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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 11/03/2012

D.C. area forecast: Chilled conditions continue; storm threat holds off until mid-week

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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Partly sunny, breezy. Low-to-mid 50s. | Tonight: Partly cloudy. 30s. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny, less breezy. Near 50 to mid-50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

TODAY'S DAILY DIGIT

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10


It’s the last day before the sun starts setting absurdly early. Try to enjoy it despite the chill! Get the Digit on Twitter| Discuss on Facebook

FORECAST IN DETAIL


We should still be seeing temperatures near and above 60 for highs this time of year, but there’s no sign of readings that mild anytime soon. We’ve got more of the same from recent days ahead, except for what should be increased sunshine for us to enjoy. The region is still locked under an upper-level low-pressure regime though, so cloudiness is possible at times, and we’ll have to watch for storm development by the end of the forecast period.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map. See interactive map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): If you’re longing for warmth, no great news there today. But, otherwise it won’t be too bad. Look for at least periods of sunshine, and perhaps a fairly sunny day. Given the cold air aloft it’s hard not to see why we won’t get some clouds forming during peak “heating” though. Highs make it up into the low-and-mid 50s most spots, with a gusty breeze from the northwest sustained around 15-20 mph midday. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Skies remain variably cloudy. Breezes diminish, though they probably stay up around 5-10 mph through much of the night. Temperatures ranging from near freezing to the upper 30s get a bit of an extra bite from that wind. Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast into next week...

Tomorrow (Sunday): We should see some sun again, though if I had to guess, it could be cloudier than today. A little wave passes by to the south and rain should stay south of the area, but it may throw us some of that extra cloudiness. Highs rise to the low-and-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Skies remain partly to mostly cloudy through the night, and it’s another chilly one across the area. Lows again end up near or maybe a bit below freezing in the normally cold spots to the mid-or-upper 30s downtown. It’s possible (10-20%) some showers or snowflakes pop up in the area, but for now it wants to stay south. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

On Monday, the same general pattern is still with us, so we see a mix of clouds and sun. The wave that was passing by to our south on Sunday may also develop into a storm offshore. This one should stay east without much problem. It, and the upper-level energy associated with it, might promote some extra cloudiness though. Highs range from near 50 to the mid-50s. Confidence: Medium

Election day Tuesday is looking like one of the nicer days in the bunch for now. After a cold start with temperatures near 30 to the mid-30s, it won’t be any warmer. But, we should be solidly in between the first storm that misses us and a potential second storm starting to develop over the Deep South. We should see a good deal of sun, perhaps mostly sunny skies, as highs rise to the upper 40s west and northwest to the low-or-mid 50s downtown and southeast. Confidence: Medium

Models remain mixed regarding a coastal nor’easter Wednesday and Thursday of next week. If the storm ends up close enough to the coast, rain and wind odds go up as we progress through Wednesday. The system may very well interact with enough cold air for snow somewhere in the area or close by, probably favoring elevation. Other scenarios include a storm too far east for this area that goes on to hit New England, or even nothing at all. Given the pattern, one of the first two seems more likely for now. Confidence: Low

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 11/03/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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