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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 01/26/2012

Forecast: Limited showers and tolerable temps today, mostly dry for the weekend

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
This is really a 4 north of city (cool damp) and 8 south of city (mild mainly dry) kind of day.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mainly cloudy with a few showers. 47-55. | Tonight: Increasing showers and mild. 45-49. | Tomorrow: Showers end early, clearing and breezy. 52-57. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Today we root for the warm front. If it pushes far enough north we get a darn nice day and if not, welcome to the damp and dank. Best bet is the farther south you live the better off you are. Tomorrow the “cold front” comes roaring through but you wouldn’t know it from the mild temperatures. Maybe we should call it a dry front. Do your outdooring Saturday since a real cold front will come through that night. Yes, we will have to suffer an interruption to our premature spring for a brief visit from winter (snow not included) Sunday and Monday.

Snow Potential Index: 1 (↓) - About the only hope for flakes is an errant flurry on Sunday and that is being a real optimist.
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Thursday): The toughest forecast day of all is today! My bet is that the warm front is going to win this battle. That will push the rain north of most of us and we will be in an out of the clouds with only a few very light showers (60% chance). However, this time of year is harder for warm fronts to win out so common sense dictates that the umbrella remain handy. Highs range from mid-40s north to mid-50s south. Again if the warm front wins we all get 50s if cold front loses we all get 40s. A breeze from the south should vary from 5 to 15 mph. Confidence: Low-Medium

Tonight: The great thing about this night is that temperatures barely slip with lows in the mid-to-upper 40s. The bad thing is occasional showers (90% chance) become more prevalent by late evening and widespread in the predawn hours. Look out for a downpour in spots. Winds remain from the south at 5-10 mph. Confidence: Medium

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast into early next week...

Tomorrow (Friday): Rains are still a 70% likelihood for the morning commute so plan accordingly. As soon as winds shift to come out of the northwest (about mid-morning) rains will come to an end and skies quickly clear. Look for some gusts into the 20s mph. This is my kind of front as the cold air is very slow to follow. Thus, temperatures manage low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Skies stay mainly cloudless and breezes lighten up in the evening. Temperatues drop off pretty quickly but still hang in the 40s. The overnight lows bottom out in the upper 20s to mid-30s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Saturday is yet another “I don’t care what the calendar says” days with bright sun, light breeezes and highs in the low-to-mid 50s. The evening should remain pleasantly in the 40s but night owls get their feathers ruffled as an Arctic cold front comes barreling through late. Lows still only fall to the low-to-mid 30s. Confidence: Medium

Sunday finally concedes that it is still January with a seasonable day on tap. Clouds slip by from time to time but sunshine is still in abundance. Highs are in the low-to-mid 40s. There is a weak disturbance well to our north but it is close enough to warrant a 20% chance of a flurry or snow shower. Overnight lows drop to the mid-to-upper 20s. Confidence: Medium

Monday has a hard time shaking the Arctic airmass and dry air is the word. Sun shines brightly but temperatures pay little attention with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Confidence: Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 01/26/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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