D.C. area forecast: Welcome back, warmth. Will you please stay for a while?

* Freezing rain advisory for northern Maryland until noon *

9:55 a.m. Update: The NWS canceled the freezing rain advisory for Howard, Montgomery, Loudoun, Prince William, and northern Fauquier counties, but extended it until noon for northern Maryland (Frederick, Carroll and northern Baltimore counties). Thunderstorms (see our latest post) have been a bigger story than freezing rain this morning for most of the region.

7:55 a.m. Update: The NWS expanded the freezing rain advisory earlier this morning to include Howard, Montgomery, Loudoun, Prince William and northern Fauquier counties until 10 a.m. But this was probably done out of an abundance of caution since temperatures in most of these areas are above freezing. The advisory also remains in effect for Frederick and Carroll counties, where temperatures *are* near or below freezing and there are slick spots.

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 1 to 10.

7
Not gonna let likely morning showers spoil mild highs in the 50s.

Express Forecast

Today: 60% chance of morning rain showers. Mild afternoon. Highs: 50s.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows 30s to near 30.

Tomorrow: Partly sunny, chance of afternoon shower. Highs: Near 50 to mid-50s.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Well this is a welcome of change of pace. Highs hit the 50s yesterday and should do so again today with plenty of melting snow. The good times roll right through the weekend with highs in the 50s and 60s – potentially warm enough to support a few thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday. Savor the warmer weather while you can. Because around a week from now, the cold air is back and we could be looking at our next threat for wintry precipitation.

Radar & lightning: Latest D.C. area radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Wednesday): Some early-morning slick spots are possible in the suburbs due to overnight refreezing of melted snow. Otherwise, we’re mostly cloudy into the early afternoon, with a 60% chance of showers during the morning. The nice news is that any showers are of the plain rain variety, except maybe in Frederick and Carroll counties, where a brief period of freezing rain is possible early-to-mid morning. For most of us, though, morning temperatures rise into and through the 40s, with afternoon highs in the 50s as winds increase to 10-15 mph from the southwest. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: High pressure builds in, giving us a partly cloudy night with light winds. After the winter we’ve had, can’t complain about lows in the 30s, maybe down to near 30 in the colder north and west suburbs. Confidence: High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Thursday): A warm front could produce a light shower or two Thursday afternoon. Before then, it’s a partly sunny day with light winds from the southeast, and highs heading for near 50 to the mid-50s. Confidence: Medium

Snow Potential Index

A daily assessment of the potential for at least ~1″ of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

2 (→) Still a week away, but hints of an East Coast storm next Tues-Wed with colder air back in the fold.

Tomorrow night: Clouds increase ahead of an energetic cold front approaching from the west. The evening looks dry as of now, with an increasing chance of showers and possibly thunderstorms overnight or toward morning. Temperatures are extremely mild, mainly steady in the 50s. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Showers are likely Friday morning and possibly into early afternoon, and they could be gusty with a bit of thunder too. The warm spell peaks with morning temperatures potentially spiking into the 60s. Skies should at least partially clear by later in the afternoon, as breezes pick up from the west and temperatures drop back into the 50s. Friday night lows dip to the 30s to near 40. Confidence: Medium

The weekend starts out in fine form. In fact, Saturday could see highs near or past 60 again, and probably with a good deal of sunshine. After Saturday night lows in the 30s to low 40s, Sunday could be cooler with more clouds and maybe a passing shower, but still comfortable with highs in the 50s. Confidence: Medium

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