D.C. area forecast: Still cooler than normal, but a fine fall weekend

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 1 to 10.

7
Somewhat more pleasant than the last two days but they were probably rated too high anyway!

Express Forecast

Today: Mostly sunny to partly sunny, breezy. Highs: Mid-50s to near 60.

Tonight: Variably cloudy. Lows: Mid-30s to low 40s.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny to mostly sunny. Highs: Upper 50s to near 60.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Temperature Map

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map. See interactive map on our Weather Wall.

Other than temperatures continuing to feel more like we would expect a few weeks from now, this is more or less your typical fall weekend. Cold nights, milder days and sometimes a breeze that reminds you winter is coming. Things remain weather-worry free the next few days, and we should see at least a slow warming trend, perhaps even becoming warmer than normal as we get deeper into the week.

Today (Saturday): Cold start, and slow warming under mostly sunny skies. Sound familiar? A lot like yesterday except a bit warmer, and probably lighter winds. Highs range from the mid-50 to near 60. Winds from the west and northwest are around 10-15 mph at peak, but could be gusty at times midday (hopefully less so than Friday, for leaf peepers like myself). Clouds may increase prior to sunset. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Skies range from mostly to partly clear early to mostly cloudy late. There could even be a passing sprinkle somewhere, but the air seems a little dry for that. Most of the area should get a break from recent overnight freeze concerns as lows reach the mid-30s to low 40s. Some isolated and sheltered valley may still hit freezing, especially well north and west. Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Sunday): Marine marathoners … temperatures should rise through the low-and-mid 40s as the race starts. Everyone else … not many complaints coming up here. We could see a few more clouds than today, but nothing that disturbs the flow of the weekend if you’re outdoors. Afternoon highs are similar to Saturday, mainly in the upper 50s to around 60. Winds blow around 5 to 10 mph from the north. Clouds may decrease, even entirely, before sunset. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: A cool evening and decreasing clouds, if they’re still around at that point. The air mass is slowly moderating, but with less cloud cover than tonight, we should see similar low temperatures ranging mostly from the mid-30s to near 40. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

Surface high pressure builds in more strongly as we head into Monday, and that helps keep the temperatures movin’ on up. Skies should be mostly to partly sunny with temperatures ranging from near 60 to the mid-60s. Monday night lows reach the near 40 to mid-40s range. Confidence: Medium

On Tuesday, the region remains generally under the control of high pressure while a strong storm begins to develop near the Rockies. One kink in the warming scenario may come from too much of an easterly (marine layer) component to the winds. At this point it appears that scenario is less likely than a milder one, so highs rise to the low-and-mid 60s. Confidence: Medium

Also on Capital Weather Gang

PM Update: Freeze warning again tonight; X-class flares hurled from sun