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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 02/18/2012

Forecast: Springlike today, but will snow still threaten tomorrow?

10:30 a.m. update: Newer models, like the recently run NAM, have shifted back to the north a bit. This is not totally unexpected as we’ve been right on the edge of this system for a while now, and that’s not a safe place to be if you like an easy forecast. Precipitation totals are still rather light, though heavier amounts are not too far south. For now there are not any major shifts in our thinking, though it’s possible that we’ll need to raise potential (probably slightly) of our first forecast map posted last night. We’ll have more through the day.

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
With a start to the weekend like this, you may have a hard time even thinking about that "S" word.
 
Get the 'Digit' on Twitter
EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly to partly sunny. Mid-50s to near 60. | Tonight: Increasing clouds. 33-37 | Tomorrow: Chance of snow or rain/snow mix, primarily p.m. Near 40 . | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

If you like snow, you probably were not a fan of the deflating news coming across the wire yesterday. But, with the way things have been this winter, it probably is not a total shock that snow can be hard to come by around here. We’re not “out of the game” just yet, though the odds for snowfall of note have dwindled. We’ve still got to watch the evolution of the storm nonetheless, as small changes can bring varied results, and we’re livin’ on the edge.

Snow Potential Index: 5 (↓) - Sunday snow risk rather pedestrian. Snow lovers disappointment in winter 11-12 continues?
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Saturday): When you think of snowstorm weather, it’s certainly not what we get today. There’s sunshine on tap and pretty mild temperatures as well! A south and southwest wind helps pump highs up to the mid-50s or even near 60 in spots. Clouds may pass here and there, though hopefully they’re mainly high level. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: It’s probably more clear than cloudy, at least through midnight, but clouds will want to increase particularly heading into dawn. Lows dip perhaps to near freezing in the cold spots to the upper 30s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the beginning of next week...


Sunday accumulation potential. Map released at 11:00 p.m. 2/17.
Tomorrow (Sunday): The storm seems to have slowed a bit, so we might even see some sunshine on Sunday. Clouds do generally fill the sky though, especially south of town, as precipitation skirts the region. Right now, the dividing line between nothing and little is more or less overhead. It’s hard to say if it will stay there, but our downside is little or no precipitation, with better odds over southern parts of the area. The upside should be a general light snow or rain and snow mix moving through Sunday afternoon and into Sunday night. Highs range from near 40 with more clouds and precipitation to the mid-40s with less. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: With the bulk of the meaningful precipitation wanting to remain to our south, any potential light snow that works its way up here should depart during the first part of the night. It’s also possible we don’t end up with anything at all. But if we do, total accumulation should be light. Temperatures eventually dip to lows in the low-to-mid 30s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

On Presidents Day Monday we tend to clear out and a moderating trend is back on. This is one of those weather days without much to talk about, so this sentence is not even totally necessary! Enjoy the highs in the mid-40s to near 50 though, as it might soon be time to go into spring mode even if we never left fall mode. Confidence: Medium-High

Following a calm Monday night with temperatures in the low-and-mid 30s, Tuesday continues the trend of solidly boring but also rather delightful weather. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies and temperatures ranging from near 50 to the low 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 02/18/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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