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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 11/21/2011

Forecast: Cloudy, wet start to week; drying for Thanksgiving into Saturday

Mostly mild temperatures

updated at 11:10 a.m. (to reflect warmer temps than forecast)

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Damp and gray, but decent, near normal temps in 50s.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Cloudy, chance of AM showers. 54-58 Near 60 to low 60s. | Tonight: Cloudy with chance of light rain. 45-50. | Tuesday: Cloudy with light rain/drizzle likely. 54-58 | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Surely, lots of people are on the move the first half of this week and the weather won’t be the best but certainly not the worst. Mostly, it’s cloudy and gray with pockets of light rain and drizzle. The most inclement weather may pass through the first half of Wednesday with some heavier showers or thunderstorms. We clear out for a sunny and windy Thanksgiving to be followed by generally dry and mild weather through Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms may close out the weekend.

Today (Monday): Perhaps there are some areas of light rain in the morning (30-40% chance). Otherwise, it’s mainly cloudy although I can’t rule out some breaks in the cloud deck in the afternoon. Flow from the east puts a cap on temperatures in the mid-to-upper 50s around 60 or into the low 60s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: The easterly flow and proximity of a stalled front keeps it cloudy and damp. We’ll have a 40% chance of light rain, with pockets of drizzle likely. Lows range from 45-50. Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the midweek...

Tomorrow (Tuesday): Periods of rain and drizzle are likely (70% chance) as the stalled front moves back to our north as a warm front. Rain is most likely in the morning and skies may brighten a bit later in the afternoon. Highs reach the mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: The rain may break in the evening, but showers and even thunderstorms probably develop late at night towards morning (50-60% chance) as a cold front rapidly approaches the area. Temperatures are nearly steady, holding the 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Showers and thunderstorms are likely Wednesday, especially during the morning. However, if the front slows down a bit, showers and storms could concentrate into the afternoon. Southerly winds ahead of the front may allow temperatures to briefly bounce into 60-65 degree range, especially if the front arrives later in the day. Gradual clearing occurs Wednesday afternoon or Wednesday night, and it turns breezy and cooler. Lows Wednesday night are 35-40. Confidence: Medium

Thanksgiving is partly to mostly sunny, windy and brisk. Highs head for the low 50s. Winds diminish some Thanksgiving night, with lows from the upper 20s in the cooler suburbs to the mid-30s downtown - chilly, but not brutal for the early risers seeking Black Friday deals. Confidence: Medium

Beautiful weather for both Black Friday and Saturday, with high pressure firmly in control. Highs both days are around 60 with mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows Friday night are from near freezing in the colder suburbs to near 40 downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

Increasing clouds Saturday night and Sunday with showers and thunderstorms possible as a sharp cold front barrels through. It won’t rain this entire period, but it’s premature to project the exact timing of the front. The storminess may affect folks traveling home after the holidays. Saturday night’s lows are ar ound 50 with high Sunday near 60. Stay tuned for more info in subsequent updates. Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 11/21/2011

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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