Happy Hour Roundup

* Silly Sam Stein thinks a huge Latino demographic shift that could have political ramifications for decades is a more important story than Sarah Palin’s bus tour or Anthony Weiner’s Twitter-feed-pic of an underwear bulge.

* Nate Silver on the “mounting evidence” that Ryancare is a serious problem for Republicans — particularly when voters are presented with the arguments about it the parties will make for the next 18 months.

* Very good catch by Jed Lewison explaining why Dems should not vote tonight for the debt ceiling hike without spending cuts, even though that’s the vote they initially sought.

* Another Big Government-loving 2012 GOPer! Jon Huntsman had no problem with the individual mandate in 2007.

* It’s yet another mark of how uncontroversial the mandate was among conservatives before Obama persuaded them it’s actually tyranny.

* Andrew Sullivan catches the key number explaining Obama’s jump in the new CNN poll: It’s largely driven by his rise among seniors.

* Brad Plumer on why Chris Christie’s incoherent decision to pull out of a modest states-based cap and trade program could have global importance.

* Gallup finds that Newt is dropping like a rock — and, more interestingly, that Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann earn the highest Positive Intensity Scores among Republicans.

* Amusing: David Frum notes that Sarah Palin’s latest attack on Obama inadvertently insulted the Israeli Defense Forces.

* As respected CNN analyst Jeffrey Toobin says, it’s too bad CNN invited Andrew Breitbart on to traffic in “outrageous” speculation about the underwear bulge.

* Weiner clams up: He’s done talking about the underwear bulge, which will only arouse the media’s interest in the story.

* Digby on what Palin’s bus tour and Breitbart’s Weinergate teach us: They both grasp the true nature of our tabloid political press.

* And perhaps media figures who don’t like being treated as “paparazzi” by Palin’s bus tour should just stop following Palin’s bus tour.

What else is happening?

Greg Sargent writes The Plum Line blog, a reported opinion blog with a liberal slant -- what you might call “opinionated reporting” from the left.

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