For about 36 hours, between sunset Saturday and sunrise this morning, it actually looked and felt like winter. We had wind, cold, and even a dusting of the white stuff. But this afternoon, we’ve warmed back up to almost 50 degrees. Even though it’s just February 13, with the kind of weather we’ve had over the last few months, it’s tempting to say winter is over. But a number of computer models are hinting: hold your horses...
First of all, there may be a little patchy light snow tomorrow morning, mainly north and west of town. It doesn’t look like it may be much if anything, but someone could get a coating before temperatures bounce back into the 40s in the afternoon.
Of more significance, perhaps, are the prospects for a coastal storm this weekend, in the Sunday timeframe. Several international models have simulated such an event, but U.S. and Canadian models have not (mostly).
The usual uncertainties are all present about how strong a storm will form, the track the storm will take, and whether the air will be cold enough for snow. But the situations bears watching.
Wes Junker will break these issues down in more detail tomorrow, if models still simulate a threat. They may or may not. In the world of weather models, 6 days is an eternity and a lot can and will change.
But for now, let us know what you think. So far Reagan National has received just 1.9” of snow all winter, much below the average. Will we get any more this winter?