Super Bowl forecast update: A mild winter day with few weather concerns

February 1

Super Bowl Sunday Outlook Final Update — 1 Day to Go

With the big game one day away, we’re pretty sure there won’t be any major weather issues, plus “warm” temps to boot!

A cold front should pass through the area during the afternoon. Rain showers may accompany the front (30% chance of seeing any showers). Daytime highs should make a run at 50 or so. Skies are mostly cloudy, with some longer breaks of sun possible through midday. The Super Bowl itself should be dry, which will mark quite a contrast with the snowy weather expected on Monday.

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks

6:30 p.m., Sunday, February 2, MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)

logo
Partly cloudy
KICKOFF
40-43
FINAL WHISTLE
37-40
CHANCE OF PRECIP
10%
We’ve bumped temperatures up slightly, and it now looks like it won’t go down as the coldest outdoor Super Bowl on record. There could be a brief raindrop early, but nothing of note. Winds are generally light from the northwest at around 10 mph with a few higher gusts.

(prior: Jan 31, Jan 30, Jan 29, Jan 28, Jan 27, Jan 26, Jan 25, Jan 24, Jan 23)

Final forecast vs. 10-day trend

Looking at the trend of our 10 forecasts for the Super Bowl, we didn’t do that well on temperatures with an average more than 10 degrees higher today compared to our first outlook on January 23. However, we remained confident through the stretch that storminess would not be a major issue. Also, our initial analog pattern outlook was maybe better than we first gave it credit for. If we had incorporated more of the analog guidance into the forecast from the start, we likely would have arrived at today’s forecast temperature range quicker.

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Ian Livingston · February 1