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The Monkey Cage: February, 2014

Posted at 02:50 PM ET, 02/28/2014

5 reasons for everyone to calm down about Crimea

Russia is most likely not about to invade Ukraine. Here’s why.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:50 PM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Crimea, Separatism, Ukraine

Posted at 12:50 PM ET, 02/28/2014

‘By The Time I Get To Arizona’: The week in one song

The week in one song.

By Christopher Federico  |  12:50 PM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  The Week in One Song

Posted at 10:49 AM ET, 02/28/2014

How to prevent the crisis in Ukraine from escalating

Different narratives of the same events lead to “confirmation bias” which can escalate crises. Being aware of this bias is the first step to mitigating its potential harmful effects.

By Scott Radnitz  |  10:49 AM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Civil conflict, international relations, Ukraine

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 02/28/2014

Why secular but illiberal governments are no guarantee of religious freedom

Recent calls to view post-Soviet Central Asia as a model for political development in the broader Muslim world overlook the fact hostility to religious extremism does not imply an embrace of liberal values.

By Kara Downey  |  10:00 AM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Religion

Posted at 08:54 AM ET, 02/28/2014

The real story behind the FCC’s study of newsrooms

Is the news giving Americans the information they need? You have to do the research to know.

By Lewis Friedland  |  08:54 AM ET, 02/28/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  media

Posted at 12:04 PM ET, 02/27/2014

The surprising parity of the 2012 ground game

The conventional wisdom is that GOTV had small effects in 2012 -- and that those effects helped Obama. Both conclusions are premature.

By Ryan D. Enos and Anthony Fowler  |  12:04 PM ET, 02/27/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  2012 Campaign, Obama, Romney, Voter Mobilization

Posted at 09:54 AM ET, 02/27/2014

What does Ukraine’s #Euromaidan teach us about protest?

Detailed description of the different stages of Ukraine’s protests and what we can learn from these events

By Olga Onuch and Gwendolyn Sasse  |  09:54 AM ET, 02/27/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Protest, Social Media, Ukraine

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 02/27/2014

The new defense budget may change less than you think

The U.S. shift away from counterinsurgency is predictable, but it may not last.

By Elizabeth Saunders and Todd Sechser  |  08:00 AM ET, 02/27/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Defense Budget

Posted at 06:06 PM ET, 02/26/2014

In America’s War on Poverty, the free market is AWOL

The expanded safety net has contributed significantly to reducing poverty in America over the past half-century; but our market economy has not

By Larry Bartels  |  06:06 PM ET, 02/26/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political economy, poverty

Posted at 04:30 PM ET, 02/26/2014

Where are the flawed elections?

New research documents where in the world elections have high or low integrity. The U.S. ranks 26th out of 73.

By Pippa Norris, Richard W. Frank and and Ferran Martinez I Coma  |  04:30 PM ET, 02/26/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Election Fraud

Posted at 11:46 AM ET, 02/26/2014

Why Ukraine’s Yanukovych fell but so many analysts (including me) predicted he would survive

Yanukovych chose the wrong type of repression - high intensity coercison - for his patronage-based regime.

By Lucan Way  |  11:46 AM ET, 02/26/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Competitive Authoritarianism, Protest, Regime Change, Ukraine

Posted at 11:27 AM ET, 02/25/2014

Sharing qualitative data: the launch of the Qualitative Data Repository

The Qualitative Data Repository aims to increase the transparency and reproducibility of qualitative research.

By Colin Elman and Diana Kapiszewski  |  11:27 AM ET, 02/25/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Academia, political science

Posted at 09:29 AM ET, 02/25/2014

Bitcoin is like Tinkerbell: If people stop clapping, it’s going to die

If the general public doesn’t start believing in Bitcoin it is likely to evaporate.

By Henry Farrell  |  09:29 AM ET, 02/25/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political economy

Posted at 08:24 AM ET, 02/25/2014

Gridlock is bad. The alternative is worse.

The only thing worse than gridlocked political parties that can’t enact their agenda? Unfettered parties that can.

By Morris P. Fiorina  |  08:24 AM ET, 02/25/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, gridlock, Polarization, reform

Posted at 04:36 PM ET, 02/24/2014

The rise of morality politics in Africa: Talk is cheap and dangerous, but wins votes

Uganda’s anti-homosexuality bill is part of a broader trend towards legislating morality that may win votes but has dangerous consequences.

By Melina Platas Izama  |  04:36 PM ET, 02/24/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  LGBT Rights

Posted at 02:56 PM ET, 02/24/2014

Is Hagel tying America’s hands (and is that a bad thing)?

Can reducing the size of the military reduce the chance of unwise future military occupations?

By David Edelstein  |  02:56 PM ET, 02/24/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Defense Budget

Posted at 12:09 PM ET, 02/24/2014

Snowden-type leaks will force the U.S. to be more transparent

The Snowden leaks are forcing the US intelligence community to be more transparent. They may push foreign policy decision makers into being more transparent too.

By Henry Farrell  |  12:09 PM ET, 02/24/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  cybersecurity, Surveillance

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 02/24/2014

The FCC doesn’t need to invade newsrooms (academics have already done it for them)

The controversial study the FCC wanted is lurking in Google Scholar.

By Joseph Uscinski  |  12:00 PM ET, 02/24/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  media

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 02/24/2014

Obama’s Place in History: Great, Good, Average, Mediocre or Poor?

An early assessment suggests Obama is an average president, in danger of becoming mediocre.

By Stanley Renshon  |  08:00 AM ET, 02/24/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Presidents

Posted at 07:00 AM ET, 02/24/2014

Political takeaways from the Federal Reserve transcripts

Newly released FOMC transcripts from 2008 suggest that the Fed’s governing capacity was challenged as the global financial crisis worsened.

By Sarah Binder  |  07:00 AM ET, 02/24/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Federal Reserve

Posted at 09:01 AM ET, 02/23/2014

Data on the relevance of political scientists to the NYT

Increasingly useful to Nicholas Kristof’s colleagues, anyway.

By James Fearon  |  09:01 AM ET, 02/23/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 01:22 PM ET, 02/21/2014

Being appointed a senator doesn’t help you win the next election

John Walsh’s appointment to the Senate may not help him much in November.

By Ben Highton  |  01:22 PM ET, 02/21/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 10:19 AM ET, 02/21/2014

‘Protest and Survive’: The week in one song

“It’s up to us to change that course.“

By Christopher Federico  |  10:19 AM ET, 02/21/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  The Week in One Song

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 02/21/2014

The Obama campaign won GOTV gold in the 2012 campaign games

New analysis shows how much Obama’s get-out-the-vote drive beat Romney’s.

By Aaron Strauss  |  10:00 AM ET, 02/21/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 09:57 AM ET, 02/21/2014

Five key questions -- and answers -- about the threat to Volkswagen investment in the South

The head of Volkswagen’s works council has threatened to withdraw support for future investment in the U.S. South, following the failed vote on union recognition.

By Henry Farrell  |  09:57 AM ET, 02/21/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Unions

Posted at 04:09 PM ET, 02/20/2014

The political science of cybersecurity III -- How international relations theory shapes U.S. cybersecurity doctrine

Basic political science ideas about offense, defense and deterrence shaped the politics of the Cold War. They also shape the politics of cybersecurity today.

By Henry Farrell  |  04:09 PM ET, 02/20/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  cybersecurity

Posted at 09:24 AM ET, 02/20/2014

Putin and the creative class: Who loves him, who hates him, and who couldn’t care less?

While Russia’s urban elite may loosely support the current regime, it doesn’t trust it and the support doesn’t run very deep.

By Graeme Robertson and Sam Greene  |  09:24 AM ET, 02/20/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Data, public opinion, Russia, urban elites

Posted at 08:30 AM ET, 02/20/2014

In America, polarization is a problem. In Britain, it could be a solution.

Think the U.S. could use less polarization, more centrist politicians, and maybe a third party? At look at British politics might change your mind.

By Rob Ford  |  08:30 AM ET, 02/20/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Britain, Polarization, UKIP

Posted at 08:20 AM ET, 02/20/2014

Judges as principled politicians

Why Americans support the Supreme Court more than Congress, even when they believe both are politicized.

By Erik Voeten  |  08:20 AM ET, 02/20/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Supreme Court

Posted at 07:00 AM ET, 02/19/2014

You can vote twice! The many political appeals of proxy votes in France

How French political parties use proxy votes to win elections

By Baptiste Coulmont, Jo l Gombin and and Arthur Charpentier  |  07:00 AM ET, 02/19/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  France

Posted at 11:49 PM ET, 02/18/2014

What you need to know about Ukraine

What we’ve learned from recent posts by experts on Ukraine that have appeared on The Monkey Cage.

By Joshua Tucker  |  11:49 PM ET, 02/18/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 05:00 PM ET, 02/18/2014

Campaign contributions and ambassadorships

Campaign contributions are correlated with ambassadorships in countries with pleasant living conditions.

By Erik Voeten  |  05:00 PM ET, 02/18/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Ambassadors

Posted at 01:30 PM ET, 02/18/2014

Canada is polarizing--and it’s because of the parties

In Canada, polarization is real--and it’s the product of parties’ strategic choices, not voters’ changing views.

By Richard Johnston  |  01:30 PM ET, 02/18/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Canada, Polarization, Political Parties

Posted at 11:30 AM ET, 02/18/2014

The ‘Fragile Five’ will not create a new global economic crisis

Fears that the ‘Fragile Five’ will provoke a new global financial crisis are overblown. The cycle of economic instability is driven by the political economy of the US, not peripheral countries.

By Thomas Oatley  |  11:30 AM ET, 02/18/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  international political economy, international relations

Posted at 10:46 AM ET, 02/18/2014

Wall Street movies predict stock market crashes

Whenever there’s a big Wall Street movie, a stock market crash is soon to follow.

By Andrew Gelman  |  10:46 AM ET, 02/18/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Movies, Wall Street

Posted at 07:37 PM ET, 02/17/2014

Why we can’t see Jordan Davis and why it matters

Stereotypes may have made Davis invisible.

By Corrine McConnaughy  |  07:37 PM ET, 02/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  race

Posted at 04:55 PM ET, 02/17/2014

Sure, Congress is polarized. But other legislatures are more so.

If polarization is an American problem, why is it higher in other countries?

By David W. Brady  |  04:55 PM ET, 02/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Britain, Comparative Politics, Japan, Polarization

Posted at 12:07 PM ET, 02/17/2014

The culture of corruption: Russians pay, but they don’t like it

Original research finds surprisingly little support among Muscovites for bribe paying.

By Timothy Frye  |  12:07 PM ET, 02/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  corruption, Russia

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 02/17/2014

Why presidents must play the hero

Presidents have no choice but to promise what they can’t deliver.

By Justin Vaughn and Jennifer Mercieca  |  08:00 AM ET, 02/17/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Presidents

Posted at 06:28 PM ET, 02/15/2014

Dear Nicholas Kristof: We are right here!

Nicholas Kristof thinks academic political scientists have made themselves irrelevant. I happen to disagree.

By Erik Voeten  |  06:28 PM ET, 02/15/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Academia

Posted at 10:05 AM ET, 02/15/2014

Ignore your base at your peril, Bill de Blasio

With a speed and fury unmatched in modern times, Bill de Blasio has turned on his base: elementary school children

By Joshua Tucker  |  10:05 AM ET, 02/15/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  frivolity, New York City, snow

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 02/14/2014

Our political parties are networked, not fragmented

And networked parties aren’t necessarily less effective.

By Seth Masket  |  10:00 AM ET, 02/14/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Polarization

Posted at 09:35 AM ET, 02/14/2014

Why a Bitcoin vulnerability has undermined the Silk Road

For a while, the Silk Road online drug market allowed criminals to trust each other. Now it appears to be crashing.

By Henry Farrell  |  09:35 AM ET, 02/14/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  cybersecurity, sociology

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 02/14/2014

Do Republican presidents produce higher infant mortality rates?

New research finds a correlation between the president’s party and infant mortality.

By John Sides  |  08:00 AM ET, 02/14/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Health Care

Posted at 02:11 PM ET, 02/13/2014

The political economy of Dutch speed skating success

How privatization may lie at the roots of Dutch speed skating success

By Erik Voeten  |  02:11 PM ET, 02/13/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Olympics, sochi

Posted at 09:15 AM ET, 02/13/2014

Polarization in Congress has risen sharply. Where is it going next?

The weather forecast calls for cooling. This polarization forecast? Not so much.

By Christopher Hare, Keith T. Poole and and Howard Rosenthal  |  09:15 AM ET, 02/13/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, Polarization

Posted at 03:28 PM ET, 02/12/2014

Who are the protesters in Ukraine?

Ukraine’s protests may not be driven by the far right, but they are not supported by a clear majority of Ukrainians...and neither is a turn toward Europe.

By Keith Darden and Lucan Way  |  03:28 PM ET, 02/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Protest, Ukraine

Posted at 01:19 PM ET, 02/12/2014

Replication in political science graduate courses: an untapped resource?

Many political scientists produce replications during graduate training. What can be done with this knowledge?

By Nicole Janz, Seth Werfel and and Stephanie Wykstra  |  01:19 PM ET, 02/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political science

Posted at 11:44 AM ET, 02/12/2014

The political science of cybersecurity II: Why cryptography is so important

Battles over cryptography will help determine the future of the Internet

By Henry Farrell  |  11:44 AM ET, 02/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  cybersecurity, Surveillance

Posted at 10:45 AM ET, 02/12/2014

How to understand Russia’s Arctic strategy

After years of viewing the Arctic primarily in military terms, today Russia sees it as potential source of economic growth and development.

By Dmitry Gorenburg  |  10:45 AM ET, 02/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:27 AM ET, 02/12/2014

How ski jumping gets Olympic judging right (and figure skating gets it wrong)

Evidence of vote trading in figure skating judging persists. They could learn from ski jumping judges.

By Eric Zitzewitz  |  09:27 AM ET, 02/12/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Olympics

Posted at 03:24 PM ET, 02/11/2014

Robert Dahl as mentor

The famous political scientist had a more complex relationship with the left than many understood.

By Jeffrey Isaac  |  03:24 PM ET, 02/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Obituary

Posted at 12:56 PM ET, 02/11/2014

Robert Dahl: Scholar, teacher, democrat and mensch

A reflection on the life and work of Robert A. Dahl

By Jennifer Hochschild  |  12:56 PM ET, 02/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  political science

Posted at 12:20 PM ET, 02/11/2014

The Le Pen-Wilders alliance and the European Parliament: Plus a change, plus la meme chose

Why the far right is unlikely to form a powerful party group in the European Parliament.

By Cas Mudde  |  12:20 PM ET, 02/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  European Politics

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 02/11/2014

A tied Senate could end the filibuster, once and for all

In the wake of a hard-fought election to determine control of the Senate, would the temptation to eliminate the filibuster in order to gain clear control using the simple majority (with the vice president’s vote) be irresistible?

By Richard Arenberg  |  12:00 PM ET, 02/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Senate procedure

Posted at 09:00 AM ET, 02/11/2014

How the “midterm penalty” is hurting Democrats

Obama’s reelection in 2012 is making it harder for Democrats in 2014.

By Eric McGhee  |  09:00 AM ET, 02/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 07:00 AM ET, 02/11/2014

Why it matters what the public thinks about Janet Yellen

The greater the public’s confidence in the Fed (which tracks improvements in the economy), the greater the Fed’s autonomy and ability to make tough policy choices.

By  |  07:00 AM ET, 02/11/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Federal Reserve

Posted at 01:50 PM ET, 02/10/2014

How tweets helped predict the vote in the Tokyo mayoral election

The frequency of tweets regarding nuclear plants in the run up to the 2014 Tokyo mayor elections helps explain the election result.

By Steve Pickering, Seiki Tanaka and and Kyohei Yamada  |  01:50 PM ET, 02/10/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections and Voting, Japan, Social Media

Posted at 12:25 PM ET, 02/10/2014

How the 9/11 Commission helped Edward Snowden

The September 11 Commission’s recommendations led to more openness and new technologies within the intelligence community, but also making it easier to mine NSA computers for useful information.

By Henry Farrell  |  12:25 PM ET, 02/10/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Social Media, Surveillance

Posted at 11:50 AM ET, 02/10/2014

Why the Swiss voted to cap immigration

There’s a puzzle about Switzerland’s vote to cap immigration: The parts of the country with low immigration wanted to block more people coming in, while the parts with high immigration voted against the ban.

By Alexandre Afonso  |  11:50 AM ET, 02/10/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Europe, European Union, Immigration

Posted at 10:00 AM ET, 02/10/2014

The problems with caucuses and conventions

Voters don’t like caucuses, and they may be right.

By Christopher Karpowitz and Jeremy Pope  |  10:00 AM ET, 02/10/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 08:01 AM ET, 02/10/2014

Politics stops at the water’s edge? Not recently.

If you thought that foreign policy was immune from partisan polarization, think again.

By Robert J. Lieber  |  08:01 AM ET, 02/10/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  foreign policy, Polarization, public opinion

Posted at 02:12 PM ET, 02/08/2014

Robert Dahl obituaries

The eminent political scientist Robert Dahl passed away at the age of 98

By Erik Voeten  |  02:12 PM ET, 02/08/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Robert Dahl

Posted at 01:51 PM ET, 02/08/2014

‘Games Without Frontiers’: The week in one song

Jeux sans frontieres.

By Christopher Federico  |  01:51 PM ET, 02/08/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  The Week in One Song

Posted at 03:41 PM ET, 02/07/2014

How bond markets police balanced budget rules

It’s bond buyers, not lawsuits, that make balanced budget rules work

By Henry Farrell  |  03:41 PM ET, 02/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  European Union, political economy

Posted at 11:44 AM ET, 02/07/2014

Politico mocks and then agrees with our Senate forecast

Our Senate forecast is all, like, “no duh.“

By John Sides  |  11:44 AM ET, 02/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 10:04 AM ET, 02/07/2014

What you need to know about Putin’s popularity

Why did Putin’s popularity plunge in 2011 and then stabilize? It’s (still) the (Russian) economy, stupid.

By Daniel Treisman  |  10:04 AM ET, 02/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 09:41 AM ET, 02/07/2014

A test of Nancy Pelosi’s revolving door hypothesis

The revolving door is very much a congressional phenomenon.

By Tim LaPira and Herschel Thomas III  |  09:41 AM ET, 02/07/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Lobbying

Posted at 04:26 PM ET, 02/06/2014

How Republicans can win the Senate in 2014

Winning only four key races may be enough for the GOP.

By Ben Highton  |  04:26 PM ET, 02/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 12:00 PM ET, 02/06/2014

How to fix our polarized politics? Strengthen political parties.

The only way to fight political fragmentation is by empowering parties.

By Richard Pildes  |  12:00 PM ET, 02/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Polarization

Posted at 10:41 AM ET, 02/06/2014

House Republicans do not need Jesus Christ as their speaker

John Boehner appears to be doing just fine, thank you.

By John Sides  |  10:41 AM ET, 02/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress

Posted at 09:00 AM ET, 02/06/2014

For Democrats running for Senate, 2014 is an unlucky year

This year’s Senate seats are in redder states than seats up in other years.

By Ben Highton  |  09:00 AM ET, 02/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 08:58 AM ET, 02/06/2014

Why bill success is a lousy way to keep score in Congress

Figuring out who really wrote a law in Congress is not as simple as it seems, as new methods in the study of text-as-data demonstrate.

By John Wilkerson, Nick Stramp and and David Smith  |  08:58 AM ET, 02/06/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Congress, text as data

Posted at 05:00 PM ET, 02/05/2014

Your Sochi 2014 companion: Monkey Cage Russian politics posts

Just in time for Sochi 2014, a series of Russian politics posts are coming to The Monkey Cage! Plus, a video on the history and rules of curling.

By Joshua Tucker  |  05:00 PM ET, 02/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Housekeeping, sochi

Posted at 02:24 PM ET, 02/05/2014

In Tokyo elections, Twitter reveals voter preferences in a way surveys do not

An analysis of tweets in Japan reveals important patterns regarding the issues voters care about in upcoming mayoral elections, including some missed by traditional surveys.

By Steve Pickering, Seiki Tanaka and and Kyohei Yamada  |  02:24 PM ET, 02/05/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections and Voting, Japan, Social Media

Posted at 04:58 PM ET, 02/04/2014

Poe’s Law in action

A silly study comparing state-level alcohol consumption illustrates the difficulty of distinguishing between trolls and kooks.

By Andrew Gelman  |  04:58 PM ET, 02/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Science, Trolls

Posted at 10:43 AM ET, 02/04/2014

Are there genes that lead men to enjoy fighting?

Research links some genes to increased aggression. What does this mean?

By Erik Voeten  |  10:43 AM ET, 02/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  genes

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 02/04/2014

Why you shouldn’t blame polarization on partisan news

Partisan news isn’t more polarizing than mainstream news. (And partisan news viewers are already polarized anyway.)

By Kevin Arceneaux  |  08:00 AM ET, 02/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)

Posted at 08:00 AM ET, 02/04/2014

Are voters in an anti-incumbent mood? Don’t count on it.

The public’s dissatisfaction with Congress typically hurts one party, not all incumbents.

By Eric McGhee  |  08:00 AM ET, 02/04/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Elections

Posted at 08:48 AM ET, 02/03/2014

Are Fox and MSNBC polarizing America?

Today’s changing media environment mostly affects those voters who are already committed partisans.

By Matt Levendusky  |  08:48 AM ET, 02/03/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  media, Polarization

Posted at 02:53 PM ET, 02/02/2014

Go for it on fourth down!

Academic research suggests teams are too conservative and would benefit from attempting fewer field goals.

By Joshua Tucker  |  02:53 PM ET, 02/02/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  frivolity, sports, Super Bowl

Posted at 01:26 PM ET, 02/02/2014

The best television show about politics ever

The Danish drama “Borgen” is a must-watch for the discerning political junkie.

By Stephen Benedict Dyson  |  01:26 PM ET, 02/02/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  Entertainment

Posted at 03:18 PM ET, 02/01/2014

‘State of the Nation’: The week in one song

It’s State of the Union Week!

By Christopher Federico  |  03:18 PM ET, 02/01/2014 |  Permalink  |  Comments ( 0)
Tags:  State of the Union address, The Week in One Song

 

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