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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 04/07/2012

Forecast: One sweet holiday weekend

* Red flag warning through 8 p.m. (map)*
* Freeze warning 2-9 a.m. Sunday for Frederick and Carroll counties*
* Fire weather watch Sunday a.m. through evening *

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Lots of sun, breezy. 62-67. | Tonight: Mostly clear. Low 30s to low 40s. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny, breezy. 66-71. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

TODAY'S DAILY DIGIT

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10


About as good as a springtime day gets. Dry winds bring increased fire risk though. Plus that pollen. Get the Digit on Twitter | Discuss on Facebook

FORECAST IN DETAIL


First the upside: This is about as nice a holiday weekend as one could ask for. Tons of sun and increasingly mild temperatures. Yet, we could use some rain. We’re now about 4” below average on the year. Given the winds expected today, conditions will be ripe for fires across the area, and perhaps we’ll deal with that again tomorrow. The downside of too much sunshine?

Today (Saturday): We’re still socked in with northwest flow at all levels and that promotes rather pleasant conditions and lots of that pretty blue sky. Winds remain rather gusty, particularly during the heating of the day, as low pressure crawls along to our northeast and keeps a pressure gradient across the region. But, with highs in the low-and-mid 60s most spots, those winds at 10-15 mph are not a huge issue for most, except when a cloud of pollen blows into your face.

It could end up at Nice Day criteria, but it’s too close to call for everyone on temps. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Winds slacken with the sunset and temperatures quickly fall off once again. It might not be quite as cold as last night was, but what we lack in fresh air mass we could make up in lighter winds. Either way, the coldest locations may near freezing while downtown is more likely to make it to the + side of 40. Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast into next week...

Tomorrow (Sunday): Winds become more westerly, and that should push temperatures closer to 70 for highs. Much of the day is sun filled, but increasing clouds may begin to pass overhead by afternoon. It’s breezy though, with the gustiest period most likely happening during the afternoon. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy skies dominate, and we’re still in a milder regime. That means any freeze concerns are alleviated as lows range from near 40 to the mid-40s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Clouds are more plentiful by Monday, but we may eke out another mild one before cooler air begins filtering back in from the north. There could be a few showers around at times, with afternoon seeming favored, but there’s no major mechanism for them to be widespread, so it’s not likely to help our dry conditions much. Highs reach the mid-60s to near 70. Confidence: Medium

Cooler air sinks in from the north for Tuesday, and it may try to stick around much of the week. Alas, we’re getting deeper into April, and cool days are actually quite pleasant if the wind is tolerable. Plus it keeps a lot of those flowers going longer. Highs should mainly be in the upper 50s to near 60 under partly cloudy skies. Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 04/07/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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