D.C. area forecast: Quietly cold today/tomorrow, weekend storm threat dwindling

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 1 to 10.

4
A good 10 degrees below norm, deserves no better despite a healthy dose of sun.

Express Forecast

Today: Frequent sun, occasional clouds. Highs: 34-38.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, calm. Lows: 20-25.

Tomorrow: Plenty of sun and calm. Highs: 34-38.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Temperature Map

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map. See interactive map on our Weather Wall.

The next two days are cold but the quiet before…the quiet. Models earlier this week oversold the idea of a weekend storm. Now it just looks like some snow showers here or there.

Even by D.C. standards the weekend snow doesn’t look like much. Of course, by saying that I have now done all I can to entice a big storm back to life, but odds are a pretty quiet pattern until next Tuesday night/Wednesday when the models are hinting at another winter storm for the area. After all the false starts recently, hard to put much confidence in it but February is our big snow month, so it’s just gotta!

Today (Thursday): Surges of clouds over the Appalachians from the snow fields of the Midwest should do fairly constant battle with the sun. However, winds are only around 10 mph from the northwest. This is still enough to give a bite as highs do no better than the mid-to-upper 30s. Confidence: High

Tonight: The clouds are more infrequent overnight allowing stars to get in their time. Winds go calm making lows in the low-to-mid 20s bearable. Confidence: High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Friday): A brighter day can be expected with sun dominating. The lack of wind is a plus given the lack of an ability to reach beyond mid-to-upper 30s for yet another day. Confidence: High

Tomorrow night: Much of the night is one of star-filled skies with clouds finally increasing toward dawn. Winds remain calm. Lows fall to the low-to-mid 20s. Confidence: High

A LOOK AHEAD

Snow Potential Index

A daily assessment of the potential for at least ~1″ of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

5 (→) Two marginal opps for flakes over the weekend, maybe better chance next Tues.

Saturday features plenty of clouds but a storm passing much too far to our southeast struggles to push its snow making abilities into our area. The best chance (60%) to see some big wet flakes should be in the late morning to afternoon, despite temperatures likely to hover slightly above freezing. Some lucky resident could see just enough to whiten the grass. After highs in the mid-30s, lows at night fall to the mid-to-upper 20s under partially clouded skies. Confidence: Medium

Sunday should see another increase in clouds. There are still some models holding out hope for an inch or two of snow in the evening but I’d put my money on more of a sweepable dusting (60% chance) – most likely starting in the afternoon. Highs should only be mid-to-upper 30s. Clearing skies overnight allow lows to slip to the upper teens to lower 20s. Confidence: Low-Medium

Monday is another day of clearing and cold conditions. Highs are in the low-to-mid 30s. Confidence: Medium

 

Also on Capital Weather Gang

PM Update: Windy overnight, and cold on Thursday; Snowmageddon anniversary