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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 04/22/2011

Forecast: Cool and showery, then much warmer

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
A middle rating, partly due to regional differences: rainier/cooler north, drier/milder south.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly cloudy, p.m. showers. Near 50 to upper 50s.. | Tonight: Showers decrease. Mid-to-upper 40s. | Tomorrow: Morning shower? Some sun and warmer. 70s. | Sunday: Partly sunny, muggier. Isolated shower. Near 80. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

A front is playing cat and mouse with us for a few days. My forecast confidence is lower than usual -- conditions really could vary each day this weekend depending on exactly where the boundary sets up. Check the scenarios mentioned, so that you can dress and prepare appropriately! As rain and clouds threaten us today, our coolest of the next several, I think you might be happy to know that more sunshine and warmer conditions do take stronger hold as we go forward the next few days. So hang in there.


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Friday): It’s increasingly gray, cool, and showery -- the most consistent for northern areas. Skies should quickly become fully overcast during the morning. With a front draped nearby to the north, readers closest to it could get wetter due to proximity to this rainy focal point. Chilly east breezes around 10 mph may increase your pre-existing shivering while temperatures struggle to hit 50s well north and west while heading for the upper 50s south and east. Consolation for rainy areas is a washing-out of the near-extreme levels of pollen in the air! Confidence: Low-Medium

Tonight: Showers may persist into the night, but they should be light and the best odds remain over northern areas and north. About .25” seems a good general number in the immediate area, scaling upward heading north. Low temperatures dip slowly down into the mid-to-upper 40s. Winds shift as the front meanders overnight -- from the east to the southeast, around 10 or 15 mph. Remember if dressing to go out & about for the evening to compensate for these somewhat raw breezes. Confidence: Medium

It might get hot next week? Find out when...

Tomorrow (Saturday): The front should lift north a bit through the day, giving us increasing sunshine after some potential lingering morning showers. Highs should reach the 70s (how high depends on sunshine). You’ll start feeling a warmer afternoon breeze of about 15 mph, out of the southwest. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Pretty darn mild! Skies could keep a substantial number of clouds, but this will help slow temperatures falling through the 60s. Most of us end up, by sunrise (for church service, perhaps?), in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Before it cools later at night, I might be tempted to eat dinner on the patio! Confidence: Medium

Sunday: For Easter, we notably zoom above our average high of 68 degrees -- up to right around 80. We may have a few clouds with which to contend, especially in the afternoon. Yet shower chances, as it appears now, should stay low, though there could easily be a few around late day. I’d try to dig out the summer breathable suit in case you go to church during the potentially warmer/muggier hours of the daytime. Confidence: Low

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night may be very cloudy with some showers popping (30-40% chance). At least as compensation, temperatures remain mild... only sinking down before dawn into the mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: Low-Medium

On Monday, summer-like conditions may amplify a bit from Sunday, with lots of sunshine (use sunscreen!) currently expected that’ll help temperatures bound into the low-to-mid 80s. It may be a bit muggier too. Ooof. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Tuesday, even warmer? Highs potentially headed through the mid-80s. Skies are partly sunny, with blotchy cumulus clouds. By later afternoon a few of those clouds could build into some thundershowers--but chances appear quite low right now (10-20%). Confidence: Low-Medium

By Camden Walker  |  05:00 AM ET, 04/22/2011

 
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