D.C. area forecast: Warm today with PM showers, thunder; cooler, windy tomorrow

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 1 to 10.

7
Warmest day of week scores high for me, but splattered by afternoon showers.

Express Forecast

Today: Sunny start, cloudy/showery p.m. Highs: 75-78.

Tonight: Clearing but breezy. Lows: 45-49.

Tomorrow: Sunny and bit windy. Highs: 60-65.

FORECAST IN DETAIL


Radar & lightning: Latest regional radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

We’re in the weather yo-yo season when transitional springtime variability yields intermittent sun/clouds, dry/wet, windy/calm, cool/warm weather.  Essentially if you don’t like the weather one day, just wait one or two more to get something different.

Unfortunately, for the balance of this week, the warmest weather coincides with the days with the highest rain chances.  Today’s 70s are complemented by showers and a potential thunderstorm this afternoon.  Tomorrow’s cooler and windier weather greets us with sunshine at least.  After a decent day on Thursday, we’ll push back into the 70s on Friday but with more shower risks.   The weekend is also looking mixed with a warmer start, but then a possible showery/cooler finish.

Today (Tuesday): Low pressure spiraling through the Great Lakes pivots northeast to New England with a cold front tail whipping through our area this afternoon.  We start today with mostly sunny skies and rapidly warming temperatures.  Clouds arrive especially after lunchtime with a line or two of showers and a few isolated storms starting after 1 p.m. and potentially continuing into the early part of the rush hour, especially in eastern areas.

Total precipitation may range from about a tenth to a quarter of an inch before ending early this evening.  Highs range in the middle to upper 70s, probably peaking in the early afternoon.  Winds from the south at 5-10 mph.   Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Clearing skies as a high pressure visitor arrives, but turning quite breezy with winds shifting to come from the northwest at 15-25 mph with higher gusts.  Lows drop down to the middle to upper 40s with those higher winds making it feel like the 30s at times.  Confidence: Medium-High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Wednesday): High pressure should stay for about two days, offering dry weather with mostly sunny skies.  Despite the sunshine, winds around 15-20 mph from the northwest (with gusts to around 30 mph) offer some chill as highs stretch into the lower to middle 60s.  So essentially, it’ll feel like the 50s more often than not, but if you’re right out in the sun, it’ll counter it a bit! Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night:  Mostly clear skies and calming winds under high pressure means we should see temperatures go cooler.  Lows toward dawn could range from the middle 30s in the outer suburbs to the lower 40s in the city.   Depending on how quickly the cooling gets going, we could see some frost advisories for the northern and western suburbs (outside the Beltway).  Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday might be my candidate for best day of the week as temperatures should more easily push into the middle to upper 60s without the pesky wind, under mostly sunny skies.  Thursday night aims for partly cloudy skies with lows still on the cool side in the middle 40s to near 50 right in the city.  Confidence: Medium-High

Friday should be our second warmest day of the week as highs reach up into the lower to middle 70s with a partly to mostly sunny morning. The catch here is that yet another cool front races through midday to afternoon based on the current thinking, offering up more clouds, showers, and a few isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.  Conditions should clear out Friday evening and overnight as lows only fall back into the lower to middle 50s. Confidence: Medium

The weekend looks complicated, and we suggest you check back here over the next few days for updates.  As of right now, it seems like warm conditions Saturday precedes yet another afternoon cool front.  So we could see temperatures manage to get to the upper 60s to lower 70s under partly sunny skies before afternoon showers sneak back into the picture.  Saturday night cools down with partly cloudy skies and late night lows down into the 40s.   Sunday may snag us on a stalled frontal boundary, so we’ll aim cooler with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s along with more scattered showers.  It seems like our pattern stays active enough that April could manage to end up wetter than normal overall!  Confidence: Low-Medium

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