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Posted at 05:00 AM ET, 04/04/2011

Forecast: Warm spike, then a brief cold plunge

Today's Daily Digit
 
A somewhat subjective rating of the
day's weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

 
Where was this warmth the last two weeks? And why on a Monday of all days? I should stop complaining...
 
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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. 75-80. | Tonight: Showers and storms late at night. 55-62. | Tomorrow: AM rain, windy, much cooler. 50s. | A Look Ahead | Get Express Forecast by E-mail

FORECAST IN DETAIL

For weeks, many have awaited a day like today with sunshine and temperatures near 80. But a strong cold front punches through the region late tonight and early Tuesday with a round of gusty storms, smacking us back down to the blustery 50s. But from Wednesday through the weekend, temps should be at or above average, sure to put a smile on the face of warm weather fans...

Today (Monday): What a beautiful day! A push of tropical air from the south and a fair amount of sunshine send the mercury surging up to near 80. The downside: a breeze from the south at 10-20 mph, gusting over 25 mph at times, filling the air with pollen whose count is in the high range for trees. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: No troubles for the commute home as showers and thunderstorms hold off until much later. It’s a balmy evening with temps only slowly falling back into the 60s. Temperatures will be hard pressed to reach the 50s until the cold front pushes through and the rain commences. For the western suburbs, that’s likely to be pre-dawn but probably not until daylight Tuesday for around the beltway and points east. So overnight lows range from the mid-50s in the western suburbs to the low 60s in the eastern suburbs. Chance of rain - in the form of showers and thunderstorms - is 70-80% west of I-95 (after 3 a.m.), and 50-60% east of I-95 (toward sunrise). Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend...

Tomorrow (Tuesday): Showers and thunderstorms are likely for the a.m. commute - some of which may produce heavy rain and strong gusty winds. Rainfall potentiall is generally around 0.5-0.75” but locally higher (and lower) amounts are possible. Between 8 and 11 a.m., this activity ends from west to east. Temperatures remain steady or fall behind the cold front and storms, holding in the 50s for the balance of the afternoon. Skies do partially clear, but winds from the northwest blow from 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph or so.. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Skies are mostly clear, but we’re left with a lingering breeze from the west at 10-15 mph, that slackens to 5-10 mph by dawn. Lows from the low 30s in the colder suburbs to the upper 30s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Wednesday and Thursday both hold potential to be nice early April days but clouds/showers aren’t far away. Wednesday is probably partly sunny with highs in the low 60s (close to average). Can’t entirely rule out a shower (20-30% chance) late Wednesday or Wednesday night due to the proximity of a stalled out front just to our north. Otherwise, Wednesday night it’s partly cloudy with lows in the 40s. On Thursday, temperature rebound to near 70 in the afternoon under partly sunny skies. Increasing clouds and mild Thursday night with a 30% chance of showers late. Lows range from the 40s to near 50. Confidence: Medium

Friday looks to be variably cloudy with a 30-40% chance of showers due to a wave of low pressure that may just skirt us as it passes to the north. Temps remain mild with highs 65-70. Partly cloudy Friday night with lows in the 40s. Confidence:Low-Medium

Weekend weather should be mild, but given the continued proximity of a stalled out front, we may have to contend with a few periodic (not all-day) rain showers. We should remain on the warm side of the front, resulting in forecast highs near 70 or even into the 70s. Overnight lows are generally in the 40s to near 50. Confidence:Low-Medium

By  |  05:00 AM ET, 04/04/2011

Categories:  Forecasts

 
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