D.C. area forecast: Spring tease lingers before winter blows back into town

2:40 p.m. Update: The showers passing through the north and east suburbs should exit during the next hour two. Mostly cloudy skies have held metro-area highs to mainly the upper 40s to low 50s thus far, except next 60 toward Burke and Manassas where sun has broken out. For most of us, clearly not as nice a day as expected.

11:15 a.m. Update: More clouds than expected so far today. Should see some breaks of afternoon sun, but highs may fall short of 60, or will at least take until later in the afternoon to get there.

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

8
Let’s enjoy some Friday fun in the spring-time sun, as temps make a repeat run at 60!

Express Forecast

Today: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs: Near 60 to low 60s

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows: 40s.

Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, sprinkle? Highs: Near 70.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain or non-accumulating snow. Highs: 40s to near 50.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Today and tomorrow feel like spring ought to around here. Sunday, however, brings a cooler day with perhaps some mixed precipitation passing through. And then Sunday night temperatures sink to near or below freezing once again. That sets up a rather chilly Monday, and maybe just maybe another winter storm to contend with by Tuesday into early Wednesday. No, I am not kidding.

Temperature Map

Temperatures: Latest D.C. area temperature map. See interactive map on our Weather Wall.

Today (Friday): Partly to mostly sunny skies and a mild flow from the west team up for a fantastic close to the work week. Highs reach near 60 to the low 60s with winds near 5-10 mph from the west. Makes for a tough call between a lunch-break stroll outside or watching basketball inside. Confidence: High

Tonight: Partly cloudy and lows in the 40s. That’s it! Nothing more to say here. Confidence: High For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend… Tomorrow (Saturday): A cold front passing through provides partly cloudy skies and perhaps a passing sprinkle. The cold air lags well behind the front. So instead of cooling down, we’ll likely warm up to highs around 70, as winds increase to near 10-15 mph from the west. Confidence: Medium-High

Snow Potential Index

A daily assessment of the potential for at least ~1″ of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale. More info

3 (↑) Increasing snow potential for Tues-early Wed. Day vs. night timing might have big impact on ability to accumulate.

Tomorrow night: Cooler air pushes in as winds come from the north. Lows settle in the upper 30s to mid-40s (suburbs to city). Confidence: High

Sunday: Low pressure passing by to the south provides cloudy skies and may produce a period of rain, snow or a mix. Highs in the 40s to near 50 should keep any snow from accumulating. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

We turn much colder Sunday night through Monday night as high pressure builds in. Sunday night lows drop to the upper 20s to low 30s, while Monday highs stall in the 40s despite mostly sunny skies, followed by Monday night lows in the mid-20s to low 30s. Confidence: Medium-High

Models show the potential for a significant storm along the East Coast Tuesday into Wednesday. Snow is a legitimate threat locally — with the timing focused on Tuesday into Tuesday night for now — but by no means a sure thing just yet. While Tuesday temperatures look fairly cold with highs in the 30s or 40s, it’s questionable whether they would be cold enough for snow to accumulate during the day on Tuesday, with a better chance of accumulation once the sun goes down Tuesday night. Confidence: Low

Also on Capital Weather Gang

PM Update: Spring arrives in style with Friday feeling fine