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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 05/03/2012

Forecast: Warmer days ahead, some limited thundershower chances

9:30 a.m. update: We’ve been socked in with low clouds and even a little drizzle, holding back the morning sunshine we anticipated and putting a brake on temperatures. As a warm front lifts north and the day wears on, the sun should break through, warming the region up from southwest to northeast into the 70s (NE) and 80s (SW). Like yesterday, there will be a wide range in high temperatures.

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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mixed sun and clouds, slight chance of thundershowers. 82-86. | Tonight: Isolated t’shower early. 62-66. | Tomorrow: Partly sunny, late day showers and storms. 83-87. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

TODAY'S DAILY DIGIT

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10


Pleasantly warm but for a brief foray into sticky tropical climes in the afternoon along with outside t’shower risk.. Get the Digit on Twitter| Discuss on Facebook

FORECAST IN DETAIL


Yesterday’s chilly maritime airmass should have retreated, so let summer roll on in. I’m taking my chances forecasting a warm-up back into the 80s. A smattering of thundershowers is possible today and tomorrow but general rains are a no-go. With a little luck we push the showers south of the area for the weekend, but in return get liberally pollenated.


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Thursday): Setting aside the slightest chance of early a.m. showers (20% chance), the day should start out with a good deal of sunshine. But as temperatures surge upward through the morning, clouds bubble up. Some of the more energetic ones should produce a few shower bursts and even a clap of thunder in about a third of the area during the afternoon. Highs should reach the low-to-mid 80s as long as breezes from the east remain as light as expected. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Showers chances (20%) fade out of the picture by sunset. The warmth hangs in with 70s through the evening. Lows are not much worse with low-to-mid 60s on tap. Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Friday): Sun again holds sway in the morning but falters by afternoon as the airmass is humid. My guess is that some moisture from the Gulf of Mexico reaches the area upping thundershower coverage to nearly half of the region by late afternoon. Highs should still make the low-to-mid 80s before getting knocked down by the showers. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: The showers could linger a little longer into the evening but with diminished intensity (20% coverage). Calm winds and evening readings in the 70s are mighty comfy. Lows range from lower 60s northwest of town to upper 60s downtown. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Saturday should be a fine day to be out and about as highs again make a run for the low-to-mid 80s. Clouds are sparse in the morning and numerous in the afternoon with light breezes from the north. There is still a 30% chance for afternoon showers and storms but mainly south of the city. Skies should clear quickly in the evening with 70s making it a great time to head out and enjoy a “supermoon”. Because it is at one of its closest approaches to the earth the full moon will appear 14% bigger than normal! Lows fall to the upper 50s to lower 60s. Confidence: Medium

Sunday has plenty going for it. Less humidity and not as much heat and the sunshine hangs in longer. A few clouds are still likely to pop up in the afternoon but rain chances are less than 20%. Highs are only in the mid-to-upper 70s. Another beauty of an evening to get out and enjoy the stars with readings in the upper 60s to lower 70s. The drier airmass allows lows to fall to the 50s. Confidence: Medium

Monday is another beauty with partly sunny skies, light easterly winds and highs in the low-to-mid 70s. Shower chances are only 30%. Confidence: Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 05/03/2012

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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