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Posted at 10:17 AM ET, 03/01/2012

March to the playoffs: Capitals still in it


STATISTICAL ANALYSIS | The come-from-behind win over the Islanders was worth two points in the standings, but it also put the Capitals in the playoff picture. And it couldn't have come at a better time. 

The Capitals are in eighth place and recent history shows they have a decent chance of holding onto a postseason slot. Since the lockout, 44 of the 48 teams that made the postseason had one of the eight seeds when March 1 rolled around. Even those teams with negative goal differentials (Washington is currently a minus-6) have held on.  

Thanks to the weakness throughout the Southeast Division, it could take as few as 89 points to make the postseason, but it will more likely require 92, with 95 points all but assuring them of not only a playoff spot, but the division title as well. 

There is still work to be done, of course. The Capitals need to win at least eight of the remaining 10 home games and improve on their .344 win percentage on the road, which is going to be against some stiff competition. 

DateRoad opponentCurrently in playoffs?Home Win%Home Goal Differential
Mar 10Boston BruinsYes0.58131
Mar 13New York IslandersNo0.424(13)
Mar 16Winnipeg JetsNo0.57615
Mar 18Chicago BlackhawksYes0.65625
Mar 19Detroit Red WingsYes0.83955
Mar 22Philadelphia FlyersYes0.48310
Mar 29Boston BruinsYes0.58131
Apr 2Tampa Bay LightningNo0.63310
Apr 7New York RangersYes0.70029

(Stats as of Tuesday night)


The margin for error is slim, but if Tuesday night's game is any indication, don't count this team out just yet. 

Follow Neil on Twitter: @ngreenberg

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For stretch run, Capitals look within­
Can Caps build off a big comeback?

By Neil Greenberg  |  10:17 AM ET, 03/01/2012

 
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