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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, 02/19/2010

Monday storm trending less snowy, more rainy

* Finally, weather takes a weekend off: CWG's Full Forecast *
* Who coined 'Snowmageddon'? | Photos: D.C. makes snow history *

Next Chance of Accumulating Snow: Monday
Probability of Accumulating Snow (1" or more): 35%

The sick-of-snow crowd is probably ready to change the name of this feature to "Snow Hater's Crystal Ball." This time, though, the news is trending in a friendlier direction for those tired of the white stuff.

Computer models have come into pretty good agreement that low pressure moving through the Tennessee Valley will take an inland track west and then northwest of the D.C. area on Monday. That is not a track conducive to much snow here. So, while there's a 50/50 chance the precipitation may begin briefly as snow early Monday, it is likely to change to a wintry mix and eventually rain. In fact, the change to rain could happen rather quickly if the low passes far enough to our west.

Keep reading for more analysis and our latest snow accumulation probabilities...

The initial area of low pressure may spawn a secondary one off the coast of the Carolinas, which could keep precipitation chances going through Monday night and possibly into early Tuesday. But as of now, it doesn't appear the second system would be strong enough to pull enough cold air down from the north to change precipitation back to snow or even a mix.

Still some time for things to change with all this. But here are our latest snow accumulation probabilities:

65%: Less than 1"
20%: 1-3"
10%: 3-6"
5%: 6"+

By Camden Walker and Dan Stillman

The Snow Lover's Crystal Ball appears when the potential exists for accumulating snow beyond 24 to 36 hours.

By  |  11:00 AM ET, 02/19/2010

Categories:  Snow Lover's Crystal Ball

 
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