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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 12/03/2011

Forecast: Mainly mild weather persists

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Sunshine is abundant and breezes are light. Near average temperatures to boot!
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly sunny. Near 50 to low 50s. | Tonight: Partly cloudy. Upper 30s to lower 40s. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny. Mid-to-upper 50s. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

We’re just days away from falling to average high temperatures in the 40s, and about two weeks from an average low of freezing or below (in D.C. as measured at National Airport), but we continue to face pretty benign conditions for now at least. Today should be the only one of the next few where we’re close to average -- then the story, as it has been, goes back to “warmer than.” Hard to complain too much I guess, even as a snow lover, as we don’t usually pile it on this early anyway.

Snow Potential Index: 1 (→) - Tempting to lower to 0 as anything more than a flurry to end seems unlikely following next week's cold front. Still kinda far out though.
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Saturday): Following yesterday’s weak cold front, it’s a bit cooler today, but not much. And we’ve got high pressure expanding to our south which means we’re in for a good deal of sun and not a lot of wind. Plan on temperatures rising to near 50 or into the low 50s by afternoon. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: We may see periods of partly cloudy skies overnight, and also a resumption of a south wind. These factors should help keep temperatures up compared to recent nights. That means lows only as far down as the upper 30s in the colder suburbs to maybe as high as the mid-40s at toasty National. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the beginning of next week...

Tomorrow (Sunday): That mild south breeze picks up further which helps boost our afternoon temperatures and may also add some additional cloudiness to the mix. Hopefully any clouds are mainly high level though. Highs? Mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Skies are mostly cloudy, again helping to cap temperature falls. It’s not too bad for this time of year, though still chilly of course. Lows eventually bottom out near 40 in the coldest of suburbs to the mid-or-upper 40s downtown. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

For Monday, we’re expecting some more clouds -- partly to mostly cloudy on the whole. As a low pressure and attendant cold front approach from the west, we’re pumping in warmer air to the region still. Highs should pass 60 at least and may head toward the mid-60s without difficulty. Confidence: Medium

It appears Tuesday could be a bit drier than earlier thought, but there’s certainly more of a risk of showers than Monday. The cold front is still a pretty solid distance off to the west and temperatures actually warm aloft into the day. Unless it’s a washout, which I don’t expect, 60 degrees or higher seems like a good bet again. Showers (a 50% shot) could impact at any point though late-day is favored. Confidence: Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 12/03/2011

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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