NL Cy Young
1. Roy Halladay (Phillies), 2. Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers), 3. Cliff Lee (Phillies).
Very little separates Halladay and Kershaw (and Lee, for that matter) in most of the meaningful pitching categories. What pushes Halladay to the top of my ballot is their relative pitching environments — the band-box of Philadelphia’s Citizens Bank Park versus the pitcher’s haven of L.A.’s Dodger Stadium (not to mention the entire NL West). It’s the main reason WAR likes Halladay better — as of this writing, he was ahead of Kershaw by half a run in the Baseball-Reference.com version and 1.2 runs in the Fangraphs.com version. Still, I suspect Kershaw’s slight lead in wins, strikeouts and ERA will sway most votersand hand him the hardware.
Next: AL Rookie of the Year