether they will win

New data shows that campaigns are way too confident.

By John Sides  |  04:22 PM ET, 10/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 11:17 AM ET, 10/11/2013

Soaps, sherry, and the shutdown

According to Google searches, furloughed workers are watching soaps, drinking sherry, and looking for jobs in the private sector.

By Erik Voeten  |  11:17 AM ET, 10/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 01:20 PM ET, 10/10/2013

Can the IMF influence U.S. policy?

When Greece risks default, the IMF steps in. Can the IMF have an impact on U.S. policy and debate?

By Martin S. Edwards and Stephanie Senger  |  01:20 PM ET, 10/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Debt ceiling

Posted at 08:57 AM ET, 10/10/2013

Do Americans approve of the filibuster? Depends who is filibustering .

Research shows how attitudes towards the filibuster shift based on why it is being used: Partisanship reigns supreme.

By Steven S. Smith and Hong Min Park  |  08:57 AM ET, 10/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  filibuster

Posted at 07:32 AM ET, 10/10/2013

Maps of global polarization

Three maps show how global ideological conflict has changed since 1980.

By Erik Voeten  |  07:32 AM ET, 10/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  United Nations

Posted at 05:27 PM ET, 10/09/2013

Robots don’t lactate: Humanoid robots, warfighting and gender

Does it matter that robots are super-masculine?

By Erica Chenoweth  |  05:27 PM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  drones, Erica Chenoweth, Gender, weapons

Posted at 04:00 PM ET, 10/09/2013

When threatened with fact-checking, politicans really will lie less often.

A new experiment shows that state legislators made fewer inaccurate claims when told the fact-checkers were watching.

By John Sides  |  04:00 PM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Fact Checking

Posted at 03:52 PM ET, 10/09/2013

Can the president save Congress from itself?

Presidential unilateralism could set a troubling precedent - but will Obama have a choice?

By Andrew Rudalevige  |  03:52 PM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, Debt ceiling, Presidency

Posted at 01:34 PM ET, 10/09/2013

Why is the Motley Fool hyping Netflix?

Online investment sites are selling fear; they’re also selling stories.

By Andrew Gelman  |  01:34 PM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Hype, media, Stock tips

Posted at 12:29 PM ET, 10/09/2013

The problem with nuclear nonproliferation

“When a powerful international institution gets gamed, bad things eventually happen.”

By Campbell Craig and Jan Ruzicka  |  12:29 PM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Nuclear Weapons

Posted at 11:29 AM ET, 10/09/2013

American policy-making is a succession of kludges

Instead of well-designed policies, we get a succession of semicoherent fixes to the policies that we already have, a political scientist argues.

By Henry Farrell  |  11:29 AM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Public Policy

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 10/09/2013

The Supreme Court might strike down overall contribution limits. And that’s okay.

McCutcheon v. Federal Election Commission won’t change much about money in politics. It might even help.

By Ray La Raja  |  10:00 AM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaign Finance

Posted at 08:33 AM ET, 10/09/2013

Why the rise of China makes the U.S. even lonelier at the United Nations

The more states trade with China, the more they start voting with China (and against the U.S.) in the United Nations.

By Erik Voeten  |  08:33 AM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  China, United Nations

Posted at 04:25 AM ET, 10/09/2013

The conservative shift in public opinion has happened in all 50 states

When it comes to support of government programs, the net conservative shift is clear.

By Peter Enns  |  04:25 AM ET, 10/09/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  public opinion

Posted at 02:56 PM ET, 10/08/2013

Department of silly rankings: faculty ‘return’ on public funding

A new study ranks universities based on “faculty return on public funding.” Badly.

By Erik Voeten  |  02:56 PM ET, 10/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Academic Rankings

Posted at 02:02 PM ET, 10/08/2013

“The Tea Party is better understood as a reactionary conservative force.”

Why Tea Party conservatives are not your ordinary conservatives.

By Christopher Parker  |  02:02 PM ET, 10/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Tea Party

Posted at 11:28 AM ET, 10/08/2013

The mythical moderates?

Until recently, moderate Republicans had succeeded in flying under the radar during the shutdown crisis.

By David Karol  |  11:28 AM ET, 10/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, Moderate Republicans, Party Loyalty, Position-Taking, Shutdown

Posted at 09:34 AM ET, 10/08/2013

The Romney campaign’s own polls showed it would lose

The Romney campaign was surprised to lose, but it shouldn’t have been.

By John Sides  |  09:34 AM ET, 10/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  The Gamble

Posted at 07:02 AM ET, 10/08/2013

Why it’s hard for the U.S. to fight terrorism and promote democracy in East Africa

Kenya is ready again to fight terrorism. But the United States is wary.

By Beth Elise Whitaker  |  07:02 AM ET, 10/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  terrorism

Posted at 06:12 PM ET, 10/07/2013

Why compromise is more likely in the Senate than the House, in two simple pictures

Even in their tweets, members of the Senate reveal that they are more similar across party lines than members of the House.

By Joshua Tucker  |  06:12 PM ET, 10/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown, Social Media

Posted at 12:23 PM ET, 10/07/2013

Liberal comment trolling polarizes conservatives (but not vice versa), study says

Experiments suggest that conservatives are more sensitive to inflammatory liberal comments than the other way around.

By Henry Farrell  |  12:23 PM ET, 10/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Blogs, Polarization

Posted at 09:02 AM ET, 10/07/2013

“The definitive account of what really happened and what really mattered in the campaign.”

My new book with UCLA political scientist Lynn Vavreck uses a Moneyball approach to understand the 2012 election -- and what it means for 2014, 2016, and beyond.

By John Sides  |  09:02 AM ET, 10/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  The Gamble

Posted at 06:02 AM ET, 10/07/2013

Dis-charge! Historical data and prospects for success.

Democrats took first steps towards discharging the “CR,” but historical data and contemporary dynamics still suggest an uphill battle.

By Sarah Binder  |  06:02 AM ET, 10/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 01:23 PM ET, 10/06/2013

Concluding the gender gap symposium

This posts concludes the Monkey Cage gender gap symposium and assembles all contributions in one place.

By Erik Voeten  |  01:23 PM ET, 10/06/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 09:57 AM ET, 10/06/2013

The Challenges of Electoral Competition in an Oil Rich State: Azerbaijani Pre-Election Report

On Tuesday, Azerbaijanis head to the polls to re-elect their president for a controversial third term. Our election report examines the politics of elections in an oil rich state.

By Joshua Tucker  |  09:57 AM ET, 10/06/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report

Posted at 08:32 AM ET, 10/05/2013

The week in one song: “Grinding Halt”

Pure pop for furloughed people.

By Christopher Federico  |  08:32 AM ET, 10/05/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 02:45 PM ET, 10/04/2013

The 5 species of House Republicans

A typology of House Republicans shows the challenges facing Boehner, and a potential way forward.

By Matthew Green  |  02:45 PM ET, 10/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 01:41 PM ET, 10/04/2013

The gender citations gap: A glass half-full perspective

Beth Simmons focuses on some positive news regarding citations bias

By Erik Voeten  |  01:41 PM ET, 10/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 10:11 AM ET, 10/04/2013

Gender bias in professional networks and citations

David Lake offers personal reflections on the gender gap in academia and what to do about it.

By Erik Voeten  |  10:11 AM ET, 10/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 08:02 AM ET, 10/04/2013

Lessons from state governments about the government shutdown

State governments commonly have late budgets. Why? And how are these budget crises resolved?

By Erik Voeten  |  08:02 AM ET, 10/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 06:32 AM ET, 10/04/2013

Why is work by women systematically devalued?

The gender citations gap may just be one example of many that show how work by women is devalued.

By Erik Voeten  |  06:32 AM ET, 10/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 06:02 AM ET, 10/04/2013

Governing from the Monkey Cage, discharge rule edition

Many readers say that I prematurely dismissed the power of the discharge rule. Back in the procedural weeds we go.

By Sarah Binder  |  06:02 AM ET, 10/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 02:36 PM ET, 10/03/2013

Why Wendy Davis’s announcement is a big deal

What political science says about the barriers to women’s representationary of story.

By Danny Hayes  |  02:36 PM ET, 10/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Gender

Posted at 02:14 PM ET, 10/03/2013

Noted political scientist, sociologist Juan Linz has died

Political scientist Alfred Stepan reflects on the life and career of noted political scientist and sociologist Juan Linz, who passed away yesterday at the age of 86.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:14 PM ET, 10/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Obituary

Posted at 01:43 PM ET, 10/03/2013

Editors and the gender gap

The editor of the American Political Science Review gives her perspective on the gender gap.

By Erik Voeten  |  01:43 PM ET, 10/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 10:36 AM ET, 10/03/2013

The gender gap from the gatekeeper’s perspective

The editor of the American Journal of Political Science reflects on how he considers gender issues.

By Erik Voeten  |  10:36 AM ET, 10/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 10:17 AM ET, 10/03/2013

Political polarization of the American public continues to rise. Or does it?

The answer depends on an issue being debated in the polling community: how much to believe surveys conducted over the Internet.

By John Sides  |  10:17 AM ET, 10/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Polarization, poll, survey

Posted at 08:59 AM ET, 10/03/2013

Government shutdowns are the worst kind of budgetary reversion, except for all the rest

Cox argues that the costs of the occasional government shutdown are worth retaining Congress’s power over the purse.

By Erik Voeten  |  08:59 AM ET, 10/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 04:10 PM ET, 10/02/2013

Why do leaders manipulate (or not) elections? Revisiting the 2013 Moscow mayoral elections.

In last month’s Moscow mayoral election, the puzzle may be why the incumbent, Sergei Sobyanin, permitted a relatively open election.

By Joshua Tucker  |  04:10 PM ET, 10/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report, election reports

Posted at 12:28 PM ET, 10/02/2013

Student evaluations of teaching are probably biased. Does it matter?

Men and women receive similar teaching evaluations in small seminars. But not in large lecture classes.

By Erik Voeten  |  12:28 PM ET, 10/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 09:40 AM ET, 10/02/2013

Why it matters that more women present at conferences

Sara Mitchell shows how the gender gap in citations is smaller when women constitute a critical mass in a field.

By Erik Voeten  |  09:40 AM ET, 10/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 07:02 AM ET, 10/02/2013

Red States create red tape for Medicaid

How easy or hard it is to enroll in Medicaid depends on which party controls the state government.

By John Sides  |  07:02 AM ET, 10/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Health Care

Posted at 06:01 AM ET, 10/02/2013

Why the discharge rule won’t help Democrats on the CR

The House discharge rule provides no cure-all for ending the impasse over the CR.

By Sarah Binder  |  06:01 AM ET, 10/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 05:01 PM ET, 10/01/2013

Tweeting the shutdown: A picture is worth 800,000 furloughed jobs

As the government shutdown, Republican members of Congress were tweeting about #obamacare and the House, while Democrats were tweeting about the #gopshutdown.

By Joshua Tucker  |  05:01 PM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 04:09 PM ET, 10/01/2013

Making like a lemming can be tactically smart

Behaving like an explosive lemming can be tactically smart.

By Henry Farrell  |  04:09 PM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 02:53 PM ET, 10/01/2013

Closing the gender citation gap: Introducing RADS

Can an automated tool help authors create better bibliographies and avoid gender biases?

By Erik Voeten  |  02:53 PM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  GENDER GAP

Posted at 10:33 AM ET, 10/01/2013

How to reduce the gender gap in one (relatively) easy step

B.F. Walter proposes a relatively simple way to reduce the gender gap in academia.

By Erik Voeten  |  10:33 AM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Gender, GENDER GAP

Posted at 08:40 AM ET, 10/01/2013

Why other countries don’t have government shutdowns

Politics is pretty crazy in other countries too. So, why don’t they have government shutdowns?

By Erik Voeten  |  08:40 AM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Government Shutdown

Posted at 03:36 AM ET, 10/01/2013

Why don’t Republicans want to play more CR Ping-Pong?

How will the impasse over funding the government be resolved? House leaders want to put away their Ping-Pong paddles.

By Sarah Binder  |  03:36 AM ET, 10/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

 

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