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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 02/10/2012

Forecast: Sunny and mild before the coming storm

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Sunny and warmer early before clouds intrude. It's a good one. And a possible snow event to track.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Increasing clouds, mild. Near 50 to low 50s. | Tonight: Mostly cloudy, rain/snow mix. 30s. | Tomorrow: Rain/snow showers. Upper 30s to near 40, but dropping. | Sunday: Mostly sunny, breezy. Near 30 to mid-30s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Our return to a pleasantly mild winter concludes today but we can probably crack 50 once again with some early sun. On deck though, another light wintry mix event is possible tonight and tomorrow with temperature issues once again throwing doubt into the equation. Much like this past Wednesday’s storm, we’re cold enough aloft, but just a tad warm at the surface. However, the incoming cold is much stronger this time and could be enough to get that changeover across the area before precipitation chances depart.

Snow Potential Index: 5 (↑) - Yet another "iffy" storm with temp issues, but enough to go 50/50.
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Friday): The calm before the storm, so to speak. We’re in for a bit of a tranquil, warmer day. Just nice enough so that we can really enjoy our Friday. Mostly sunny skies and highs near 50 or into the low 50s make for a fine way to close out another week. Late in the day though, we may find ourselves seeing a few more clouds as our next winter “storm” begins to approach. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Our next precipitation maker arrives and looks to be shaping up just like the last one with our region right on the edge of rain/snow uncertainty. Lucky us! Precipitation begins to fall late night Friday (likely as rain in the city, but maybe as snow north and west) and continues off and on through the night, turning to a mix or light snow everywhere as temperatures continue to fall. Precipitation should be light enough that even with a change to snow, little (north and west) to no (south and east) accumulation is expected by morning. Overnight lows dip to the low 30s in the suburbs and mid-or-upper 30s downtown. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast through midweek...

Tomorrow (Saturday): We’ll be watching a developing storm on the coast, but it’s likely to get pushed away by an Arctic front moving through. However, it could temporarily enhance precipitation early in the morning. We’ll see some rain and/or snow for sure, but probably not a lot of either once again. As the day wears on, colder air will filter in pretty efficiently, and any leftover rain showers should change to snow showers by afternoon and evening — there could even be a period of decent activity late that causes light accumulation.

Daytime highs could come a bit earlier than usual and top out near 40 degrees before northwest winds crank up and bring in 30s by later in the day. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Forgot what winter was like? Here’s a reminder. After the second pulse of energy and its associated snow showers move through, cold and dry air in the system’s wake leads to clearing skies and blustery conditions. Gusty northwest winds continue to blow and temperatures drop into the upper teens and lower 20s. Isolated flurries could pop over the mountains as well. With wind chills well into the teens or even single digits at times, definitely dress right when heading out for the night. Confidence: Medium-High

Sunday: This could be one of the few days we’ve had this winter with sub-freezing highs across parts of the area. Expect partly-to-mostly sunny skies with an isolated flurry or two, and gusty winds continuing to add to the biting cold. Daytime highs only reach the low-to-mid 30s.

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night: It’s not quite as breeze or as bitingly cold, but its still winter. Skies are mostly clear, with lows in the low-to-mid 20s. Confidence: Medium-High

A new system of high pressure builds in across the southeast by Monday, and for us that means another warm up. Winds turn around from the south and with plenty of sun; our temperatures get a bit of a boost back to normal. Daytime highs reach the mid 40s. Confidence: Medium

A few more clouds and a few more degrees on the thermometer for Tuesday. Works for me! Temperatures should head to the upper 40s this time, maybe even nudging 50 again in a few spots.. Confidence: Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 02/10/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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