D.C. area forecast: Fine start to Father’s Day before shower chances return

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the days weather, on a scale of 1 to 10.

7
Definitely a downgrade from yesterday, but warm with a p.m. shower/storm chance is typical fare for Father’s Day.

Express Forecast

Today: Partly to mostly cloudy. 40% chance of p.m. showers/t’storm. Highs: Mid-to-upper 80s.

Tonight: 40% chance of evening showers/t’storm. Lows: Upper 60s to near 70.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny. 20-30% chance of p.m. shower/t’storm. Highs: Upper 80s to near 90.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Hate to be the bearer of bad news. But after two quick days, our mild and dry bliss is on its way out, as a more unsettled weather pattern moves back in.  A weak disturbance brings the chance for some showers and thunderstorms this Father’s Day afternoon with added warmth and humidity.  The forecast is similar for tomorrow but with shower and storm chances a bit lower. Tuesday may present the best chance of an extended period of rain, that is depending on the track of a storm system approaching from the southwest.


Radar & lightning: Latest D.C. area radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Sunday): Yesterday’s mostly sunny skies are replaced by partly to mostly cloudy skies today, and during the afternoon those clouds could bring along some showers and perhaps a thunderstorm. The chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm at any given location is about 40%. The warmth and humidity is far from oppressive, but you’ll notice an increase in both as highs climb to the mid-to-upper 80s, with winds from the southwest increasing to 10-15 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: That 40% chance of showers and a thunderstorm sticks around through evening, followed by partly cloudy skies and lows in the upper 60s to near 70. Winds blow lightly from the west-southwest. Confidence: Medium-High

Is a return to yesterday’s bliss in the cards? Keep reading for the forecast through midweek…

Tomorrow (Monday): Not quite rinse and repeat, but the general pattern remains the same. We’re looking at partly sunny skies and continued warm and somewhat humid as highs reach the upper 80s to near 90, with light winds from the west. We have the risk of a few afternoon showers and a thunderstorm, but chances are a bit lower than today at around 20-30%. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Shower/storm chances generally remain on the low side, around 20-30%, but start to increase toward dawn as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Overnight lows are mild, ranging from the mid-60s to the lower 70s. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Right now we have a decent chance at showers and possibly some thunderstorms for Tuesday, although the exact track of the responsible storm system is still in question. Plenty of clouds hold temperatures in check, with highs probably in the upper 70s to low 80s. Any rain should move out by or during Tuesday night with lows in the low-to-mid 60s. Confidence: Low-Medium

High pressure building in from the Great Lakes yields a mostly sunny Wednesday with drier air. Highs should reach near 80 to the low 80s with a decent breeze from the northwest. Not too bad for mid-June, eh? Confidence: Medium-High

Also on Capital Weather Gang

D.C. area forecast: Super Saturday, slightly less splendid Sunday