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The Monkey Cage: November, 2013

Posted at 04:14 PM ET, 11/29/2013

The week in one song: ‘Lost in the Supermarket’

Scream and fight, most scarily.

By Christopher Federico  |  04:14 PM ET, 11/29/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Black Friday, The Week in One Song

Posted at 10:35 AM ET, 11/28/2013

The bipartisanship of turkeys

Turkeys can be found in almost equal numbers in red states, blue states and purple states. You draw the implications...

By Joshua Tucker  |  10:35 AM ET, 11/28/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:49 AM ET, 11/27/2013

Number of foreign fighters from Europe in Syria is historically unprecedented. Who should be worried?

New data suggest the number of Europeans fighting in Syria is higher than previously believed, and some of Europe’s smaller countries have the most reason to worry.

By Thomas Hegghammer  |  10:49 AM ET, 11/27/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 11/27/2013

Why biology belongs in the study of politics

A prominent scholar of genopolitics defends the field.

By John Hibbing  |  08:00 AM ET, 11/27/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:44 PM ET, 11/26/2013

Japan’s enduring political inequality just won’t go away

“One person, one vote” still hasn’t come to Japan. Why not?

By Sean Richey  |  08:44 PM ET, 11/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 01:42 PM ET, 11/26/2013

A diplomatic endgame with Iran? The case for optimism

Convincing Iran to settle for nuclear latency may require some concessions from the United States. But this isn’t surprising.

By Matthew Fuhrmann  |  01:42 PM ET, 11/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international security, Iran, Nuclear Weapons

Posted at 11:15 AM ET, 11/26/2013

What Medicare can teach us about the future of Obamacare

New research suggests how the Affordable Care Act could become more popular.

By Amy Lerman  |  11:15 AM ET, 11/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 11/26/2013

Good judgment in forecasting international affairs (and an invitation for season 3)

Why some forecasts are better than others and how you can help improve them.

By Michael Horowitz  |  08:01 AM ET, 11/26/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  forecasting

Posted at 08:13 PM ET, 11/25/2013

What political scientists are saying about the Iran deal

Views from political scientists around the web on the Iran deal

By Erik Voeten  |  08:13 PM ET, 11/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Iran

Posted at 01:29 PM ET, 11/25/2013

Why victory for Bachelet in Chile is undeniable but bittersweet

Bachelet falls short of a first-round victory and faces an uncertain reform landscape in congress.

By Kirsten Sehnbruch and Peter M. Siavelis  |  01:29 PM ET, 11/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, Comparative Politics, Election Report

Posted at 11:51 AM ET, 11/25/2013

Far-sighted policymaking is hard. Here’s how to make it easier.

To support policies with benefits tomorrow, people need to trust government today

By Alan Jacobs and Scott Matthews  |  11:51 AM ET, 11/25/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 02:03 PM ET, 11/24/2013

Fate of the filibuster in a post-nuclear Senate

Why did the Democrats go nuclear and with what consequence for the future of the filibuster?

By Sarah Binder  |  02:03 PM ET, 11/24/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, filibuster

Posted at 09:57 AM ET, 11/24/2013

Bargaining theory and the Iran deal

What can bargaining theory tell us about the latest agreement with Iran?

By Erik Voeten  |  09:57 AM ET, 11/24/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Iran

Posted at 01:27 PM ET, 11/23/2013

Why eliminating the filibuster altogether would matter less than you think

Simulated models of past Congresses show that if the filibuster had never existed, some -- but not much -- more legislation might have been passed.

By Adam Ramey  |  01:27 PM ET, 11/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, Legislative Politics

Posted at 09:20 AM ET, 11/23/2013

Was the nuclear option about filling the courts or filling the courts with Democrats?

The evidence suggests that partisanship, rather than efficiency, was the underlying reason for exercising the nuclear option.

By Tom Clark and Sanford Gordon  |  09:20 AM ET, 11/23/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Senate

Posted at 01:30 PM ET, 11/22/2013

The week in one song: ‘The Day John Kennedy Died’

Fifty years ago today.

By Christopher Federico  |  01:30 PM ET, 11/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  JFK, The Week in One Song

Posted at 12:59 PM ET, 11/22/2013

Credit claiming and the politics of relief efforts

Politicians will take credit for aid even if they don’t deserve it. How can aid agencies give them better incentives?

By Cesi Cruz  |  12:59 PM ET, 11/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Philippines

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 11/22/2013

Can foreign aid make elections more competitive?

Here is some new evidence and cool maps.

By Joel Selway  |  10:00 AM ET, 11/22/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Foreign Aid

Posted at 06:14 PM ET, 11/21/2013

Reid’s tactical nuke and the future of the Senate

Thursday’s events show that a simple majority of senators can restrict filibustering whenever they choose. What does that portend?

By Gregory Koger  |  06:14 PM ET, 11/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  nuclear option, Senate, Senate procedure

Posted at 02:26 PM ET, 11/21/2013

Boom! What the Senate will be like when the nuclear dust settles

The Democrats did this in an institutionally-gutsy way.

By Sarah Binder  |  02:26 PM ET, 11/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 12:44 PM ET, 11/21/2013

Why not say sorry? Afghanistan and the politics of apologies

Why apologies aren’t necessary for reconciliation—and often do more harm than good.

By Jennifer Lind  |  12:44 PM ET, 11/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international relations

Posted at 10:09 AM ET, 11/21/2013

How Valve demonstrates democracy in the workplace

Valve Software demonstrates how democratic decision making can have crucial benefits for business as well as politics.

By Henry Farrell  |  10:09 AM ET, 11/21/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political economy

Posted at 10:28 PM ET, 11/20/2013

Will Senate Democrats go nuclear?

Senate Democrats argue that some filibusters are acceptable while others are beyond the pale. Can they have it both ways?

By Sarah Binder  |  10:28 PM ET, 11/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, judges

Posted at 07:22 PM ET, 11/20/2013

The New York Times is creating a new data-driven journalism venture

Journalists and social scientists are coming together to build a common space for debate.

By Henry Farrell  |  07:22 PM ET, 11/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  media

Posted at 04:00 PM ET, 11/20/2013

Is Zeman ze man?

A supposedly powerless president is complicating the formation of a new Czech government. What will be the long term consequences?

By Vincent Post  |  04:00 PM ET, 11/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 03:55 PM ET, 11/20/2013

Polls say ENDA has majority support in every congressional district

And there’s a nifty interactive district-by-district map.

By Andrew Gelman  |  03:55 PM ET, 11/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, ENDA, Gay rights, MRP

Posted at 10:28 AM ET, 11/20/2013

Why Rob Ford is still in office, and what might make him resign

The Toronto City Council may have done the best thing to make Rob Ford leave.

By Brandon Rottinghaus  |  10:28 AM ET, 11/20/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 02:49 PM ET, 11/19/2013

Cheney vs. Cheney -- via Zuckerberg?

A dispute between the Cheney sisters over gay marriage spilled into public view this weekend, but what is just as interesting is the way in which it did so.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:49 PM ET, 11/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 07:30 AM ET, 11/19/2013

Long commutes are making Americans more politically apathetic

New research suggests that those hours spent in traffic may actually hurt our democracy.

By John Sides  |  07:30 AM ET, 11/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 06:00 AM ET, 11/19/2013

Ronnie White has been renominated: Third time’s a charm?

Will former judge Ronnie White-- recently nominated to the federal bench for a third time-- manage to escape the new wars of advice and consent? Probably not.

By Sarah Binder  |  06:00 AM ET, 11/19/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 08:51 PM ET, 11/18/2013

Liz Cheney’s view of gay marriage makes her a normal Republican

Same-sex marriage is a long way from becoming a fully bipartisan issue.

By John Sides  |  08:51 PM ET, 11/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:40 AM ET, 11/18/2013

The United States is isolated in the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations

Canada and the United States are the two most isolated countries in the Trans Pacific Partnership negotiations.

By Henry Farrell  |  10:40 AM ET, 11/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  intellectual property, international relations

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 11/18/2013

Should the U.S. give cash or food to the Philippines?

Americans who reside in farm states are more supportive of food aid than cash transfers, whereas those in other states are not.

By Lauren Prather  |  08:00 AM ET, 11/18/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Philippines

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 11/16/2013

The week in one song: ‘Promises Promises’

A young Billy Idol comments on the ACA’s latest travails.

By Christopher Federico  |  08:00 AM ET, 11/16/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Affordable Care Act, Health Care, Obamacare

Posted at 03:30 PM ET, 11/15/2013

Democratic and Republican appointees to the Federal Reserve aren’t that different, after all

New research reveals some surprising things about the Federal Reserve.

By John Sides  |  03:30 PM ET, 11/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:07 AM ET, 11/15/2013

Five key questions -- and answers -- about the leaked TPP text

The leaked TPP text presents big problems for the world and for American democracy.

By Henry Farrell  |  09:07 AM ET, 11/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  intellectual property, international relations

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 11/15/2013

Political dysfunction in the Philippines is hurting Haiyan’s victims

Patronage and profiteering are par for the course.

By Jennifer Keister  |  08:00 AM ET, 11/15/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 12:41 PM ET, 11/14/2013

Forget Obamacare, remember when Syria was going to ruin Obama’s term? Remember Syria??

Some observers believe troubles with the health-care rollout are sure to doom the rest of Obama’s term. But haven’t we heard this all before?

By Joshua Tucker  |  12:41 PM ET, 11/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  public opinion, Syria

Posted at 08:18 AM ET, 11/14/2013

Five key questions -- and answers -- about the nuclear talks with Iran

What you need to know about the Iranian nuclear program

By Henry Farrell  |  08:18 AM ET, 11/14/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international security, Nuclear Weapons

Posted at 01:29 PM ET, 11/13/2013

No, good looks don’t win elections

A candidate’s physical attractiveness doesn’t affect elections very much at all.

By Ryan Enos  |  01:29 PM ET, 11/13/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 05:09 PM ET, 11/12/2013

Most Americans live in Purple America, not Red or Blue America

We’re far less politically divided by geography than it may seem.

By John Sides  |  05:09 PM ET, 11/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 04:57 PM ET, 11/12/2013

Politics and disaster aid in the Philippines

Political and family ties have affected the distribution of disaster aid from the government in the Philippines in the past. Will this time be different?

By James Atkinson, Allen Hicken and Nico Ravanilla  |  04:57 PM ET, 11/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 04:47 PM ET, 11/12/2013

Your genes influence your political views. So what?

Genetic “explanations” of political attitudes and behavior are neither impossible nor illegitimate; they are just not very interesting.

By Larry Bartels  |  04:47 PM ET, 11/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  genopolitics

Posted at 12:05 PM ET, 11/12/2013

Russia’s busy Web 2.0 week: Singing police, currency votes, and Olympics in space

It’s been a busy Web 2.0 week in Russia.

By Joshua Tucker  |  12:05 PM ET, 11/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  frivolity

Posted at 10:47 AM ET, 11/12/2013

Why are international institutions more popular than domestic institutions?

Across countries, citizens on average give higher favorability ratings to international than to domestic institutions. Why?

By Erik Voeten  |  10:47 AM ET, 11/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international relations

Posted at 01:00 AM ET, 11/12/2013

What Senate cloture votes tell us about obstruction

Glenn Kessler discounts cloture motions as a proxy for measuring obstruction in the Senate. I disagree.

By Sarah Binder  |  01:00 AM ET, 11/12/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 01:11 PM ET, 11/11/2013

Bachelet to be elected president of Chile, but then what?

Michelle Bachelet will be the next president of Chile. What this means for the country, however, is less clear.

By Peter M. Siavelis and Kirsten Sehnbruch  |  01:11 PM ET, 11/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report

Posted at 11:59 AM ET, 11/11/2013

Cyber-Pearl Harbor is a myth

Don’t expect to see any Pearl Harbor style cyber attacks, unless you’re watching a bad Bruce Willis movie.

By Henry Farrell  |  11:59 AM ET, 11/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  cybersecurity, international security

Posted at 11:02 AM ET, 11/11/2013

Does it matter that so few congressmen are veterans?

Does it matter that the U.S. Congress now has the lowest proportion of veterans since World War II?

By Erik Voeten  |  11:02 AM ET, 11/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Veterans

Posted at 10:49 AM ET, 11/11/2013

Why so many Americans believe Kennedy assassination conspiracy theories

New research suggests why Kennedy assassination theories continue to be so popular -- even though conspiracy theories overall are on the decline.

By Joseph Uscinski and Joseph Parent  |  10:49 AM ET, 11/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:00 AM ET, 11/11/2013

Where’s that Team of Rivals?

A competitive “team of rivals” advising structure might work - but it is hard to keep one going.

By Andrew Rudalevige  |  09:00 AM ET, 11/11/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  advising, Health Care, Presidency, White House staff

Posted at 04:24 PM ET, 11/10/2013

Buyer’s remorse in Chilean elections?

Progressive voters in Chile may find themselves with a case of buyer’s remorse after a shift from compulsory to voluntary voting.

By John Carey and Yusaku Horiuchi  |  04:24 PM ET, 11/10/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Report, Electoral Reform

Posted at 04:01 PM ET, 11/08/2013

The week in one song: ‘Rob Ford (Crack Remix)’

Crack is whack, especially for mayors of major North American cities.

By Christopher Federico  |  04:01 PM ET, 11/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Canada, Rob Ford

Posted at 09:53 AM ET, 11/08/2013

The more Americans know about the NSA, the less they like it (or vice versa)

Americans who know basic facts about the NSA are more likely to dislike it than those who are less knowledgeable.

By Henry Farrell  |  09:53 AM ET, 11/08/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  NSA, public opinion

Posted at 04:59 PM ET, 11/07/2013

How to weather-proof our elections

Local election officials figured out how to help voters after Hurricane Sandy.

By Robert Stein  |  04:59 PM ET, 11/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 12:54 PM ET, 11/07/2013

Research and Politics open for submissions

A new open access peer reviewed political science journal opens for submissions

By Erik Voeten  |  12:54 PM ET, 11/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Academics

Posted at 12:32 PM ET, 11/07/2013

Can competitive elections decrease investment? Yes.

When elections are competitive, people hold off on making investments that would be costly to unload.

By Brandice Canes-Wrone and Jee-Kwang Park  |  12:32 PM ET, 11/07/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, political economy

Posted at 02:04 PM ET, 11/06/2013

Assad’s overlooked international crimes

Why calling out Assad’s criminal behavior matters.

By Eamon Aloyo  |  02:04 PM ET, 11/06/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international law, international relations, Syria

Posted at 01:08 PM ET, 11/06/2013

Why Elizabeth Warren cares about funding the social sciences

Elizabeth Warren has been fighting for higher quality social science for decades.

By Henry Farrell  |  01:08 PM ET, 11/06/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  NSF, political science

Posted at 09:10 AM ET, 11/06/2013

4 takeaways for Democrats from Election Night 2013

Why last night’s results may make it harder, not easier, for Democrats in 2014 and 2016.

By John Sides  |  09:10 AM ET, 11/06/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 11:31 AM ET, 11/05/2013

How money talks in state legislatures

New research examines variation in the influence of money on the legislative process across all 50 U.S. states.

By Lynda Powell  |  11:31 AM ET, 11/05/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 10:44 AM ET, 11/05/2013

Our allies’ spooks don’t just spy on each other. They help each other change the law.

Alliances across different countries’ spying agencies are probably more important than the disagreements between them.

By Henry Farrell  |  10:44 AM ET, 11/05/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international security, Surveillance

Posted at 10:33 AM ET, 11/05/2013

Did Romney lose because he wasn’t likable enough? Probably not.

New research shows that Obama would have won even if voters had perceived Romney as more likable.

By John Sides  |  10:33 AM ET, 11/05/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:38 AM ET, 11/05/2013

Fixing elections: What the U.S. can learn from Britain

How to make elections run more smoothly? Publishing rankings of the performance of local election administration may help.

By Toby James  |  09:38 AM ET, 11/05/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections

Posted at 02:15 PM ET, 11/04/2013

Our elected officials aren’t feeling very accountable

A survey of state legislators finds much less esteem for voters than voters have for themselves.

By Larry Bartels  |  02:15 PM ET, 11/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political accountability, public opinion, state legislators

Posted at 02:09 PM ET, 11/04/2013

The fundamental *political* challenge of climate change

The inherent political difficulties in enacting climate change legislation, and why grandchildren may be part of the solution.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:09 PM ET, 11/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Climate Change, Science and Politics

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 11/04/2013

To understand the emotive part of voters’ decisions, you need numbers

A review of the new book “Double Down” makes an instructive mistake.

By Dan Hopkins  |  10:00 AM ET, 11/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  2012 election, voting behavior

Posted at 08:36 AM ET, 11/04/2013

A European shutdown? The 2014 European elections and the great recession

Contrary to popular perceptions, Euroskeptics and the far right have lost as often as they have gained in recent elections

By Cas Mudde  |  08:36 AM ET, 11/04/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Populism

Posted at 10:02 AM ET, 11/03/2013

Memo to Senate Republicans: Your constituents want you to vote for ENDA

If senators listened to their constituents, the Employment Nondiscrimination Act would pass overwhelmingly.

By Jeff Lax and Justin Phillips  |  10:02 AM ET, 11/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Employment Nondiscrimination Act, Gay rights, public opinion, Senate

Posted at 09:03 AM ET, 11/03/2013

The passionate, anonymous Mr. White

Lee White (1923-2013) was an “old school” White House staffer - he had a passion for anonymity, but also for justice.

By Andrew Rudalevige  |  09:03 AM ET, 11/03/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Obituary, Presidency, White House staff

Posted at 12:54 AM ET, 11/02/2013

What next for the Pakistani Taliban?

The killing of Hakimullah Mehsud in a drone strike has unleashed a wave of speculation about its implications.

By Jason Lyall  |  12:54 AM ET, 11/02/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 12:57 PM ET, 11/01/2013

Kosovo preelection report: Why who participates is more important than who wins

Will lack of participation by voters in North Kosovo undermine the E.U.-brokered deal between Belgrade and Pristina?

By Marko Zilovic  |  12:57 PM ET, 11/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Campaigns and Elections, Comparative Politics, Election Report

Posted at 11:26 AM ET, 11/01/2013

The week in one song: ‘Telephone Thing’

Sorry to be so short with you, but I’m tapped.

By Christopher Federico  |  11:26 AM ET, 11/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Surveillance, The Week in One Song

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 11/01/2013

Obama booting Biden? Here’s why that actually doesn’t matter.

Despite a juicy new story from the 2012 campaign, vice-presidents aren’t that important to the presidential ticket.

By John Sides  |  08:01 AM ET, 11/01/2013 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

 

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