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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 09/16/2011

Forecast: Brisk with sun and clouds. Hello autumn?

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
The autumnal air feels dramatic & we can use some sun. A cool breeze might be a bit of a shock, though.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Sunny with afternoon clouds. 63-70. | Tonight: Mostly cloudy. 47-53. | Tomorrow: Significant clouds, maybe a shower. Mid-60s to near 70. | Sunday: More sun than clouds. Low-to-mid 70s. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Shock and awe! Cool temperatures may shock our summer-complacent bodies but we see the awe-some yellow orb in the sky once again. We have a colder airmass at the surface and aloft, which means that any sunshine we see over the next few days could itself cover up the sky with midday and afternoon clouds unfortunately. 60s and 70s for temperatures aren’t too bad, right? Just keep that jacket handy, and check back with us this weekend to make sure a spotty (very isolated) shower isn’t headed your way. Welcome to a full-fledged fall preview!

Today (Friday): It’ll feel cool despite the sun being out! Grab a light jacket, and enjoy the morning sun before sun-warmed air here at the surface bubbles up into a colder atmosphere above us. Result? Greater numbers of clouds. Does it feel like May or October? (both?) I bet the air may even “smell” different to some of you, with highs only in the mid-to-upper 60s. Also be advised it could be brrrrreezy, from the north, around 10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Clouds may possibly keep us insulated all night as winds die down. With calm winds, though, any clear-skied spots (especially if you are normally colder than others nearby) could dip several degrees cooler than my currently expected range of upper 40s to low 50s. Confidence: Low-Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the beginning of next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): It could be fairly cloudy, especially in the morning. Frankly it is a bit difficult to foresee how much sunshine we might get. With a weakening sun angle this time of year, clouds could win for much of the day, keeping highs in the 60s for almost everyone. Perhaps 70 degrees or better for folks who see more than just one peek of sunshine. At least there is only about a 10-20% chance of rain—decent consolation, right? A northeasterly breeze could keep reinforcing the clouds with moisture off of the Bay and Atlantic. Confidence: Low-Medium

Tomorrow night: A couple evening showers actually might be possible, but I don’t foresee a rain-out. Evening temperatures in the 60s might be too cool to dine outdoors, as temperatures eventually dip before sunrise into the low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Sunday: Finally, a truly worthwhile weekend day, weather-wise! Much sunnier skies warm us, along with the dissipation of that pesky northeasterly breeze – it’s finally given up the ghost. A few afternoon clouds shouldn’t dissuade us from being outdoors, I would believe. The partly-to-mostly sunny skies should get us easily up into the 70-74 degree range; perhaps even a couple sunnier spots hit 76 or 77degrees (south of town). Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night: Overnight lows should be in the 50s for virtually everyone in the region. Skies could be fairly cloudy, which may help keep many in the upper 50s (clouds do act like a blanket, trapping heat rising from the buildings, concrete, and whatnot). Confidence: Low-Medium

Of course the workweek starts and a splendid day appears to be on tap for Monday. Most of the day should feature more sun than clouds, dry air (grab the lip balm?) and very little wind. Temperatures should range from about 70 to 75.  Confidence: Low-Medium

Perhaps the jet stream may attempt another dip southbound out of Canada by Tuesday. Just a hint of wet weather could be spawned in our area, which should still be well ahead of any cold front coming out of the Great Lakes region. Metro area conditions should be a mix of sun and clouds with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. Highs could make it up into the mid-70s to near 80. Rain chances currently stand at 20-30%. Don’t cancel outdoor activities just yet! Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 09/16/2011

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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