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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 03/13/2012

Forecast: Partly sunny with 70s today; warm week continues

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Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Warmer than yesterday, but some chance morning showers and clouds slightly dent an otherwise excellent, jacket-free afternoon.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Early AM shower risk. Isolated PM storm. Warm. 75-79. | Tonight: Clearing. 47-54. | Tomorrow: Sunny. 74-78. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Wow, what fantastic, warm early-season weather! Over the next number of days, we have the opportunity to hit our first 80-degree reading of the year. It won’t be the earliest on record. That distinction belongs to 1930 way back on February 25th. But it will certainly be the earliest in quite some time. I’m leaning towards Thursday as the likely candidate.

Otherwise, expect lots of 70s for highs over the next several days. While clouds and widely scattered showers complicate today a bit, tomorrow and Thursday look excellent. Friday and the weekend keep the big warm pattern going, but we could get some complications in the form of clouds and isolated showers.

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map. See interactive map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): Showers this morning should mainly be before 8am, and there is just a 30% chance of you seeing one too. Otherwise, the day is partly sunny and as a frontal system works through the area, we have another 20% chance of a mid- or late afternoon isolated thunderstorm. If you encounter one, it could have gusty winds or small hail. Otherwise, the other story is more warmth! Highs should rocket into the mid-to-upper 70s. And some breaks in the cloud cover along with mostly winds from the west could push a spot or two toward that 80-degree mark. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Clearing overnight and cool with lows in the mid-to-upper 40s in the suburbs to low-to-mid 50s in the city. Breezes from the west and northwest at around 5 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): Splendid weather prevails with serious sunshine and temperatures soaring up into the 70s again. The air mass is drier with lower dew points. But nearly full sunshine should make up for that. Winds at 5-10mph from the northwest. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: A pleasant night with clear skies, light winds, and temperatures only dipping to the upper 40s in the suburbs to the middle 50s in the city. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday could be the big day where we see widespread exceedance of the 80-degree mark. Look for upper 70s to low 80s in most areas. I’m seeing significant sunshine, winds from the south and southwest, and warmer temperatures (and dew points) compared to Wednesday. Thursday night sees clouds increase with lows in the low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

Friday starts some degree of complication as a disturbance to the west offers more clouds and maybe some mainly afternoon showers (40% chance). We should still see the effects of the warm air mass though with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. If the disturbance is weaker and we get a few more breaks of sunshine, then some areas could push into the middle 70s. Friday night is partly cloudy with a 30% chance of more showers and lows in the low-to-mid 50s again. Confidence: Low-Medium

The St. Patrick’s Day Weekend is a bit trickier unfortunately as the disturbance to our south and west offers more clouds and some shower chances- especially on Saturday. High pressure over New England may also provide a slightly cooler flow from the northeast. I think the shower chances stay on the low and light side (40% Saturday and just 20% on Sunday). Sky conditions are partly cloudy on Saturday with partly to maybe mostly sunny by Sunday. Temperatures could more reasonably range from the upper 60s to low 70s. Confidence: Low

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 03/13/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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