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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 01/27/2012

Forecast: Mild with a.m. showers and p.m. wind, then trending colder into the weekend

9:55 a.m. update: Showers and, yes, some heavy thunderstorms, have mostly exited the region (a few lingering in Southern Md. and near the Bay should depart shortly). Temperatures have likely reached their highs for the day (in the low 60s!) and should fall this afternoon through the 50s. Look out for some gusty winds as well, as described below...

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
The a.m. showers & temps near 60 are tolerable, but 30-35mph gusts w/ falling p.m. temps are excessive.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Morning showers, windy and clearing p.m. 60s by noon, then falling. | Tonight: Breezy, chilly. 28-37. | Tomorrow: Mix of sun and clouds. Breezy. 50s. | Sunday: Partly cloudy. Evening flurry? Upper 40s. Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Grab a raincoat this morning, but one which also breaks the wind for you this afternoon as we dry out. While it won’t be a true wind chill, temperatures will be falling through the 50s, as winds really gust. Breezes slowly diminish into tomorrow, when we can still expect somewhat mild temperatures. It isn’t until Sunday when January returns with some 40s. Other than today’s rain and perhaps a flake or two on Sunday, we appear to be entering a pretty dry period. Want warmth back? Just hang on for the 50s to return as we get into the work week.

Snow Potential Index: 1 (→) - Hmm… a flake -- ok, maybe two -- on Sunday? (Insert continued disappointment ->here<-).
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Friday): With over a 90% chance of showers during the morning, keep an umbrella nearby. The ending time for this band of showers should be 9am to noon or so, progressing from west to east. High temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s should peak in the morning, then fall slowly back toward the low 50s by dinnertime. Skies will slowly clear as winds shift to the northwest during the afternoon. Gusts could approach 35 mph, but generally blow from 15-20 mph. Rainfall probably ranges from 0.3-0.6” total. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: It remains very breezy, at least until about midnight or so, out of the northwest at 10-20 mph. Skies may actually have some breaks in them for a while, but could cloud up again during the wee hours of the morning. Be sure to bundle up because of the wind chill and then, overall, pretty chilly-feeling temperatures before sunrise in the range of upper-20s to mid-30s (downtown). Confidence: Medium

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the beginning of next week...

Tomorrow (Saturday): We slowly but surely break into some more steady sunshine as the day wears on. Winds shift to blow from a warmer direction (southwest), but 10-15 mph breezes will be stiff enough to perhaps preclude “warmth” from being felt. Highs look ok on the thermometer, at least, in the low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: There may be a few clouds around, but at least no precipitation to worry about. Skies eventually clear during the late night as a strong cold front comes through and changes our air mass. Lows should end up in the 30-35 degree range. But, boy, will it make itself announced with northwest winds again kicking up in the 10-15 mph range. Confidence: Medium

Sunday: This one should actually feel like January average temperatures, with highs in the 40s. Clouds may battle the sun for much of the day, but it looks like we only have about a 10-20% chance of a few snowflakes here and there during the evening. Notice temperatures will prevent accumulation, as if we’d get enough snow for that anyway -- sorry snow fans. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night: Skies clear off and allow the atmosphere to really radiate a lot of its heat content back away from the surface. Overnight lows get chilly in the mid-to-upper 20s! Confidence: Medium

Monday may look a bit deceiving with generally sunny and blue skies, but temperatures may stay muted around 40 degrees, perhaps lower 40s in the typical milder spots. This air mass remains over us, but should modify quickly! Confidence: Medium

Tuesday gets a full notch milder (by perhaps 10 degrees) as the core of the cold air moves offshore. Highs could breach the 50 degree mark, under sunny skies, maybe lower 50s are within reach. We’ll keep an eye on these temperature trends for next week! Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 01/27/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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