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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 05/24/2011

Forecast: Sultry, with shower/storm threats

Some t’storms may be severe today

8:50 a.m. update: Batch of mainly light showers moving through now should move off east of the metro area by around 10 a.m. More chances for showers/storms mid-afternoon into evening.

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Sunshine's partially spoiled by afternoon showers/potentially severe storms. Warm and muggy here to stay?
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Partly sunny, afternoon showers and storms. Mid-to-upper 80s. | Tonight: Evening shower/storm risk, clearing. Mid-60s.| Tomorrow: Partly sunny, isolated p.m. storms? Mid-80s to near 90. | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

You like the weather we had yesterday? Hope so... more of the same, with just some minor day-to-day shifts day, is coming up. Today, we’re again facing at least a slight risk of severe weather – though probably also more widespread activity than yesterday – as a weak cold front approaches and stalls out in the area. This front should act as a conduit for more shower and storm chances throughout the week and maybe even into the weekend. Temperatures remain pretty toasty, too.


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): It’s another toasty one as we bask in warm air to the south of a cold front slowly sagging toward us. It probably doesn’t even get here, but close enough to try to fire up some storms. It looks like activity could be a bit more widespread today, with about a 50-60% chance of showers or storms, as a piece of upper-level energy swings through. Some severe weather will be possible as well, with isolated high wind and hail being the main threats. Highs should reach the mid-80s, maybe a bit warmer, if there’s enough sun. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Showers and storms may linger into the evening if they don’t evacuate prior to that time. Otherwise, it’s clearing skies as we lose the daytime heating which caused the showers and storms to bubble up. We’re still in a soupy air mass, so lows are not likely to go below the mid-60s. Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Wednesday): It’s partly-to-mostly sunny with warm temperatures once again. As a strong storm continuing to plow through the center of the country, the jet stream flow should temporarily become a little less conducive to showers and storms locally, so that risk may drop to isolated (20%) for at least a day. But, with highs in the mid-80s to near 90, it’s not hard to imagine a thunderstorm roaming the region. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: We should see partly-to-mostly cloudy skies and a slight risk (about 20-30%) of showers and storms encroaching from the west or southwest. It’s another muggy one, with lows making it to the mid-and-upper 60s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday The low pressure out west gets a bit closer in its path to our northwest, but it also weakens a bit. The main story is continued warmth and humidity, but there’s also that pesky (but often more threatening than actual) threat of later-day showers and storms. Right now it’s hard to go much above 30% there. Highs should reach the mid-and-upper 80s. Confidence: Medium

On Friday, we close the work week in similar fashion to the way we began it. Warm, muggy, with a chance of storms. This might be another day for potential severe weather, as a weak cold front bumps into this steamy air mass while the storm to our west passes into Canada. Highs should shoot for the mid-80s to near 90. Confidence: Medium

The Memorial Day weekend is looking fairly decent, especially on Saturday when we may get a temporary reprieve from the humidity. Temperatures may not get too far above 80 (low, maybe mid?) Saturday, probably rising further into the 80s Sunday as high pressure aloft tries to build in. Monday may be similar to Sunday or trending hotter. On the periphery of the upper-high, we may see passing showers or storms, though it probably is dry most of the time. Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 05/24/2011

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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