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Posted at 02:23 PM ET, 09/16/2011

The Emmys: Who will win (and should win) for best drama, best comedy and more

Mad Men

GALLERY: "Mad Men": Can it take the best drama Emmy for the fourth year in a row? | Click the image to view photos of this year's Emmy nominees.

The Emmy Awards will reward the best that TV has to offer on Sunday night. But as even casual Emmy trackers now, sometimes determining which shows and actors will be dubbed “the best” can be a bit of a guessing game.

In an attempt to assist you in your prognostication efforts, I’ve assembled a quick rundown of what/who will win and what/who I hope will win in six major categories: best drama, best comedy, best actor andactress in a drama and best actor and actress in a comedy. Our polls are also included so you can gauge who other readers are favoring and cast votes for your favorites as well.

Just call it Celebritology’s own Emmy guessing game.

And come Emmy night, don’t forget to keep up with the action right along with the Post. TV guru Lisa DeMoraes will chat live during the telecast beginning at 7 p.m., while I’ll be blogging throughout the night, as well as live tweeting @celebritology.

Now on to the predictions.

Outstanding Drama Series

The nominees:

“Boardwalk Empire”

“Dexter”

“Friday Night Lights”

“Game of Thrones”

“The Good Wife”

“Mad Men”

Will win:Mad Men.” Pretty much every TV expert is predicting this, and it seems like the most probably outcome because a. “Mad Men” has won for the past three years, ever since it arrived on AMC; b. Emmy voters aren’t necessarily big on breaking with established patterns; and c. the fourth season of “Mad Men” was a very strong one.

What Jen wishes would win: While I am a “Mad Men” fan, I am really hoping that — in what should be no surprise to anyone who regularly reads Celebritology — “Friday Night Lights” manages to pull out a win for its first nomination in this category and its final season.

Outstanding Comedy Series


(Adam Larkey - ABC)

The nominees:

“30 Rock”

“The Big Bang Theory”

“Glee”

“Modern Family”

“The Office”

“Parks and Recreation”

Will win: Again, prevailing wisdom suggests that “Modern Family” will triumph for the second year in a row and there is no reason to doubt it. It’s an edgy spin on the traditional sitcom, something Emmy voters can happily embrace. And it’s also consistently funny.

What Jen wishes would win: I am cool with “Modern Family” prevailing. But I’d be super-happy to see “Parks and Recreation,” which hit its comedic apex in its third season, sneak in with an upset.

Lead Actor in a Drama


(Abbot Genser - HBO)

The nominees:

Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire”

Kyle Chandler, “Friday Night Lights”

Michael C. Hall, “Dexter”

Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”

Hugh Laurie, “House”

Timothy Olyphant, “Justified”

Will win: There has to be a surprise in the mix somewhere. Which is why, contrary to what most prognosticators are saying, I’m going to boldly declare that Steve Buscemi — who won the Golden Globe earlier this year for his portrayal of Nucky Thompson in the HBO drama — will prevent Hamm from winning for the fourth year in a row.

Who Jen wishes would win: I’m actually split here. I’d like to see Hamm win because his Don Draper is the conflicted, antiheroic heart of “Mad Men.” But I’d really, really love to see Chandler finally get some recognition from his peers for making Coach Eric Taylor the man every man wants to be and every woman wishes was her husband.

Lead Actor in a Comedy


(Justin Lubin - AP)

The nominees:

Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”

Steve Carell, “The Office”

Louis C.K., “Louie”

Johnny Galecki, “The Big Bang Theory”

Matt LeBlanc, “Episodes”

Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”

Will win: Steve Carell, for the reasons stated here.

Who Jen wishes would win: Steve Carell, also for the reasons stated here.

Lead Actress in a Drama


(Bill Records - BILL RECORDS/NBC)

The nominees:

Kathy Bates, “Harry’s Law”

Connie Britton, “Friday Night Lights”

Mirelle Enos, “The Killing”

Mariska Hargitay, “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit”

Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”

Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men”

Will win: I think this could either go Margulies’s way — she lost last year to Kyra Sedgwick — or Moss’s. (If Moss wins, I sincerely hope she purposely puts lipstick on her teeth, as an homage to Peggy Olson.)

Who Jen wishes would win: You’ll never guess who I am rooting for ... what’s that you say? That I have my fingers crossed for Connie Britton, aka Tami Taylor? Hey, how did you know?

Lead Actress in a Comedy


(Showtime)

The nominees:

Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”

Tina Fey, “30 Rock”

Laura Linney, “The Big C”

Melissa McCarthy, “Mike and Molly”

Martha Plimpton, “Raising Hope”

Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”

Will win: Odds look good for Laura Linney and her portrayal of cancer patient Cathy Jamison.

Who Jen wishes would win: Linney is fabulous but I’d be thrilled to see McC arthy or Poehler take this one.

By  |  02:23 PM ET, 09/16/2011

Tags:  Emmy Awards

 
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