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Posted at 08:42 PM ET, 01/13/2012

Golden Globes 2012: Predicting the best picture winners


Bérénice Bejo and Jean Dujardin in "The Artist." (The Weinstein Company)

Some Golden Globe Award predictions are easy to make. For example, we feel confident that Ricky Gervais will make at least one off-color joke, that cameras will linger on Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie to a borderline absurd degree and that at least one celebrity will note in an acceptance speech that he/she drank too much of the easily accessible champagne on their tables.

Slightly more difficult to predict? Which movies will win in the Globes’ two best picture categories: best motion picture — drama and best motion picture — musical or comedy.

But that won’t stop me from trying. Here are my thoughts about which two movies will emerge victorious aloig with a rundown of other predictions in numerous film categories. (FYI: Golden Globe TV predictions are coming to the blog soon.)

Related posts:

The Golden Globe nominations: ‘The Artist’ and more

A Golden Globe memo to Ricky Gervais

Critics’ Choice Awards: ‘The Artist’ wins and more memorable moments

Best motion picture — musical or comedy

“50/50”

“The Artist”

“Bridesmaids”

“Midnight in Paris”

“My Week With Marilyn”

And the winner will be... “The Artist.” It’s currently considered Oscar’s best picture front runner. And given its French filmmaking origins and its reverence for the early cinematic traditions, I can’t imagine that the silent film that has generated such loud buzz will lose.

Best motion picture — drama

“The Descendants”

“The Help”

“Hugo”

“The Ides of March”

“Moneyball”

“War Horse”

And the winner will be... This one is a tougher call. I can imagine scenarios where “Hugo,” “Moneyball” or “The Help” could win. But ultimately, I think the Foreign Press will reward “The Descendants,” because it tells such an emotional story, with Alexander Payne’s insightful attention to detail and (added bonus) the presence of one of those big stars the HFPA members like so much: George Clooney.

More movie predictions (the name in bold is the predicted winner in each category).

Best Actor in a Drama


(Merie Wallace)

George Clooney — “The Descendants”

Leonardo DiCaprio — “J. Edgar”

Michael Fassbender — “Shame”

Ryan Gosling — “The Ides of March”

Brad Pitt — “Moneyball”

Best Actress in a Drama


(Dale Robinette/Disney - Via AP)

Glenn Close — “Albert Nobbs”

Viola Davis — “The Help”

Rooney Mara — “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”

Meryl Streep — “The Iron Lady”

Tilda Swinton — “We Need to Talk About Kevin”

Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy


(Weinstein Company - Via AP)

Jean Dujardin“The Artist”

Brendan Gleeson — “The Guard”

Joseph Gordon-Levitt — “50/50”

Ryan Gosling — “Crazy Stupid Love”

Owen Wilson — “Midnight in Paris”

Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy


(Laurence Cendrowicz)

Jodie Foster — “Carnage”

Charlize Theron — “Young Adult”

Kristen Wiig — “Bridesmaids”

Michelle Williams — “My Week With Marilyn”

Kate Winslet — “Carnage”

Best Supporting Actor


(Andrew Tepper/Focus Features - AP)

Kenneth Branagh — “My Week With Marilyn”

Albert Brooks — “Drive”

Jonah Hill — “Moneyball”

Viggo Mortensen — “A Dangerous Method”

Christopher Plummer — “Beginners”

Best Supporting Actress


(MARIO ANZUONI - REUTERS)

Berenice Bejo — “The Artist”

Jessica Chastain — “The Help”

Janet McTeer — “Albert Nobbs”

Octavia Spencer — “The Help”

Shailene Woodley — “The Descendants”

Best Director


(Merie Wallace)

Woody Allen — “Midnight in Paris”

George Clooney — “The Ides of March”

Michel Hazanavicius — “The Artist”

Alexander Payne — “The Descendants”

Martin Scorsese — “Hugo”

Best Screenplay


(Photo by Roger Arpajou © 2011 Mediapro, Versátil Cinema & Gravier Productions, Courtesy of Sony Pictures Classics)

“The Artist”

“The Descendants”

“The Ides of March”

“Midnight in Paris”

“Moneyball”

By  |  08:42 PM ET, 01/13/2012

Tags:  Awards Season, Golden Globes

 
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