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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 05/04/2012

Forecast: Storms possible today, and a pleasant weekend ahead

1:30 p.m. update: The first batch of storms has cleared the area. One of the embedded cells turned severe briefly in eastern Prince George’s and southern Anne Arundel county. We now have a break for a few hours before the likelihood of a more widespread group of storms later this afternoon into the evening. Follow the Tweets below for the latest updates.

Noon update: An area of showers and storms has moved through Fairfax and Prince William county and now into the District, southern Prince George’ county, and northern Charles county. Storms are not severe, but contain some lightning , downpours and gusty winds. Follow the Tweets below for the latest updates.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Muggy, increasing storm chances. 81-89. | Tonight: Showers/storms wane, clearing. 61-68. | Tomorrow: Variably sunny. Comfortable. 79-85. | Sunday: Mostly sunny. Pretty awesome! 73-80. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

TODAY'S DAILY DIGIT

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10


A bit too much heat and mugginess for me. Not to mention some strong/severe storms possible late day. Get the Digit on Twitter | Discuss on Facebook

FORECAST IN DETAIL


After we struggle with today’s clouds, mugginess, and increased storm chances, we actually may have a more pleasant weekend ahead. Don’t get me wrong, a few clouds and some showers could pop-up here and there, yet warm temperatures remain — along with less muggy-feeling conditions. That’s when we may be fairly cloudy with increased shower chances again. Enjoy prime days Saturday through Monday, outdoors (with sunscreen), such as the Montpelier Wine Festival!

Today (Friday): Sunshine may struggle, but should have its brightest time during the midday hours. Temperatures make it pretty far up there in the 81-89 range (mountains to Tidewater), but you may most notice the mugginess to the air. Thundershowers have the potential to dampen more of the metro area today, along with potential to be strong to severe. Temperatures peak before showers hit the area, with rain chances at 20% before 3pm, then increasing to likely at times late afternoon into evening. If you hear thunder please take shelter because a few storms could have very windy conditions or small hail. Confidence: Low-Medium



What’s This?




Tonight: Through perhaps midnight, clouds, showers, a few storms (before 10pm), could linger. Luckily, as the evening wears on, the coverage and intensity of thundershowers should diminish. Chances start at perhaps 50% after dinnertime and dropping toward 10% by sunrise—when temperatures barely “cool” into the 60s (downtown being nearest 70). Confidence: Medium

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Saturday): It should be decently sunny overall, with warmth continuing south of town into the mid-80s, but DC proper may enjoy hovering around the 80 degree mark. Even if you see some additional clouds bubble-up in the afternoon, our drier and more comfortable air mass should keep shower chances in the 10-15% range. Breezes could be noticeable, but pleasant, throughout the day, out of the cooler northerly direction at 5-15 mph. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Skies should have a mix of clouds with the stars, making the comfortable evening in the 70s a great evening to enjoy a “supermoon”. Low temperatures cool into the mid-50s to lower 60s before sunrise. I am just a bit watchful on slight northeasterly breezes that could usher in some clouds or a weak marine layer of air off of the Bay and ocean overnight. Confidence: Low-Medium

Sunday: This one looks amazing with continued lower dew points -- so it doesn’t feel humid -- combining with excellent mostly sunny conditions. Yes perhaps a few clouds pop up in the afternoon but rain chances are less than 10-20%. Highs still make it into the warm and comfortable mid-to-upper 70s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night: Temperatures slowly fall below 70, ending up in the 50s (upper 50s possible downtown) by sunrise. It should be a more crisp and enjoyable evening that may even stay mostly clear for stargazers. Confidence: Medium

Monday could be another day to savor, even if we have a few more clouds to contend with. Sun should ultimately win out. Light winds make low-to-mid 70s very enjoyable. Showers could pop late in the day, but so far only in the 10-20% chance (very limited) range. Confidence: Medium

Tuesday may struggle to reach the 70 degree mark if clouds & showers (30-40% chance) dominate, as it appears now. But a few breaks in the clouds could boost temperatures a bit more toward the mid-70s. We will watch it for you! Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 05/04/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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