Predicting who will win the Golden Globe awards in the television categories is a daunting task, mainly because the Hollywood Foreign Press can be so unpredictable when it comes to selecting its TV winners.
Voters sometimes (though not always) seem compelled to seize on what’s bold, edgy and/or freshest, which may partly explain why “Boardwalk Empire” beat out ”Mad Men” and “The Good Wife” last year for best drama, or why Ricky Gervais’s “Extras” snagged a Globe for best comedy back in 2007.
Does that mean that “American Horror Story” and “New Girl” could walk away with the top TV show trophies in their respective genres when the Golden Globes take place tonight? Not necessarily.
Here’s what I predict will happen when the envelopes revealing best television series — drama and best television series — comedy are ripped open at the Golden Globe Awards, along with predictions in a few of the other major TV categories.
Best TV show — drama
“American Horror Story”
“Game of Thrones”
And the winner will be... Man, this is a tough call to make. As an ardent admirer of Murder House and the weird things that happened inside it, I’d love to see “American Horror Story” win this, if only to see a man in a rubber suit accept a Golden Globe. And frankly, I think the Hollywood Foreign Press might be the only trophy awarding organization nutty enough to actually make that happen. However, I can also envision a scenario in which Showtime’s excellent “Homeland” triumphs here, too.
Ultimately, though, I am predicting that “Game of Thrones” — the critically praised HBO epic with a throng of hardcore fans — will prevail here. With the caveat, of course, that I could be totally wrong.
Best TV show — comedy
And the winner will be... “Modern Family” has not won a Golden Globe yet because “Glee” has carried this category for the past two years. But I think the voters will go with something unexpected and choose Laura Dern’s “Enlightened,” giving the series the profile boost it needs to (perhaps) convince viewers to actually start watching it.
More TV predictions (the name in bold is the suggested winner in each category):
Best actor in a TV drama
Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire”
Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”
Kelsey Grammer, “Boss”
Jeremy Irons, “The Borgias”
Damian Lewis, “Homeland”
Best actress in a TV drama
Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Mireille Enos, “The Killing”
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Madeleine Stowe, “Revenge”
Callie Thorne, “Necessary Roughness”
Best actor in a TV comedy
Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”
David Duchovny, “Californication”
Johnny Galecki, “The Big Bang Theory”
Thomas Jane, “Hung”
Matt LeBlanc, “Episodes”
Best actress in a TV comedy
Laura Dern, “Enlightened”
Zooey Deschanel, “New Girl”
Tina Fey, “30 Rock”
Laura Linney, “The Big C”
Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”