D.C. area forecast: Minimal shower threats this weekend, but staying sticky

Today’s Daily Digit

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 1 to 10.

8
Not much different than Friday, but not quite “9″ material. Only a slight shower risk late.

Express Forecast

Today: Partly cloudy. PM showers? Highs: 83-87.

Tonight: Early shower? Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows: Mid-60s to near 70.

Tomorrow: Partly to mostly cloudy. PM showers? Highs: Low-to-mid 80s.

FORECAST IN DETAIL


Radar & lightning: Latest D.C. area radar shows movement of precipitation and lightning strikes over past two hours. Refresh page to update. Click here or on image to enlarge. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

The next few days are full of rain and rumors of rain. Well, mostly just rumors of rain. Some heavier stuff will be close by, but we may escape rather dry. In fact, the best odds of appreciable rainfall might wait until our next front moves through as we get to Tuesday. Of course, we know a cold front is never a sure bet either! It’s a little crunchy out there.

Today (Saturday): Skies are partly cloudy, maybe with cloudier periods. I think we’re mostly — or even fully? — dry across the area, but there’s an increased risk of some sprinkles or showers during the afternoon and into evening (30% chance or so). Temperatures are pretty similar to recent days with highs mainly into the mid-80s. South winds around 5-10 mph keep it feeling fairly sticky. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: The “enhanced” risk of dribble from the sky may persist into the evening or early night, but again it looks like the main theme is for us not to be seeing widespread rain. Skies are mostly cloudy, though, and that keeps overnight readings in the mild mid-60s to near 70. South winds continue to blow around 5 mph. Confidence: Medium

See also, The real supermoon stands up this weekend

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Sunday): This is pretty close to a repeat of today. Skies are partly to mostly cloudy, probably sunniest early in the day. Some showers may develop across the area during the main heating period, with the best risk focused on afternoon into sunset or so. It’s another one where most or all spots may stay dry, but take a peek here or at radar before heading out if you want to be safe. Highs are again focused in the mid-80s, perhaps lower 80s in spots, especially if we get more ocean influence from an east wind. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Pattern stagnation persists. We may see more clearing than tonight though! Otherwise, humidity remains a factor if not a big one compared to what it could be. Lows head for the mid-60s to near 70. Confidence: Medium

A LOOK AHEAD

On Monday, we’re mostly in between areas of disturbed weather to the south and east, with more well off to the northwest. I think we’ll see more sun than clouds, and with increasing humidity levels we might see a few pop up storms in the afternoon. Highs should again want to head up into the mid-80s. Confidence: Medium

The main driver of weather on Tuesday should be a low pressure system passing to the northwest and sending a weak cold front into the area. The front is enough to create more widespread showers and thunderstorms by afternoon, some of which could contain at least briefly heavy rainfall. Before the atmosphere percolates up some cloudiness, temperatures make the mid-80s. Confidence: Medium

Ian Livingston is a forecaster/photographer and information lead for the Capital Weather Gang. By day, Ian is a defense and national security researcher at a D.C. think tank.
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