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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 06/01/2012

Forecast: Unsettled with possibly dangerous storms later today

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Morning storms? Turns muggier, sunnier. Strong/severe p.m. storms likely. 80-85. | Tonight: Stormy, then clearing late. Mid-50s to low 60s. | Tomorrow: Very bright, super pleasant. Mid-to-upper 70s. | Sunday: Mostly sunny. Afternoon shower threat. Mid-to-upper 70s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

TODAY'S DAILY DIGIT

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10


Cautiously rating in the middle, with unsettled weather and a growing p.m. severe threat. Get the Digit on Twitter | Discuss on Facebook

FORECAST IN DETAIL


Stay alert today for potentially a few batches of storms, possibly severe this evening and overnight. Some of the storms late today look like they’ll be severe, and that can include damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps even tornadoes. Once we get this cold front through the region, we have a serene Saturday and salvageable Sunday. Next week stays fairly seasonable in the mid-70s to low 80s, though perhaps not completely dry.

Today (Friday): Very cloudy for much of the day, even morning thundershowers (15-25% chance) could threaten before 11 a.m. as a warm front comes through. Breezes pick up from 15 mph to perhaps some gusts around 25 mph out of the southeast. Sunshine could return for short intervals, helping to stir up and destabilize the muggier, juicier atmosphere and get our highs into the 80-85 degree range. Along the greater I-81 corridor, thunderstorms may develop in the mid-to-late afternoon hours (60% chance), a few of which may be severe. Batches of storms may then advance through the area into the evening and nighttime.

These possibly severe storms could last until midnight or a little later with intense downpours & lightning. Threats include damaging wind gusts, hail, and even a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Please stay alert, informed, on high ground, indoors, and never drive through water covering a road. Confidence: Medium








What is the Storm Threat Level?

Tonight: As mentioned above, we stay potentially drenched and on alert through about midnight or so as storms continue (80-90% chance). Low temperatures should make it into the lower 60s (downtown) and perhaps mid-50s in cooler spots eventually, but somewhat gusty winds don’t shift around to the cooler, drier (northwesterly) direction until after 2 a.m. or so. Please plan carefully if going out and drive safely. Some spots could get over an inch of rain very quickly. . Confidence: Low-Medium

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Saturday): It may start off somewhat “refreshing” if spots do dip down into the 50s and winds remain brisk, out of the west, at 10-20 mph. Still, it should quickly warm into the mid-to-upper 70s without that sticky, humid feeling. The afternoon looks delightful and a great one for heading outdoors (with a ton of sunscreen please). Blue skies have few clouds and thus the highest sun of the year won’t be filtered or hindered. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Clouds may try to show up, but not too many. Evening temperatures around 70 should fall through the 60s until, before sunrise, we end up in the 50s, region-wide. Low 50s are possible in the Blue Ridge, with mid-to-upper 50s downtown and near warmer bodies of water (like the bay). Windows open, perhaps? Winds out of the west should be fairly light at 5-10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Sunday: This should be a fairly sunny day, but clouds could slowly increase as brief showers or thundershowers threaten (30-40% chance) by late afternoon. The most enjoyable aspect, despite the light shower threat, is incredible high temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday night: Skies should slowly clear so that you can get a peek at the full moon. Low temperatures downtown get to a comfortable 60 degrees or so, with enjoyably cooler readings (upper 50s) outside the Beltway that may even entice you to open those windows?! Confidence: Low-Medium

Monday should prove fairly calm and an easy commuting day as temperatures warm into the upper 70s to low 80s. Skies should be partly to mostly sunny with no real concern about any rain! Confidence: Medium

Tuesday looks somewhat uncertain with regards to amount of clouds and how great a chance of rain we face. At least any rain shouldn’t be thundery or contain heavy rain—as it appears now. There is a chance for some sunshine, but I lean toward a cloudier and somewhat more showery scenario (40-50% chance) while un-muggy high temperatures, as compensation, still get into the mid-to-upper 70s. Confidence: Low

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 06/01/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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