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Behind the Numbers
Posted at 04:56 PM ET, 03/04/2008


With the Democratic race for the nomination forging ahead and Mike Huckabee attempting to keep the Republican race alive, Behind the Numbers looks ahead to the next big moment in the presidential race: the veepstakes.

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll asked Democrats and Republicans whom they would most like to see paired up with their party's frontrunner. Few names beyond those the frontrunners defeated emerged, but some interesting numbers did.

On the Democratic side, 36 percent said that if Obama wins, he should choose Hillary Clinton as his running mate; 11 percent preferred John Edwards and 3 percent Bill Richardson. Al Gore and Joe Biden were each cited by 1 percent. A third had no opinion.

Women (41 percent) were much more likely than men (28 percent) to say Obama should choose Clinton. Those following the race "very closely" were also boosters of the former First Lady (40 percent said Obama should choose her, compared with a third of those following less attentively). About a third of Obama's supporters would like him to select Clinton, 14 percent said John Edwards, 28 percent had no opinion.

Other names mentioned by fewer than 1 percent of respondents included would-be party crashers Mike Bloomberg and Colin Powell, the policy-focused Sam Nunn and Anthony Zinni, and the red-state success stories Jim Webb and Kathleen Sebelius.

No Republican generates the level of support Clinton has from the Democrats; four in 10 said they had no preference. Mike Huckabee led the pack with 17 percent. About one in 10 thought McCain should choose Mitt Romney; 3 percent said Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice would be the best choice, 2 percent Rudy Giuliani.

Suprisingly, the white evangelical Protestants who have formed the backbone of Huckabee's campaign are not any more likely than non-evangelicals to say McCain should choose him as running mate. Huckabee's strongest support comes from conservative Republicans, 24 percent of whom said they'd like McCain to choose the former Arkansas governor.

Romney's support peaks among college educated Republicans (17 percent) and those with household incomes of $100,000 or more per year (18 percent).

Other notable names on the list: former Democratic VP candidate Joe Lieberman, cited by 2 percent; Colin Powell at 2 percent, Mike Bloomberg at 1 percent, and swing-state governors Charlie Crist (Fla.) and Tim Pawlenty (Minn.), each named by less than one percent of respondents.

Here's the full list for both parties:

Potential Obama running mates:

Q: If Obama is the Democratic nominee for president, who would you like him to choose as his vice presidential running mate? (Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents)

Hillary Clinton       36%
John Edwards          11
Bill Richardson        3
Joe Biden              1
Al Gore                1
Evan Bayh              *
Mike Bloomberg         *
Wesley Clark           *
Tom Daschle            *
Chris Dodd             *
Joe Lieberman          *
Sam Nunn               *
Colin Powell           *
Kathleen Sebelius      *
Ted Strickland         *
Jim Webb               *
Anthony Zinni          5
Other                 11
It is up to him        5
No opinion            34

Potential McCain running mates:

Q: If McCain is the Republican nominee for president, who would you like him to choose as his vice presidential running mate? (Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents)

Mike Huckabee         17%
Mitt Romney           11
Condoleezza Rice       3
Rudy Giuliani          2
Joe Lieberman          2
Colin Powell           2
Fred Thompson          2
Mike Bloomberg         1
Mark Sanford           1
Charlie Crist          *
Chuck Hagel            *
Kay Bailey Hutchison   *
Tim Pawlenty           *
Other                 11
It is up to him        3
No opinion            43

More from the Post-ABC poll can be found here.

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  04:56 PM ET, 03/04/2008

Categories:  Post Polls

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