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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 02/13/2012

Forecast: Seasonable but changeable weather early this week, not as cold

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
A very cold start, but somewhat warmer and much less windy than Sunday.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly sunny. 40-45. | Tonight: Increasing clouds. Upper 20s to low 30s. | Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy, small chance of AM rain/snow showers. Mid-40s. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

In terms of a bitter combination of wind and cold, winter may have reached its bottom Sunday morning. To kickoff this week, it’s noticeably less cold than it just was, and we slowly trend milder during the work week. The transition is a little choppy, with opportunities for rain and some wet snow flakes Tuesday and mainly rain Thursday.

Snow Potential Index: 2 (→) - Maybe a few lazy flakes Tuesday morning, mainly N & W of D.C.
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Monday): It’s quite the cold start. Some of the north and west suburbs awake to teens, with low 20s downtown. But then sunshine goes to work, helping temperatures above 40 during the afternoon. Not only are highs from 40-45 10 degrees warmer than yesterday, but winds are also less intense (out of the west at around 10 mph). So it feels not nearly as cold. Confidence: High

Tonight: Clouds increase overnight as a weak disturbance approaches from the west. While most spots dip below freezing, it’s not as cold as the previous two nights, with lows from the upper 20s to low 30s.. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading to find out when winter finally shows...

Tomorrow (Tuesday): There’s a 20-30% chance of light snow early in the morning, which may mix with or change to rain before tapering off. Maybe a few spots, mainly west and northwest of the District (which have the highest chance of precipitation) get a dusting. During the afternoon, temperatures rise well into the 40s while any precipitation probably shuts off. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Skies are mostly cloudy as another weak disturbance jogs through the region. A few rain showers, possibly mixed with wet snow flakes (mainly north and west) may develop late at night (no accumulation expected). Lows range from 33-37. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Wednesday may dawn with a few clouds, but it becomes mostly sunny and mild. Highs reach the low 50s. Increasing clouds again Wednesday night with lows 35-40 (suburbs-city). Confidence: Medium-High

Rain showers are likely Thursday, especially in the afternoon. It’s not an all-day rain and winds from the south keep it on the mild side. Highs reach around 50. Any showers end Thursday night as it turns breezy. Lows range in the 30s. Confidence:Medium

Variably cloudy and breezy Friday with high temperature probably right around normal in the mid-to maybe upper 40s. Partly cloudy and cold Friday night, with lows from the mid-20s in the colder sububs to low 30s downtown. Confidence: Medium

The weekend appears uneventful at this point with dry weather, seasonably cool highs temps in the 40s and overnight lows in the mid-20s to low 30s. However, there’s a slight chance a storm develops to the south. So we’ll keep you posted if that looks like it could be a real threat. Confidence:Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 02/13/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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