the-gamble

Media coverage of the 2012 election was fair and balanced after all

New research on the 2012 presidential election shows where the media fell short -- and what they got right.

The Romney campaign’s own polls showed it would lose

The Romney campaign was surprised to lose, but it shouldn't have been.

“The definitive account of what really happened and what really mattered in the campaign.”

My new book with UCLA political scientist Lynn Vavreck uses a Moneyball approach to understand the 2012 election -- and what it means for 2014, 2016, and beyond.

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