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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 02/01/2012

Forecast: Warm-weather repeat today. Anything wintry for weekend?

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
We're headed to 60+ again despite more clouds and maybe a shower. Lovin' these jacket-free afternoons.
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly to partly cloudy; a.m. shower? Mid-60s. | Tonight: 40% chance of showers late. 40s. | Tomorrow: 50-60% chance of a.m. showers. Increasing p.m. sun. Near 50 to mid-50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Don’t get me wrong, I love myself a good blizzard. But personally I’m psyched for a second straight midwinter day in the 60s. According to the results of our poll yesterday, I’m in the minority, with more people (54%) preferring a crippling snowstorm to mid-60s winter warmth (46%). Then again, the warm-weather lovers might have been too busy enjoying the day to vote? After today, we’re gradually colder into the weekend, and possibly cold enough for a wintry mix this weekend if the right circumstances come together.

Snow Potential Index: 2 (→) - Low to medium chance of weekend wintry mix keeps snowflakes in play, though temps might be too warm for stickage anyway.
 
The SPI is a daily assessment of the potential for accumulating snow for the next week on a 0-10 scale. Get the 'SPI' on Twitter
 

Today (Wednesday): This is some sweet winter warmth. Most of us start the morning in the 40s - not far from our average daytime highs this time of year. Then morning clouds and maybe a shower give way to partial afternoon sun, but still with a chance of a sprinkle. Mild breezes from the west/southwest, around 15 mph at times, boost highs back to the mid-60s. Note, the record highs for today (Feb. 1) are in the mid-to-upper 70s (77 at National, 75 at Dulles & BWI) and probably not in jeopardy. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Can’t rule out an evening sprinkle but otherwise it’s a nice evening to be out with temperatures falling through the 50s. Overnight, we pick up a 40% chance of showers as lows retreat to the 40s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Confidence: Medium

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Groundhog Day): A warm front just to our south teams up with upper-level energy arriving from the west to give us a 50-60% chance of morning showers with partly to mostly cloudy skies overhead. Rain chances decrease for the afternoon with increasing sun and highs from near 50 to the mid-50s. Confidence: Low-Medium

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear skies and light breezes from the northwest mean a cooler night than the previous couple, but not terribly cold. Lows range through the 30s. Confidence: High

A LOOK AHEAD

High pressure in control means fair weather stays with us for Friday, with mostly sunny skies helping highs to near 50. Some increasing clouds are possible Friday night with lows in the 30s continuing their above-average run. Confidence: Medium-High

The weekend remains something of a wildcard. Low pressure approaching from the west could give us a period of rain or wintry mix at some point between, let’s say, midday Saturday and midday Sunday. Some model data, however, points to high pressure holding its ground and keeping us dry. Honestly it’s a toss-up right now, so check back for updates. Saturday and Sunday highs should be in the 40s to near 50, with Saturday night lows probably no lower than the low-to-mid 30s. Confidence: Low

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 02/01/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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