D.C. area forecast: Wintry bite through tomorrow then gradual warming; late-week snow risk?

March 4, 2014

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

4
Some sunshine only thing holding me back from further downgrading this frigid March day.

Express Forecast

Today: Partly sunny. Highs: 27-32.

Tonight: Few clouds. Lows: 8-19.

Tomorrow: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs: Mid-30s to near 40.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

As we wake up to our snow and ice-encrusted landscape, you’ll be forgiven for forgetting that today is really truly March 4th. Our new snow pack and bitter chill keep that winter feel going as we dress warmly and watch out for slick spots. Some sun should bring a bit of melting today despite highs having trouble reaching freezing, before another hard freeze tonight. Gradual warming brings us back near 40 Thursday and into the 40s Friday, but with some risk of more wintry weather Thursday night into Friday. We find our way into the warmer 50s Saturday ahead of another cold front.

Temperature Map

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map. See interactive map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Tuesday): Partly sunny skies start the work of some melting, which is otherwise limited by frigid morning temperatures and afternoon readings struggling to reach freezing. Highs probably only reach the upper 20s to low 30s (normal highs should be in the low 50s!).  Dulles has a decent shot of setting a record low maximum temperature beating 2002′s 32F.  Light winds, from the north early and variable later in the day, add a slight extra chill.  Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: A few clouds around and not quite as cold as last night. But still frigid by March standards with some single digit lows in the outer suburbs, to the teens closer in, and perhaps holding in the upper teens to near 20 right in the city.  Very light to calm winds. Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Wednesday): Partly to mostly sunny skies aid the melting process along with temperatures finding their way past freezing. Afternoon highs hit the mid-30s to near 40. Winds are light again.  Confidence: Medium-High

Snow Potential Index

A daily assessment of the potential for at least ~1″ of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale. More info

3: Thursday night-Friday looks like near miss with just a chance of snow showers, but bears monitoring.

Tomorrow night: Partly to mostly cloudy with lows mainly in the 20s this time.  Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday finds us watching a low pressure area that is forecast to pass by to the south and east. That may leave us with heavier sky cover and a chance of rain or snow showers toward evening. Highs range in the upper 30s to low 40s with light breezes from the east or northeast. For now we’re just calling for a chance of snow showers Thursday night as the storm passes off the Southeast coast. But it’s too soon to completely rule out something more significant should the storm try to track a bit more northward up the coast. Lows should be near 30.  Confidence: Low-Medium

Friday should still see residual effects of that low passing to our east, with cloud cover dominating and a chance of morning snow showers. Otherwise, temperatures by afternoon should reach their work-week peak with highs in the 40s. Friday night looks just partly cloudy with warmer lows in the 30s to near 30.  Confidence: Low-Medium

The weekend starts with some decent warming on Saturday, as partly sunny skies help deliver seasonally pleasant highs in the 50s. Another cold front scheduled to pass Saturday night or early Sunday could bring some light snow or rain showers. After Saturday night lows in the 30s to near 40, Sunday sees mixed skies and highs back to below normal in the 40s to near 50.  Confidence: Medium

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Washington, D.C., Snow Tracker

Current Snow Total
13.4"
Record Most Snow
(2009-10)
56.1"
Record Least Snow
(1997-98, 1972-73)
0.1"
Last Winter's Snow Total
32.0"
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