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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 09/10/2011

Forecast: More sun and less drippy, but maybe not rain free until Tuesday

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10:45 a.m. update: Looks like we at least eke out a dry morning through much of the day at this rate. Clouds should continue to increase many spots during the afternoon, but the rain risk remains relatively low even later. Best odds of showers may end up north of the area, though by late afternoon or evening a few may dot the entire area still. I’ve lowered the rain risk from 30-40% to 20-30%.

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
The weekend is here, and so is more of that superb sunshine. But we can't seem to kick that rain risk.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Patchy a.m. fog. Variably cloudy, shower/t’shower possible. Near 80 to mid-80s. | Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy. Near 60 to upper 60s. | Tomorrow: Variably cloudy. Afternoon showers and t’showers possible. Near 80 to mid-80s. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Yesterday some weird things happened. It rained less than an inch and the sun came out to blind us. Today should feel much more like yesterday than earlier in the week. I can’t really promise plentiful sun tanning opportunities, as both clouds and a risk of showers remain. But, overall, we’re continuing to try to wander toward fully drier times ahead. Thinking of typical September weather (blue skies and cooling temperatures) around here, a little of that can’t come too fast.


Clouds: Latest mid-Atlantic infrared satellite shows movement of clouds over past two hours. Refresh page to update. See more maps on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): There could be some dense fog around early, particularly before sunrise. Thank abundant low-level moisture for any of that. It would seem the best odds for the most sun comes during the midday but that could still prove partly cloudy and dotted with showers. With any luck we’ll keep the sun around through the afternoon, but the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee are still spinning to the west and threatening to send some shower and t’shower causing disturbances our way. Rain could come at any time (20-30% chance), but the afternoon or evening appears favored. Highs reach near 80 to the mid-80s. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: The risk of showers or t’showers is around during the evening but wanes overnight. Dew points will have fallen a bit, down well into the 60s, but some persistent cloud cover helps keep temperatures from falling too fast. Lows are maybe near 60 in the coolest spots to the mid-or-upper 60s downtown. With winds nearing calm for a time, we’ll again need to watch out for the potential of patchy fog, especially in places which saw copious rain this week. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through the beginning of next week...

Tomorrow (Sunday): The remnants of Lee finally start to wash out and become part of the flow. This means the upper-low pressure system moves toward us and the odds of rain stick around or even creep up a bit. Again we should see some sunshine, maybe even periods of solid sunshine. But as the day wears on the odds of showers and t’showers build. Activity may end up more widespread than Saturday but should want to favor the late day even more. Highs are also similar, near-80 to the mid-80s. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Showers or t’showers should head east going into the night, leaving us partly to mostly cloudy afterwards. Lows reach the low-60s in the suburbs to the mid-or-upper 60s downtown. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

On Monday this system is finally done for, but first it has to drift through the area. The upper-level energy associated with the storm is much weaker by this point, but still enough to bubble up some late-day (hopefully isolated to widely scattered) showers. Periods of sun will remind us it is fighting for victory at least. Temperatures? I bet you can guess. Near 80 to mid-80s. Confidence: Medium

With the pattern unclogged for the time being we see at least one bright sunshiny day on Tuesday. Highs should head for the low-to-mid 80s. I might need to coax Camden to post some sunscreen reminders in the comments below. There’s gotta still be some UV this time of year, right? By late week some cool air may even be inbound... almost fall, by all accounts. Confidence: Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 09/10/2011

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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