Quinnipiac’s latest boxful of polls is out, this time for swing states. The headline numbers:
Colorado: Romney 50 – Obama 45
Virginia: Obama 49 – Romney 45
Wisconsin: Obama 51 – Romney 45
The Virginia numbers are of likely voters, with a margin of error of 2.6 percent.
So. It looks a bit grim for Mitt, doesn’t it? Not necessarily. From the National Review’s The Corner:
In Virginia, there was a 7-point advantage given to Democrats, with Republicans’ weighted percent 23 percent and Democrats 30 percent. Exit polls in Virginia from 2008 show that Democrats had a 6-point advantage, with 39 percent of state voters Democrat and 33 percent Republican. Virginia has been getting bluer, it’s true, but considering the difference in enthusiasm this time around, it seems unlikely that the 6-point advantage would hold, much less that Democrats would gain another point.
Ah, the dreaded enthusiasm gap. According to Gallup, it’s real, growing and the trend is not favorable to the president.
And of additional interest, Quinnipiac finds the Senate race between George Allen and Tim Kaine is still a squeaker:
[Continue reading Norman Leahy’s post at Bearing Drift.]
Norman Leahy blogs at Bearing Drift. The Local Blog Network is a group of bloggers from around the D.C. region who have agreed to make regular contributions to All Opinions Are Local.
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