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Posted at 09:58 AM ET, 02/23/2012

Predicting the Oscar winners: Best director

With the Academy Awards set to take place this Sunday, we are rolling out predictions all week long and naming the films, actors, directors and writers most likely to win in eight major categories. Our focus today: best director.


(Video by Jayne Orenstein)

Earlier this week, Ann Hornaday and I laid our our predictions in the Academy Awards categories for best original and adapted screenplay. Now we try to answer another Oscar-related question: Who will be named this year’s best director?

Watch the video below, in which Ann and I discuss which deserving nominees have the best shot at victory, then read my rundown of who will win, who should win and which director the Academy neglected. to nominate.

Coming shortly to Celebritology:our breakdown of the best actor and actress races.

Best director

The nominees are:

Woody Allen, “Midnight in Paris”

Michel Hazanavicius, “The Artist”

Terrence Malick, “The Tree of Life”

Alexander Payne, “The Descendants”

Martin Scorsese, “Hugo”

Who will win: Michel Hazanavicius for “The Artist.” The fact that he won the Directors Guild’s award — a reliable indicator of who the Academy will recognize in this category — makes it a done deal, unless there’s an “Artist” backlash.

Who I’d like to see win: I am not opposed to a Hazanavicius victory (try saying that five times fast), but I also wouldn’t mind seeing Martin Scorsese take his second best directing Oscar for “Hugo,” a film that uses 3-D technology without sacrificing the wonders of traditional storytelling.

Who should have been nominated but wasn’t: Unfortunately, only five filmmakers could make the cut. That means that Nicolas Winding Refn — who told the seedy story of “Drive” via his own glossy-yet-ominous viewpoint — was edged out of the game.

By  |  09:58 AM ET, 02/23/2012

Categories:  Oscars | Tags:  Awards Season

 
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